Friday, January 17, 2025

American Free Speech Vs European Censorship

   Whatever you may think about America and the problems the country is facing as we saw in several recent posts, they pale compared to Europe.

  The continent is just in the process of: Losing a war against what until recently was its main energy supplier, Russia. Starting another economic war against what was its main economic "partner", China. And now on the verge of another multi pronged ideological war against its main strategic partner, the US.

  And all this with an attitude strait out of the late 19th Century. What could go wrong? (beside everything!) 

  The worst by far are wrong headed energy policies which almost guaranty hard days to come (as we discussed yesterday concerning the UK.) Trade is also a problem although less than de-industrialization. As for free speech and free elections, these were the "pride" of a continent defining itself as "the free world". Well, that was then as the article below makes clear. 

  What comes next then? Unfortunately history is not very kind for those who do not or cannot learn from it. I am afraid that a significant downturn of the world economy led by China and amplified by the US will sooner than later have dramatic consequences for Europe. This used to be fine since the "problem" was ahead of us but not quite just in front for years. Unfortunately it looks like in 2025 the future is knocking at the door and the status quo for Europe will not last much longer.  

Authored by Drieu Godefridi via The Gatestone Institute,

  • What is important is the solidarity being forged between the major US social media platforms and the incoming US administration in support of real freedom of expression.

  • The new US administration will not tolerate levying fines of tens of billions of dollars on major US technology companies by an EU that is drifting towards authoritarianism and is at the same time more dependent than ever on American power.

  • It would be in Europe's lasting interest to prepare for the return of free and unfettered expression.

Anyone wishing to gauge the extent of the European Union's regulatory drift will need to read Articles 34 and 35 of the Digital Services Act (DSA).

Given their length it is impossible to quote them in full here, so here is an extract:

DSA Article 34, "Risk assessment":

"1. Providers of very large online platforms and of very large online search engines shall diligently identify, analyse and assess any systemic risks in the Union stemming from the design or functioning of their service and its related systems, including algorithmic systems (...) and shall include the following systemic risks (...) (a) the dissemination of illegal content through their services (which includes 'hate speech'); (b) any actual or foreseeable negative effects for the exercise of fundamental rights, in particular the fundamental rights (...) to non-discrimination; (c) any actual or foreseeable negative effects on civic discourse and electoral processes, and public security; (d) any actual or foreseeable negative effects in relation to (...) public health (...) and serious negative consequences to the person's physical and mental well-being (...)."

Article 35, "Mitigation of risks," obliges these platforms to take a whole arsenal of preventive and repressive measures, basically to prevent the sharing of information that displeases the European Commission.

In short, the idea is to force these platforms to pay hordes of patrol officers to relentlessly hunt down opinions that do not please the European Lord. The preventive nature of these measures means that they can be described as censorship in the strict sense. What's more, general censorship, because the terms used by the European legislator - hate, non-discrimination, civic discourse, electoral process, public security, public health, well-being - are so vague that censors with (digital) scissors do cut wherever they please, at the whim of the European Prince.

Meanwhile, in the USA

Elon Musk has never made a secret of his adherence to the American concept of freedom of expression, which is that expression is free regardless of what the law says.

By contrast, according to the European Convention on Human Rights, expression is free with legal exceptions. For a long time, these exceptions were rare, with the result that expression remained almost as free in Europe as in the United States. Over the past 30 years, however these European exceptions to free expression have multiplied — hate, discrimination, racism, Islamophobia, transphobia, and so on — to the extent that European citizens - including those in the UK - are now being arrested, tried and imprisoned for expressing inappropriate ideas on Facebook, X/Twitter and other social media platforms.

But then, you might ask, why can't the two concepts of expression -- free in the USA, censored in Europe -- coexist, each in its own way, on our respective continents?

The problem is that the European Union has an imperialist conception of its regulation. The EU does not regulate Europe; it seems to think it regulates the world. True to the rich German and French legal traditions, the EU sees itself as a kind of legislative model for the planet. Not only is the EU taking the initiative to regulate sectors that were not regulated before, it also seems to expect the rest of the world to follow suit.

Better -- or worse, depending on your point of view -- the EU is backing up its global regulations with sanctions no less global. Apple was recently hit with a landmark $2 billion EU antitrust fine. Breaches of the Digital Services Act (DSA) are punishable by penalties calculated as a percentage of revenues -- not profits -- received by the company concerned not just in Europe, but all over the world. In the case of companies such as Meta (Facebook) or X, we are talking about EU fines running into billions of dollars. Since they seem not to be able to innovate -- anyhow, they haven't -- they tax Americans, who have.

All the "major platforms" that the European Union is regulating with imperial superciliousness are in fact American. Therefore, none of these platforms is subject to the august EU. As technology expert Jason Oxman remarks, "the EU [has] become as sterile in innovation as it is fertile in regulation."

This puts the EU and its DSA on a collision course with the incoming Trump administration. With touching naivety, the German media on January 8, 2025, greedily called for DSA sanctions to be applied to X and to Meta (Facebook).

The major news on January 7 was the about-face, at least for now, of Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, and his Facebook and Instagram, to the Muskian concept of free speech, pretty much as enshrined in the US Constitution. Whether or not this endorsement is self-serving is irrelevant. What is important is the solidarity being forged between the major US social media platforms and the incoming US administration in support of real freedom of expression.

Consequently, either American free speech will impose itself on Europe, or, less likely -- unless the Europeans show a sudden desire for tyranny -- Europe will impose its conception on American platforms. There can be no coexistence of the two concepts. If the EU had been legislating only for Europe and providing for local sanctions, the two concepts might have coexisted. The hubris of the EU's grandiose vision of global sanctions makes this coexistence unlikely.

The European king has no clothes

A prediction: American free speech will win the day. Europe is weak, and the EU as a bureaucracy is increasingly hated by Europeans, not without reason. Without NATO, Europe would not exist militarily. With no American security guarantees, Europe can prepare for the return of Russian troops to Berlin. Above all, Europe exports more to the US than it imports. In 2022, trade in goods and services between the United States and the European Union totaled an estimated $1.3 trillion. US exports amounted to $592 billion and imports to $723.3 billion, as Trump reminds us of it at every one of his press conferences.

The new US administration will not tolerate levying fines of tens of billions of dollars on major US technology companies by an EU that is drifting towards authoritarianism and is at the same time more dependent than ever on American power. To imagine otherwise, you would have to be as naive as a German bureaucrat.

It would be in Europe's lasting interest to prepare for the return of free and unfettered expression.

Doug Casey on Trump’s Geopolitical Strategy (or Lack Thereof) in Greenland, Canada, and the Panama Canal

   Long time no see Doug Casey"s no nonsense comments on Trump"s "ideas" concerning Panama, Greenland and Canada. 

  It always brings a lot to the discussion to add a minimum of context to bold assertions and ideas. Here we discover that what's Trump is saying doesn't hold much water and that his policies are more randomly opportunistic than strategic. 

  "The longest path to victory or the noise before defeat?" Here defeat means the crash of the American Empire. In the end, Trump may bring a few sound ideas to the table drown in a flood of nonsensical gestures which instead of slowing down the downfall of the hegemon will accelerate the process. What a way to go: A firework instead of a whimper! But then again: Did we really wanted 4 years of Kamala Harris' technocracy running wild? It reminds me of an old rather difficult choice in old Japan when the two options were boiling and roasting!

Via International Man

International Man: President Trump has openly voiced his interest in having the US government take control of the Panama Canal.

He has even suggested that he wouldn’t rule out using military force to make it happen.

What is going on here?

Doug Casey: Panama, like most countries, is an artificial construct; it’s not part of the cosmic firmament. It came into being when it seceded from Colombia in 1903, midwifed by US intervention. That was a “good” secession, unlike that of the Donbas from the Ukraine in 2014 or the South from the Union in 1861, which everyone knows were “bad” secessions.

The US then bought the Zone (5 miles on either side of the proposed canal) from Panama for $10 million, which was 500,000 ounces of gold. That impresses me as a fair price, considering it was an undeveloped fever-ridden jungle at the time and that gold is worth nearly $1.5 billion today. Another $40 million (2,000,000 ounces) was paid to buy out the previous French developer. In those days the US still—sometimes—dealt with a measure of honor and propriety. Then, another $350 million (17.5 million ounces) was spent to build the canal itself.

It makes sense to think in terms of gold since that was money then. It was the largest US investment in history up to that time. Be that as it may, creating Panama enabled the US to build the canal—to the great advantage of all concerned.

Anyway, the canal now supposedly yields $3 billion (+/- 1,000,000 ounces) of profit on about $5 billion of gross receipts per year. It’s not a giant money machine in today’s context.

Panama has been de facto US territory and the Canal Zone de jure US territory, fair and square, from the get-go. Until Jimmy Carter “sold” the Zone to Panama in 1977 (for a token $1) because he felt it was the right thing to do. I disagree, but everybody’s got an opinion. Since then, the Panamanians have run the canal competently and greatly improved it.

Perhaps we should just forget about the legalisms. Central America has been under the thumb of the US since at least the days of William Walker, who nearly succeeded in singlehandedly conquering most of the region in the 1850’s. USMC Gen. Smedley Butler spent the best part of his career acting as an enforcer when Central American cuadillos got uppity. And, most recently, the US invaded Panama in 1989 to depose long-time CIA stooge Manuel Noriega, killing several thousand Panamanians as collateral damage.

One annoying element of the current kerfuffle is the way Trump keeps saying the Panamanians are “ripping off” the US. I’m unsure how he’s jumped to that conclusion since, thanks to the Jones Act, almost zero US-flagged ships exist to “rip off.” All ships pay the same prices for passage, regardless of nationality, except for US Naval vessels, which pay nothing. Apart from that, Canal fees have risen much less than inflation since Panama took over.

The big question here is to what degree one nation-state can repossess or conquer real estate that may belong to another. Revanchism has been a consistent casus belli throughout history. The Argentines with the Falklands. The Moslems and the Jews with Palestine. The Suez Crisis in 1956 when Egypt took that Canal away from the UK and France.

Should Mexico try to repossess the American Southwest, which the Americans conquered in 1848? Should France try to repossess the Louisiana Purchase because they think it was sold too cheaply? Should Russia take back Alaska for the same reason?

Does the nationality of an asset like the canal make any difference? Or is it important that it’s operated competently and peaceably? It was weak and stupid of Carter to have given the Zone to Panama. But it’s dishonorable and stupid of Trump to threaten a theft.

International Man: Trump has also taken significant steps toward Greenland, a strategically important Arctic territory.

Why is Trump so focused on Greenland?

Doug Casey: Governments love to use the word “strategic.” It’s a magic word. Everything is strategic when they want something.

The island is quite an anomaly, bigger than Alaska and California combined, but with only 47,000 people, 90% of whom are “real” natives. I understand there’s something of a race problem, though, despite the fact the natives are a large majority. The “real” natives apparently have an animus against those of European descent, even if they were born in Greenland. And even though it costs Copenhagen about $10,000 per person per year to maintain the place. It would appear Greenland is a $500 million annual drain on the Danish treasury.

Does Greenland have mineral wealth? Of course. But so does Alaska, with a vastly better climate, vastly more development, 500,000 people, and a cornucopia of all types of minerals. Fun fact: Mineral production is greatly overrated as a source of wealth.

As for “strategic” things, during the Afghanistan war, strategic thinkers thought “we” should take it over because someone said it had $3 trillion of minerals. Similar numbers are pulled out of thin air for Greenland, but they’re meaningless for a dozen different reasons. The theoretical value of minerals in the ground is meaningless. What counts is the cost and possible profitability—or not—of recovering them.

One thing they’re not considering is who now owns Greenland. It’s not the Danish government. My understanding is that the island is owned in common by the natives—not just the vast icefields but even the land under everyone’s house. It’s a very tribal and communal society. Washington is not likely to respect that.

Greenland should declare independence. This might incentivize the natives to deploy their asset in the most economic way. Perhaps becoming an Arctic version of the Caymans or Singapore, buttressed by some theoretically valuable real estate. Becoming part of the US would most likely turn them into welfare recipients, a colder version of Puerto Rico—a lose-lose for both parties.

International Man: Trump has also proposed making Canada the 51st state, even going as far as threatening to use “economic force” to achieve this.

What’s your take on this?

Doug Casey: The Donald has a quirky sense of humor, something I’ve always liked about him. Maybe he’s just letting loose his comic instincts. However, jesting about an Anschluss with other people’s property isn’t a clever negotiating technique. In today’s world, it’s very dangerous. Could it be grounds for removal under the 25th Amendment?

This calls to mind what Thucydides said in his tome on the Peloponnesian War. The Athenians decided to teach the island of Milos a lesson for not actively supporting them against the Spartans. They invaded and destroyed the city, justifying it by saying: “The powerful do what they wish, and the weak suffer what they must.” It’s not a good look or a good model for the US.

But would Canada be better off if it merged with the US?

The cultures of Canada and the US are very similar. The big difference lies in the nature of their governments. Both are poorly run, bankrupt, and far from their founding principles.

That said, it’s arguable Canada would gain tremendously. The country has a per capita GDP of only 2/3rds that of the US, and it’s much more highly taxed and regulated. Merging them would only create an even more dysfunctional and “diverse” US.

The best solution for Canada is to split up, starting with Quebec. It’s not just that the province is culturally French and alien to the rest of the country; it has long been an economic drain. In fact, all the provinces would do better, becoming independent countries. Alberta has made noises in that direction for years. Newfoundland only joined Canada in 1949 to become a large net welfare recipient and the butt of Newfie jokes. They climbed aboard a sinking ship when they should have manned a lifeboat.

The real problem is that Canada is much more left-leaning than the US. If, heaven forbid, Trump somehow merged the two countries, it would only guarantee that leftists would control the US forever after. It would be a disaster for the US.

International Man: The idea of merging the US, Canada, and Mexico was once dismissed as a nefarious globalist scheme to centralize power, erode US sovereignty, and pave the way for a global government.

Trump has rebranded this concept, and many who once opposed it are now cheering it on.

Is globalism wrapped in a MAGA package still globalism?

Doug Casey: Apart from the fact that the world would be better off with many more microstates, not just a few megastates (or MAGAstates), it’s further proof that Trump has no philosophical core, and the US government is “on tilt.” That’s said of an incompetent, out-of-control gambler who keeps doubling his bets in the hope of somehow breaking even. The US is irredeemably bankrupt, controlled by an entrenched and deeply corrupt Deep State which operates for its own benefit, not the country as a whole.

I’m afraid the US is like a star about to go supernova, in collapse after burning its fuel. Or a dinosaur thrashing around in its death throes. It’s become a bankrupt multicultural domestic empire. Contrary to what Trump seems to think, it can’t solve its problems by expanding and taking over more territory.

That will only create more chaos.

International Man: What are the overall investment implications of Trump’s geopolitical strategy?

Doug Casey: We’re in for tough times. But, as always, I like to look at the bright side… namely that Harris and the Jacobins aren’t returning to office next week. On the dark side, Trump is starting to prove himself a megalomaniac. A bull in a China shop. A loose cannon. But, going back to the bright side, maybe this will have the effect of delegitimizing the US government, which is rotten to its core.

The average American has forgotten that his real enemy aren’t some motley foreigners on the other side of the globe—it’s his own government.

If Trump breaks some Deep State rice bowls, that’s great. I wish him, via Elon and Vivek, great success. Although success is a longshot bet. But what if Trump goes megalomaniacally wild and creates international chaos—in addition to what he may do in the Middle East or the Ukraine?

Washing away rotten foundations is both good and necessary. The problem is that a sound replacement foundation doesn’t exist on which to rebuild things because the basics of American society have been washed away as well.

I think we’re looking at potential chaos over the next four years, and then, when the Republicans are kicked out of office, it will get even worse. Truly rabid Democrats will take power as “our democracy” begs for a new father figure or Big Brother to kiss the situation and make it better.

So, as Lenin said, “What is to be done?”

With grossly overpriced stock, bond, and real estate markets, and a fiat currency heading towards its intrinsic value, it makes sense to own gold, silver, other underpriced commodities, and, of course, some speculations in the companies that produce them.

The Technocratic Blueprint - A Century In The Making

  Here's an absolutely frightening vision of social engineering. The truly frightening part is that it is not the future but the present and we didn't see it arrive! The silver lining is that the future is not written and neither is progress or what we call progress linear. Still, the changes which have taken place over the last few decades are mind blowing. I am personally shocked to see how most people are now almost completely removed from "nature" and direct experience of it. 

  People have lost a sense of proportion and experience of reality. Although this is not yet the "virtual" of science fiction, most people live in an almost completely artificial environment which has been built around them so slowly that they didn't realize it nor saw it coming. Think about the "office", the "mall", the time you spend behind a computer or hooked on your mobile. Almost every input nowadays comes through some device or is transformed somewhat before it reaches you. Now imagine what it will be when AI (very soon) adds another filter between you and reality. 

  Will people know what is true and what is not? What is real and what is not? Will they care? Now imagine the power of the people who control these filters. The trillion of dollars of market value of social media and technology companies where never based on the actual value of their products or services but upon the value of access to your mind and opinions. Soon this power will be used and our society will remove itself further from reality...  

Authored by Joshua Stylman via substack,

"Humanity will attempt to overcome its limitations and arrive at fuller fruition," declared Julian Huxley in 1957, coining the term “transhumanism.” 

By 2022, Yuval Noah Harari would announce its dark fulfillment:

"Humans are now hackable animals. The whole idea of free will... that's over. Today we have the technology to hack human beings on a massive scale. Everything is being digitized, everything is being monitored. In this time of crisis, you have to follow science. It's often said you should never allow a good crisis to go to waste, because a crisis is an opportunity to also do 'good' reforms that in normal times people would never agree to. But in a crisis, you have no chance, so you better do what we - the people who understand - tell you to do."

Like Truman Burbank in 'The Truman Show,' we inhabit a world where reality itself is increasingly engineered. And like Truman, most remain unaware of the extent of this engineering until shown the patterns. But unlike Truman's physical dome with its obvious cameras and artificial sets, our manufactured environment operates through sophisticated technological systems and invisible digital constraints. The mechanics of this reality engineering - from media manipulation to social programming - were explored in detail in our previous analysis. Now we turn to the driving force behind this manufactured world: technocracy, the system of control that makes such reality engineering possible on a global scale.

The technocratic architecture wasn't merely passed down through institutions - it flowed through bloodlines. At the heart of this dynastic web sits Thomas Henry Huxley, known as "Darwin's Bulldog," who helped establish scientific materialism as the new religion while serving on the influential Rhodes Round Table. His son Leonard carried this torch forward, while grandsons Aldous and Julian became key architects of the modern world order. These weren't random connections but rather the careful cultivation of multi-generational power networks.

The connections deepen through marriage and association. Charles Galton Darwin, grandson of Charles Darwin, wrote "The Next Million Years" in 1952, outlining population control through technological means. His son would later marry into the Huxley line, creating a powerful nexus of influence spanning science, culture, and governance.

This intergenerational project has evolved with technological capability. Where Rockefeller once declared “we need a nation of workers, not thinkers” while building his educational information factory today's technocrats face a different equation. As artificial intelligence eliminates the need for human labor, the focus shifts from creating compliant workers to managing population reduction - not through overt force, but through sophisticated social engineering.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink recently made this shift explicit, explaining how AI and automation will reshape population dynamics: “In developed countries with shrinking populations... these countries will rapidly develop robotics and AI technology... the social problems that one will have in substituting humans for machines will be far easier in those countries that have declining populations.” His candid assessment reveals how technological capability drives elite agendas - as human labor becomes less necessary, population reduction becomes more desirable.

Climate change messagingdeclining birth rates, and the normalization of euthanasia aren't random developments but logical extensions of this evolving agenda.

From World Brain to Digital Hive Mind

In 1937, a British science fiction writer imagined a future where all human knowledge would be instantly accessible to everyone. Today, we call it the Internet. But H.G. Wells saw more than just technology. "The world has a World Brain to which, ultimately, all knowledge is to be addressed," he wrote, "and it has a nervous system of road, railway, and air communication which is already beginning to bind mankind into a whole." His vision went beyond mere information sharing. Through "The Open Conspiracy," he called for "a movement of all that is intelligent in the world," explicitly advocating for technocratic governance by a scientific elite who would gradually assume control of society. “The Open Conspiracy must be, from its very inception, a world movement, and not merely an English movement or a Western movement. It must be a movement of all that is intelligent in the world.” Wells here laid out his schema for a class of educated, rational individuals who would lead this global transformation. Even his fictional work "Shape of Things to Come" reads like a blueprint, particularly in its description of how a pandemic might facilitate global governance.

This plan found its institutional expression through Julian Huxley at UNESCO. 'The general philosophy of UNESCO should be a scientific world humanism, global in extent and evolutionary in background,' he declared as its first Director-General. Through works like “Religion Without Revelation” (1927), Huxley didn't merely suggest replacing traditional faith - he outlined a new religious orthodoxy with Science as its deity and experts as its priesthood. This quasi-religious devotion to scientific authority would become the framework for today's unquestioning acceptance of expert proclamations on everything from vaccine mandates to climate policies. Most civilians lack the specialized knowledge to evaluate these complex technical issues, yet are expected to embrace them with religious fervor - “trust the science” becoming the modern equivalent of “trust in faith.” This blind deference to scientific authority, precisely as Huxley envisioned, has transformed science from a method of inquiry into a system of belief.

The Huxley family provided the intellectual architecture for this transformation. Julian Huxley's "scientific world humanism" at UNESCO established the institutional framework, while his brother Aldous revealed the psychological methodology. In his 1958 interview with Mike Wallace, Aldous Huxley explained how rapid technological change could overwhelm populations, making them "lose their capacity for critical analysis." His description of "control through overwhelm" perfectly describes our current state of constant technological disruption, where people are too disoriented by rapid change to effectively resist new control systems.

Most crucially, Huxley emphasized the importance of "gradual" implementation - suggesting that by carefully pacing technological and social changes, resistance could be managed and new control systems normalized over time. This strategy of gradualism, mirroring the Fabian Society's approach, can be seen in everything from the slow erosion of privacy rights to the incremental implementation of digital surveillance systems. His warning about psychological conditioning through media foreshadowed today's social media algorithms and digital behavior modification.

Zbigniew Brzezinski's "Between Two Ages" expanded this framework, describing a coming "technetronic era" marked by surveillance of citizens, control through technology, manipulation of behavior, and global information networks. He was remarkably explicit about this blueprint: “The technetronic era involves the gradual appearance of a more controlled society. Such a society would be dominated by an elite, unrestrained by traditional values... Soon it will be possible to assert almost continuous surveillance over every citizen and maintain up-to-date complete files containing even the most personal information about the citizen. These files will be subject to instantaneous retrieval by the authorities.” Today, many might recognize his daughter Mika Brzezinski as co-host of MSNBC's Morning Joe - while her father shaped geopolitical theory, she would go on to influence public opinion through media, demonstrating how establishment influence adapts across generations

Wells' framework of a “World Brain” - an interconnected global information network - has become a reality through the rise of artificial intelligence and the Internet. This centralization of knowledge and data mirrors the technocratic ambition for an AI-powered global society, as exemplified by initiatives like the AI World Society (AIWS).

George Orwell's predictions have become our daily reality: telescreens tracking our movements have become smart devices with always-on cameras and microphones. Newspeak limiting acceptable speech emerged as content moderation and political correctness. The memory hole erasing inconvenient facts operates through digital censorship and "fact-checking." Thought crime punishing wrong opinions appears as social credit systems and digital reputation scores. Perpetual war maintaining control continues through endless conflicts and the "war on terror."

Consider how major publications systematically preview coming technological transformations: mainstream media's promotion of the "never offline" mentality preceded widespread adoption of wearable surveillance devices that now converge human biology and digital technology - what's now called the "Internet of Bodies.”

These aren't random predictions - they represent coordinated efforts to acclimate the public to increasingly invasive technologies that blur the boundaries between the physical and digital realms. This pattern of previewing control systems through mainstream media serves a dual purpose: it normalizes surveillance while positioning resistance as futile or backward-looking. By the time these systems are fully implemented, the public has already been conditioned to accept them as inevitable progress.

If Orwell showed us the stick, Huxley revealed the carrot. While Orwell warned of control through pain, Huxley predicted control through pleasure. His dystopia of genetic castes, widespread mood-altering drugs, and endless entertainment parallels our world of CRISPR technology, psychiatric medication, and digital addiction.

While the theoretical foundations were established through visionaries like Wells and Huxley, implementing their ideas required institutional frameworks. The transformation from abstract concepts to global control systems would emerge through carefully crafted networks of influence.

From Round Tables to Global Governance

When Cecil Rhodes died in 1902, he left more than just a diamond fortune. His will outlined a roadmap for a new kind of empire - one built not through military conquest, but through the careful cultivation of future leaders who would think and act as one. Carroll Quigley, in his influential work "Tragedy and Hope," provided insider insights into the power structures he observed, noting how “the powers of financial capitalism had another far-reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole. This system was to be controlled in a feudalist fashion by the central banks of the world acting in concert, by secret agreements arrived at in frequent private meetings and conferences.”

This would manifest through a network based on human connection and institutional influence. Rhodes envisioned creating an elite network that would extend British influence globally while fostering Anglo-American cooperation. His doctrine wasn't just about political power - it was about shaping the very mechanisms through which future leaders would think and operate.

The machinery of global control has undergone a profound transformation since Rhodes' time. The 1.0 model of globalism operated through nation-states, colonialism, and the explicit structures of the British Empire. Today's Globalism 2.0 operates through corporate and financial institutions, steering power toward centralized global governance without the need for formal empire. Organizations like the Bilderberg Group, Council on Foreign Relations, Trilateral Commission, and Tavistock Institute have spent 50 to 100 years guiding global programs and policies, gradually centralizing power, influence, and resources among an increasingly concentrated elite. The Bilderberg Group, in particular, has facilitated private discussions among influential political and business leaders, shaping high-level decision-making behind closed doors.

The Rhodes Scholarships served as more than an educational program - they created a pipeline for identifying and cultivating future leaders who would advance this technocratic agenda. The Round Table Movement that emerged from Rhodes' blueprint would establish influential groups in key countries, creating informal networks that would shape global policy for generations.

From these Round Tables emerged key institutions of global governance: the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House) in London and the Council on Foreign Relations in the United States. These organizations wouldn't merely discuss policy - they would create the intellectual framework through which policy could be imagined. Their members would go on to establish the League of Nations, the United Nations, and the Bretton Woods system.

Alice Bailey's vision, articulated through Lucis Trust (founded in 1922 as Lucifer Publishing Company before being renamed in 1925), foreshadowed and helped shape aspects of today's global institutions. While not directly establishing the UN, Lucis Trust's influence can be seen in the organization's spiritual and philosophical foundations, including the Meditation Room at UN headquarters. In “The Externalization of the Hierarchy”, written over several decades and published in 1957, Bailey outlined a vision for global transformation that parallels many current UN initiatives. Her writings described changes we now see manifesting: reformed education systems promoting global citizenship, environmental programs restructuring society, spiritual institutions merging into universal beliefs, and economic systems becoming increasingly integrated. Most notably, she specified 2025 as the target date for this “externalization of the hierarchy” - a timeline that aligns with many current global initiatives, including the UN's 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.

Today, this gameplan manifests through the World Economic Forum, where Klaus Schwab, mentored by Henry Kissinger, implements these historical technocratic guides. As Kissinger stated in 1992, “A New World Order will emerge. The only question is whether it will arise out of intellectual and moral insight, and by design, or whether it will be forced on mankind by a series of catastrophes.” Klaus Schwab's WEF actively shapes this order, “penetrating cabinets” through its Young Global Leaders program. As Schwab himself boasted, “What we are very proud of is that we penetrate the global cabinets of countries” - a claim evidenced by the fact that multiple cabinet members in countries like Canada, France, Germany, New Zealand, as well as U.S. politicians such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Huma Abedin had gone through the WEF's leadership initiatives.

Programming the Future: Selling the Cage

Edward Bernays, nephew of Sigmund Freud, developed the psychological framework that would become modern marketing and social media manipulation. This family connection was no coincidence - Freud's psychological insights about human nature would be weaponized by his nephew into tools for mass manipulation. This pattern of family influence continues today - the co-founder of Netflix, Marc Bernays Randolph, is Edward Bernays' great-nephew, demonstrating how these bloodlines continue shaping our cultural consumption. The techniques of “engineering consent” and managing public opinion that Edward Bernays pioneered now operate through digital platforms at unprecedented scale, setting the stage for the phenomenon of predictive programming.

Predictive programming operates by presenting future control systems as entertainment, normalizing them before implementation. When reality mirrors fiction, the public has been pre-conditioned to accept it. This isn't mere coincidence - these narratives systematically prepare populations for planned transformations.

As theorist Alan Watt explains, “predictive programming works to create a psychological conditioning in our minds through a Pavlovian-like process. By repeatedly exposing people to future events or control systems through entertainment media, the responses become familiar and those events are then accepted as natural occurrences when they manifest in reality.”

Hollywood serves as the primary vehicle for normalizing technocratic ideas. Movies and TV shows consistently present future scenarios that later become reality:

  • Minority Report" (2002) predicted personalized advertising and gesture-controlled interfaces → Now we have targeted ads and touchless controls

  • Iron Man" (2008) normalized brain-computer interfaces for everyday use → Now we see Neuralink and other neural implant initiatives gaining public acceptance

  • Black Mirror" (2011-) episodes about social credit scores → China implemented similar systems

  • Contagion" (2011) eerily predicted pandemic responses → Many of its scenes played out in real life

  • The Social Network" (2010) portrayed tech disruption as inevitable and leaders as brilliant outsiders → Leading to widespread technocrat worship

  • Person of Interest" (2011) depicted mass surveillance through AI → Now we have widespread facial recognition and predictive policing

  • "Her" (2013) depicted an intimate relationship between a human and an AI assistant, presaging the erosion of traditional human bonds

  • "Elysium" (2013) depicted technological class division → Now we see increasing discussion of transhuman enhancement limited to elites

  • "Transcendence" (2014) explored human consciousness merging with AI → Now we see Neuralink and other brain-computer interface initiatives advancing rapidly

  • “Ready Player One" (2018) normalized full digital immersion and virtual economy → Now we see metaverse initiatives and digital asset markets

Even children's entertainment plays a role. Movies like WALL-E predict environmental collapse, while children’s films like Disney/Pixar’s Big Hero 6 show technology "saving" humanity. The message remains consistent: technology will solve our problems, but at the cost of traditional human relationships and freedoms. This systematic conditioning through media would require an equally systematic institutional framework to implement at scale.

While Bernays and his successors developed the psychological framework for mass influence, implementing these ideas at scale required a robust institutional architecture. The translation of these manipulation techniques from theory to practice would emerge through carefully constructed networks of influence, each building upon the other's work. These networks wouldn't just share ideas - they would actively shape the mechanisms through which future generations would understand and interact with the world.

The Institutional Network

The technocratic map required specific institutions for its implementation. The Fabian Society, whose coat of arms tellingly featured a wolf in sheep's clothing and a tortoise logo representing their motto of "when I strike, I strike hard" and "slow and steady change", established mechanisms for gradual social transformation. This gradualist approach would become a template for how institutional change could be implemented without triggering resistance.

The translation of technocratic theory into global policy required institutional muscle. Organizations like the Rockefeller and Ford Foundations didn't merely support these initiatives - they systematically restructured society through strategic funding and policy implementation. The Rockefeller Foundation's influence over medicine mirrored Ford's reshaping of education, creating interconnected mechanisms of control over health and knowledge. These foundations operated as more than philanthropic organizations - they served as incubators for technocratic governance, carefully cultivating networks of influence through grants, fellowships, and institutional support. Their work demonstrated how apparent charity could mask profound social engineering, a pattern that continues with today's tech philanthropists.

Bill Gates exemplifies this evolution - his foundation wields unprecedented influence over global health policy while simultaneously investing in digital ID systemssynthetic foods, and surveillance technologies. His acquisition of vast agricultural holdings, becoming America's largest private farmland owner, parallels his control over global seed preservation and distribution systems. Like Rockefeller before him, Gates uses philanthropic giving to shape multiple domains - from public health and education to agriculture and digital identity. His transhumanist vision extends to patenting human-computer interfaces, positioning himself to influence not just our food and health systems, but potentially human biology itself through technological integration. Through strategic media investments and carefully managed public relations, these activities are typically portrayed as charitable initiatives rather than exercises in control. His work demonstrates how modern philanthropists have perfected their predecessors' methods of using charitable giving to engineer social transformation.

The transformation of medicine offers a stark example of how control systems evolved. Jonas Salk, celebrated as a humanitarian for his vaccine work, revealed darker motivations in books like "The Survival of the Wisest" and "World Population and Human Values: A New Reality," which explicitly advocated eugenics and depopulation agendas. This pattern of apparent philanthropy masking population control repeats throughout the century, forcing us to reconsider many of our assumed heroes of progress.

The weaponization of social division emerged through careful academic study. Margaret Mead and Gregory Bateson's work in Papua New Guinea, particularly their concept of schismogenesis (the creation of social rifts), provided the theoretical framework for modern social engineering. While presented as neutral anthropological research, their studies effectively created a manual for societal manipulation through the exploitation of internal strife. Bateson's "Steps to an Ecology of Mind" revealed how communication patterns and feedback loops could shape both individual and collective behavior. The concept of schismogenesis described how initial separations could be amplified into self-reinforcing cycles of opposition - a process we now see deliberately deployed through social media algorithms and mainstream news programming.

Matt Taibbi's “Hate Inc.” provides a powerful contemporary analysis of how these principles operate in our digital age. What Bateson observed in tribal cultures, Taibbi documents in today's media ecosystem - the systematic exploitation of division through algorithmic content delivery and engagement metrics, creating an industrialized form of schismogenesis that drives social control through manufactured conflict, even as the establishment “uniparty” converges on key issues like foreign policy.

The Royal Institute of International Affairs and Council on Foreign Relations shaped international policy frameworks, while the Tavistock Institute developed and refined psychological operations techniques. The Frankfurt School reshaped cultural criticism, and the Trilateral Commission guided economic integration. Each of these organizations serves multiple roles: incubating technocratic ideas, training future leaders, networking key influencers, developing policy frameworks, and engineering social change.

Bertrand Russell's "The Impact of Science on Society" provided the blueprint for modern educational control. "The subject which will be of most importance politically is Mass Psychology," he wrote. "Its importance has been enormously increased by the growth of modern methods of propaganda. Of these the most influential is what is called 'education'." His frank explorations of population control and scientific governance find expression in contemporary discussions about expert rule and "following the science." These ideas now manifest in standardized digital education systems and AI-driven learning platforms.

The Club of Rome's “Limits to Growth” deserves special attention for establishing the intellectual framework behind current environmental and population control initiatives. Their stark declaration that “the common enemy of humanity is man” revealed their true agenda. As they explicitly stated in”'The First Global Revolution” (1991): 'In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill... All these dangers are caused by human intervention and it is only through changed attitudes and behavior that they can be overcome. The real enemy then, is humanity itself.’ Their predictions of resource scarcity weren't just about environmental concerns - they provided the foundation for today's climate change messaging and population control initiatives, enabling control through both resource allocation and demographic engineering.

These institutional structures didn't remain static - they evolved with technological capability. What began as physical systems of control would find their ultimate expression in digital infrastructure, achieving a level of surveillance and behavioral modification that earlier technocrats could only imagine.

Modern Implementation: The Convergence of Control Systems

Modern surveillance architecture pervades every aspect of daily life. Smart devices monitor millions of people's sleep patterns and vital signs while AI assistants guide our daily routines under the guise of convenience. Just as Truman's world was controlled through hidden cameras and staged interactions, our digital environment monitors and shapes our behavior through devices we willingly embrace. News and information flow through carefully curated algorithmic filters that shape our worldview, while workplace surveillance and automation increasingly define our professional environments. Our entertainment arrives through recommendation systems, our social interactions are mediated through digital platforms, and our purchases are tracked and influenced through targeted advertising. Where Truman's world was controlled by a single producer and production team, our engineered reality operates through integrated frameworks of technological control. The infrastructure of technocracy - from digital surveillance to behavioral modification algorithms - provides the practical means for implementing this control at scale, far beyond anything depicted in Truman's artificial world.

Like Truman's carefully controlled environment, our digital world creates an illusion of choice while every interaction is monitored and shaped. But unlike Truman's physical cameras, our surveillance system is invisible - embedded in the devices and platforms we voluntarily embrace. Even our health decisions are increasingly guided by “expert” algorithms, our children's education becomes standardized through digital platforms, and our travel is continuously monitored through digital tickets and GPS. Most insidiously, our money itself is transforming into trackable digital currency, completing the surveillance circuit. Just as Truman's every purchase and movement was carefully tracked within his artificial world, our financial transactions and physical movements are increasingly monitored and controlled through digital systems - but with far greater precision and scope than anything possible in Truman's manufactured reality.

Historical agendas have manifested with remarkable precision in our current systems. Wells' World Brain has become our Internet, while Huxley's soma takes the form of widespread SSRIs. Bailey's dreams of global governance emerge through the UN and WEF, as Brzezinski's technetronic era arrives as surveillance capitalism. Russell's educational outline manifests in digital learning platforms, Bernays' manipulation techniques power social media, and the Club of Rome's environmental concerns drive climate change policy. Each historical blueprint finds its modern implementation, creating converging networks of control.

The next phase of control systems is already emerging. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are creating what amounts to a digital gulag, where every transaction requires approval and can be monitored or prevented. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) scores extend this control to corporate behavior, while AI governance increasingly automates decision-making processes. This new paradigm effectively codifies "cancel culture", diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives into the monetary system, creating a comprehensive system of financial control

Initiatives like the Internet of Bodies and the development of smart cities overseen by governing bodies like the C40 network further demonstrate how the technocratic vision is being implemented in the present day. These efforts to meld human biology with digital technology, and to centralize urban infrastructure under technocratic control, represent the logical extension of the historical blueprint outlined throughout this essay.

Understanding to Resist

The technocratic future isn't coming - it's here. Every day, we live out the predictions these thinkers made decades ago. But understanding their vision gives us power.

Just as Truman Burbank finally sailed toward the boundaries of his artificial world, recognizing the illusion that had constrained him, we too must muster the courage to push against the edges of our own digitally-enforced reality. But unlike Truman's physical dome, our constraints are increasingly biological and psychological, woven into the very fabric of modern life through technocratic systems of control. The question isn't whether we're living in a Truman-like system - we demonstrably are. The question is whether we'll recognize our digital dome before it becomes biological, and whether we'll have the courage to sail toward its boundaries like Truman did.

Individual Actions:

  • Implement strong privacy practices: encryption, data minimization, secure communications

  • Develop critical media literacy skills

  • Maintain analog alternatives to digital systems

  • Practice technological sabbaticals

Family & Community Building:

  • Create local support networks independent of digital platforms

  • Teach children critical thinking and pattern recognition

  • Establish community-based economic alternatives

  • Build face-to-face relationships and regular gatherings

Systemic Approaches:

  • Support and develop decentralized technologies

  • Create parallel systems for education and information sharing

  • Build alternative economic structures

  • Develop local food and energy independence

Our daily resistance must occur through conscious engagement: using technology without being used by it, consuming entertainment while understanding its programming, and participating in digital platforms while maintaining privacy. We must learn to accept convenience without surrendering autonomy, follow experts while maintaining critical thinking, and embrace progress while preserving human values. Each choice becomes an act of conscious resistance.

Even this analysis follows the blueprint it describes. Each system of control emerged through a consistent pattern: first a roadmap articulated by key thinkers, then a framework developed through institutions, finally an implementation that appears inevitable once completed. Just as Wells envisioned the World Brain before the Internet, and Rhodes designed the scholarship systems before global governance, the blueprint becomes visible only after understanding its components.

The Choice Ahead

Like Truman's gradual awakening to the artificiality of his world, our recognition of these control systems develops through pattern recognition. And just as Truman had to overcome his programmed fears to sail toward the boundaries of his known world, we too must push against our comfortable technological constraints to maintain our humanity.

The convergence of these control systems - from physical to psychological, from local to global, from mechanical to digital - represents the culmination of a century-long project of social engineering. What began with Edison's hardware monopolies and Wells' World Brain has evolved into an all-encompassing system of technological control, creating a digital Truman Show on a global scale.

Yet knowledge of these systems provides the first step toward resistance. By understanding their development and recognizing their implementation, we can make conscious choices about our engagement with them. While we cannot completely escape the technocratic grid, we can maintain our humanity within it through conscious action and local connection.

The future remains unwritten. Through understanding and deliberate action, we can help shape a world that preserves human agency within the technological web that increasingly defines our reality.

This metaphorical staircase, reaching ever higher towards a seemingly divine ascent, reflects the technocratic vision of mankind's transcendence through technological means. Yet true liberation lies not in climbing this constructed hierarchy, but in discovering the freedom that exists beyond its borders - the freedom to shape our own destiny, rather than have it dictated by an unseen hand. The choice before us is clear: will we remain Truman, accepting the limits of our fabricated world? Or will we take that final step, sailing toward an uncertain but ultimately self-determined future?

*  *  *

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Thursday, January 16, 2025

Will blackouts come to Britain? (Video - 46mn)

   Last week on January 8th, 2025, the electric grid in the UK was very close to collapse. This has been a problem 20 years in the making which will get worse in the coming years.

  The reasons why for this problem are complex but mostly related to the  unreliability of renewables. Eventually the whole of Europe will face similar problems. (A technical but very interesting video!)

  PS: The most interesting part of the video is after the 30mn mark when the analyst explains that net zero is not possible technically, (we can't build the batteries) and not possible financially (we can't double all the infrastructure as needed) in such a short time frame. This means that impoverishment and de-industrialization are baked into the cake! There is no way around it. Energy needs a 20 years strategy and most certainly cannot turn on a dime.


 

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Azerbaijan Signaled That It Might Be Preparing Its Own Special Operation Against Armenia

  In 2025, Russia will acquire 1/3 of Ukraine. Maybe more.

  The US will take over Greenland, probably, the Panama Canal, possibly and Canada? (Most probably not! :-) 

  Will China go for Taiwan? A full blockade is actually likely.

  Azerbaijan will may link it's two separate parts as discussed below. 

  Syria is almost history already and will further be divided between Israel and it's former colonial power: Turkiye. 

  And all this is only the beginning as clearly when the winds of change start blowing, the accumulated deadwood of international relations will burn like a Los Angeles fire on a bad day. 

  Prepare to see changes on a scale we haven't seen in a long time. "Interesting" times indeed!

by Andrew Korybko via substack,

Azerbaijan demands that Armenia demilitarize, denazify, no longer contain it on behalf of foreign (Western) powers, stop obstructing regional trade routes, and allow ethnically cleansed Azeris to return...

Azerbaijani President Ilhan Aliyev gave a nearly three-hour-long interview to several local TV channels last week, during which time he signaled that his country might be preparing its own special operation against Armenia along the lines of Russia’s ongoing one in Ukraine. He of course didn’t use that term, but describing Armenia as a fascist state whose foreign-backed military buildup poses a threat to regional security very closely resembles Putin’s words about Ukraine ahead of large-scale hostilities.

Aliyev began that part of his interview by defending Azerbaijan’s increased military budget as a response to the arms race that Armenia initiated. This is being partially fueled by the “European Peace Facility”, whose military loans are written off after a certain period, he said. Armenia is therefore basically receiving arms from the bloc for free. To make matters even more alarming, an Armenian-EU-US cooperation platform was launched last April, which Aliyev claimed has a de facto military component.

He then declared that “The independent Armenian state is actually a fascist state because this country has been led by proponents of fascist ideology for nearly 30 years.” As evidence of this, he cited its ethnic cleansing of Azeris from Armenia and Karabakh, which the first Armenian President bragged about in a newly unearthed video that was dubbed into Russian here while an excerpt was dubbed into English here. He added that Armenia is also “Islamophobic, Azerbaijanophobic, racist, (and) xenophobic”.

Aliyev upped the ante right after by thundering that “We are neighbors with such a fascist state, and the threat of fascism is not going away. Therefore, fascism must be destroyed. Either the Armenian leadership will destroy it or we will. We have no other choice.” The Azerbaijani leader suggested that “France and other countries that provide it with weapons must terminate and cancel these contracts. The weapons that have already been sent to Armenia must be returned. This is our condition.”

He hopes that his words will be heeded now that “The Soros era has ended in America” with Trump’s return. Aliyev said that “The Biden administration was, in fact, governed by the Soros method of governance. It is no coincidence that one of Biden's last decisions was to present Soros with America's highest award.” He also claimed later on in the interview that “the Soros government” was in power “during the eight years before Trump” in a clear allusion to Obama.

Other Armenian allies who’ve been “shamefully removed from the political scene” as Aliyev phrased it are Assad and Trudeau, while Macron is still hanging on by a thread, and this overall trend might lead to an Azerbaijani-Armenian peace treaty. For that to happen, the Minsk Group would have to be abolished, and Armenia has to amend its constitution due to a clause therein implying territorial claims to Azerbaijan. Aliyev said that Azerbaijan doesn’t need a peace treaty if these conditions aren’t met.

He also demanded that Armenia stops acting as a “geographical barrier between Turkiye and Azerbaijan”, to which end “The Zangezur corridor must and will be opened. The sooner they understand this, the better it is. Why should we have to go to Nakhchivan, an integral part of Azerbaijan, through different ways? We should have a direct connection, and this connection does not question Armenia's sovereignty.” Aliyev implied that Armenia’s obstructionism is part of an imperialist divide-and-rule policy.

The West, specifically France whose “full control over Armenia is also a reality”, is behind this. His earlier words about how “we believe that the Organization of Turkic States can become a serious power center on a global scale” in the “new world order” that’s emerging suggests that Armenia is being exploited as their geopolitical tool for preventing that group from reaching its full strategic potential. This is similar to what Putin claimed three years ago about how the West was exploiting Ukraine to contain Russia.

Aliyev reminded his interviewers that “I once said that they should not upset us and understand that we are the ones who have the say here and that Azerbaijan is the leading economy, the leading military power and the leading state in the South Caucasus. In today's world, the power factor is at the forefront and no one should forget this.” This too resembles Russian rhetoric in the sense of conveying what could soon come to pass if Azerbaijan’s national security and strategic interests aren’t respected.

The final demand that he made was for Armenia to accept the return of the 300,000 Azeris who were ethnically cleansed from Armenia, which he referred to as Western Azerbaijan since “All the toponyms there are of Azerbaijani origin” in Imperial-era maps. The total is “several times greater” when their descendants are included, but “Returning to those areas would not pose a significant problem” since “the majority of the villages where Azerbaijanis lived are now completely empty”, especially in Zangezur.

Although different in substance, Aliyev’s interest in the rights of ethnic Azeris in Armenia make observers recall Putin’s interest in the rights of ethnic Russians in Ukraine, thus representing another commonality between them which hints at Azerbaijan possibly preparing its own special operation. To summarize, Azerbaijan demands that Armenia demilitarize, denazify, no longer contain it on behalf of foreign (Western) powers, stop obstructing regional trade routes, and allow ethnically cleansed Azeris to return.

With Trump about to return in less than two weeks’ time, who Aliyev praised in his latest interview and made sure that his audience didn’t forget that he also did so over the summer before the debate with Biden when it wasn’t popular, it’s possible that America might finally restore its balanced regional policy. Aliyev mentioned that Biden sacrificed relations with Azerbaijan for relations with Armenia and implemented double standards against it vis-à-vis Ukraine as regards the principle of territorial integrity.

If the returning American leader corrects his predecessor’s mistakes, which were made due to Soros’ influence over the Biden Administration as can be intuited by what Aliyev shared in his latest interview, then Armenia might be pressured into complying with Azerbaijan’s demands. That would avert another regional war that Armenia is doomed to lose no matter how much some of its policymakers and citizens have convinced themselves otherwise due to Western political backing in recent years.

The West will not go to war against Azerbaijan, which could turn into a war with its Turkish ally that could tear NATO apart in an instant if it happens, over Armenia. If Trump signals a policy reversal towards the region, then the rest of the West will follow suit, possibly even France too with time. Even if it doesn’t, French arms won’t lead to Armenia defeating Azerbaijan and Turkiye, so the writing is on the wall and it’s therefore better for Armenia to do what Aliyev demands or risk total destruction.

Sunday, January 12, 2025

The Political Crisis In France Is About to Get Much Worse

   I used to be a "moderate" on Europe's problems trying to see the world through their eyes. It was a mistake!

  These people are not only dangerous technocrats, they are not even democrats at all as they just told us recently: "Would the AfD win in Germany we will have no alternative but to cancel the elections as in Romania!"

  I am consequently 100% behind Trump and especially Elon Musk nowadays in spite of all their weakness and problematic stances. We must kick the pedophiles out of the UK Government and the undemocratic green "sh!t" out of each and every European country. These people are not better than their Californian counterparts with the apology of "right-think" out of a 1984 nightmare and the promotion of incompetence at every level. 

  It will be an economic bloodbath but the Europeans brought it on themselves with absurd "green" policies which are everything but green and just destroyed their industries and energy systems. Europe will probably crash and the European Union will dissolve. It doesn't really matter for the rest of the world. They are bankrupt and have no army anyway. 

  They will have to give Greenland to the US, half of Ukraine to Russia, apologize to China or be left out of their main market, finally pay the right price to Africa to get minerals, etc, etc... Almost as painful as the downfall of Spain in the 18th Century when in a few short decades the country went from the richest in the world to an also ran backwater. 

  Well, they will still have a few jobs in the cafes of Venice and the hotels of Paris welcoming rich Asian tourists. The European centuries from the enlightenment to the industrial revolution were "interesting". Now, we're entering the AI, post industrial world from which Europe has decided voluntarily to withdrawn altogether!

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,

The entire eurozone is in shambles, and Trump’s demands will accelerate the crisis. One seriously must wonder if that is his real goal.+

The technocrat French Prime Minister proposes the same budget that collapsed the prior French government.

How is that supposed to work?

France24 provides this background on Snap Election Turmoil that led to this crisis.

French President Emmanuel Macron dissolved parliament and called a snap legislative vote in a surprise move after the far right trounced his centrist alliance in the European elections. After two rounds of voting on June 30 and July 7, neither of the country’s three main political blocs managed to secure an outright majority. A coalition of the French left, the New Popular Front, surprised everyone by taking the lead with 182 seats, Macron’s Ensemble presidential camp won 168 seats while the far right National Rally, who polls had tipped to win, languished in third place with 143 seats.

Following the election, Gabriel Attal, Macron’s Prime Minister resigned. Macron named Michel Barnier as Attal’s technocrat replacement.

In France, the Prime Minister heads up domestic policy while the president heads up foreign policy and appoints Prime Ministers, typically from members of parliament.

Michel Barnier proposed a budget that failed to pass parliament and on December 4, French lawmakers vote to oust Barnier in the first successful no-confidence vote since 1962.

On December 23, French President Emmanuel Macron named François Bayrou as his new technocrat Prime Minister.

Uncharted Territory

Stepping back one more time, on July 7, 2024, I commented France Is in Uncharted Territory, Expect a Big Political Catfight

No Agreement Questions and Answers

Q: Is there anyone acceptable to the far Left except someone on the far Left?
A: According to [far left leader] Melenchon, no

Q: Is there anyone acceptable to the far Right except someone on the far Right?
A: Certainly not.

Q: Is there a center Majority?
A: No

There Is No Magic Solution

There is no magic solution and that was evident immediately from the preliminary results, at least to anyone who can do simple math.

Despite the obvious math problem, perhaps some coalition government compromise forms out of this mess. Just don’t expect it to be stable.

On some issues, notably retirement age, the Far Left and Far Right are aligned. How’s that supposed to ever work?

The ultimate winner in this election will be the party that can stay as far away from the Center/Left catfight as possible.

I believe it’s safe to say that I called this correctly.

PM Bayrou Under Fire

Bayrou is now under fire. He proposed the exact same budget that led to the collapse of Barnier.

Politico reports French Government to Copy-Paste Budget that led to Predecessor’s Downfall.

How can a new government get a budget ready under the tightest of time pressure?

By picking up where their predecessors left off, even if it got them kicked out of office.

That is at least what French Prime Minister François Bayrou plans on doing — using Michel Barnier’s blueprint as a starting point for his own budget, despite the fact that opposition lawmakers ousted him over proposals to cut spending and increase taxes.

After Barnier and his government fell to a no-confidence vote last month over his plans to reduce France’s “colossal debt” through €40 billion in spending cuts and €20 billion in tax hikes, the country entered the new year without a proper budget for the first time in its modern history.

“They can tweak [the budget], but they can’t change it in depth … I don’t really see how they’re going to put forward [legislation] less likely to lead to a vote of no confidence,” the left-wing head of the parliament’s finance committee Eric Coquerel told POLITICO.

There are also concerns that the government may not be able to enact Barnier’s planned one-off windfall tax on big companies and wealthy individuals, as it would mean enacting a law in 2025 to tax revenue generated in 2024. The former premier had touted the move as a way to help reduce the budget deficit without placing too big a burden on majority of French taxpayers.

France is Now Ungovernable

Also on July 7, I commented France is Now Ungovernable Following a Pyrrhic Victory for the Left-Green Alliance

Macron’s Ensemble coalition currently has 249 members of the National Assembly.

After this “win” Ensemble will have 150-170 seats.

Macron will come to regret the elections.

Snap Election Mistake

On January 2, 2025, CNBC reported Macron Admits Snap Elections Destabilized France

  • As France enters the new year, there’s little hope that the political and economic uncertainty that’s been plaguing Paris for months will disappear in 2025.
  • A new minority government is in place but it faces the same challenges as before — how to get political rivals in France’s National Assembly to agree to spending and taxation plans for 2025.
  • France’s budget deficit is seen standing at 6.1% in 2024 and its debt pile at 112% of gross domestic product.
  • Credit ratings agency Moody’s downgraded France’s credit rating last month, warning that political fragmentation was “more likely to impede meaningful fiscal consolidation”

Expect a Financial Crisis in Europe With France at the Epicenter

Behind all this bickering is a huge debt crisis.

Who called for that?

Oh, I found it: March 27, 2024: Expect a Financial Crisis in Europe With France at the Epicenter

The EU never enforced its Growth and Stability Pact or Maastricht Treaty rules. The crisis is coming to a head with France and Italy in the spotlight.

EU’s Golden Rules

According to the reformed rules, an EU member state’s debt may not exceed 60% of gross domestic product (GDP).

Highly indebted EU countries with debt levels over 90% of GDP have to reduce their debt ratio by one percentage point annually, countries

Additionally, the general government deficit — the shortfall between government revenue and spending — must be kept below 3%.

According to the commission’s economic forecast, France is at -5.5%, Italy is at -4.4% and Belgium is at -4.4% and will breach this deficit limit in 2024.

Austria, Finland, Estonia, Hungary, Malta, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia also have deficits that are too high according to the rules. Spain is at exactly -3.0%.

2025 Budget Deficit

On January 6, 2025, Reuters reported French finance minister says eyes 2025 budget deficit in 5-5.5% range

French finance minister Eric Lombard said France’s budget situation was “serious” , adding he targeted a 2025 deficit in a range of 5% to 5.5% of gross domestic product (GDP).

Lombard also told France Inter radio that the budget deficit would “probably” be around 6.1% in 2024.

On June 21, 2024, I commented Debt Brakes and Treaty Requirements About to Smash the EU

The EU has launched an Excessive Debt Proceeding against France. It won’t stop there.

The Bayrou government is struggling to get agreement on a 5.5 percent deficit when it needs to get to 3.0 percent while shrinking debt from 112 percent of GDP to 60 percent of GDP.

And to get to 5.5 percent, it needs to pass a retroactive tax hike for 2024.

In this setup, I fail to see why any political party would want to win an election.

On December 17, 2024 I asked So, What Country Wants to Be Like Germany Now?

The collapse of Germany shocks many. But I have been discussing why this was inevitable for over a decade.

Trump Demands Defense Spending 5 Percent of Europe GDP, No Chance of That

On January 9, I noted Trump Demands Defense Spending 5 Percent of Europe GDP, No Chance of That

Much of the EU is struggling to get defense spending up to 2 percent of GDP. 5 percent of GDP has zero chance. Let’s discuss the math.

The entire eurozone is in shambles, and Trump’s demands will accelerate the crisis. One seriously must wonder if that is his real goal.

Friday, January 10, 2025

Los Angeles Fires - You "really" want to know what happened? Then read on!

  The Los Angeles Fire Department (LAPD) used to be a bastion of white male supremacists. Fortunately this has been drastically changed! 

  Well now you know: "Climate Change" of course! 

  But the very least that can be said is that Los Angeles truly brought it on itself!

Via: Michael Shellenberger:

It’s true that California, in general, and Los Angeles, in particular, are fiery places. It’s true that the Santa Ana winds made the fires worse.

But Newsom and Bass have known about those hazards for all of their careers and failed to deal with them. Their rank incompetence and lack of leadership are shocking and scandalous.

It’s hard to overstate how badly they screwed up water management. LA firefighters haven’t had the water they needed. Newsom hasn’t built the new water reservoirs that Los Angeles needed. And Newsom even cut the budget for water infrastructure projects last year.

Why is that? Part of the reason is that they were focused on other things. Making the fire department more racially diverse. Climate change. Homelessness.

And the reason they were focused on those things is because those are what the radical Left that controls the Democratic party wanted them to focus on.

Year after year, they do nothing while focusing on things like trans and Trump and climate and ignoring the things that really matter to the people of California.



American Free Speech Vs European Censorship

   Whatever you may think about America and the problems the country is facing as we saw in several recent posts, they pale compared to Euro...