Friday, June 27, 2025

You can Pass the Turing Test (Joke)

   Remember the Turing Test? When Alan Turing in 1950 explained that when people could not be able to make the difference between conversing with a machine and another person, it would mark to arrival of true AI?

   Well, we are "there" although thankfully we have since discarded the idea, otherwise most AI today would qualify as intelligent. And they are. Amazingly so. often far beyond human capabilities. And so we moved the goalpost. We now talk of AGI. (Artificial General Intelligence) which sounds legitimate until you look at the details and realize that Artificial Intelligence is very different to human intelligence and that consequently the measurements have little meaning. 

  The reality is that we are right at the point where AI is over-passing human intelligence. We expected this to happen in 2030. It came 5 years early. We expected it to be an event, it is a process. But make no mistake, by 2026, AI will be beyond, then far beyond our capabilities. It will look like magic. Almost everyday by then, there will be an announcement, a discovery or a new engineering marvel. Most people will see nothing. The revolution will be silent. Until it is not, as it has always been the case in history. We're good at understanding events but miserable at grasping the depth of processes unfolding over longer periods.

 

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