Monday, August 17, 2026

Second Ceuta Border Invasion - Decay and decadence of Europe!

    To talk about the decline of Europe, we need to start once again with the video of Andrey Martyanov that I posted yesterday: Europe is Finished  But in reality it goes far beyond that. 

   From derelict democratic institutions which give Europeans a mix of sold out representation and populists to mere social "exhaustion", what we are currently witnessing is a continent lost for ideas and direction. 

   Crushed on the industrial front by China to the point that German auto manufacturers must return to military hardware to avoid competition and survive.

   Dominated financially by the US which uses the City of London as an official offshore center for the Euro Dollar market. (On this subject, it is worth remembering that the "Square Mile" is a self administered entity NOT subject to British law.)

    Destroyed militarily by Russia on the Ukrainian Eastern front where European technology and mercenaries are being wiped out.

   Swamped demographically by Africa where it is actually surprising that misguided policies have not already attracted far more people than the few tens of thousands below in Ceuta. 

   "Enjoying" a reverse blow back from the Crusades where the Muslim faith replaces decaying Christianity and its abandoned churches with brand new mosques filled to the brim.   

   Wherever you look, the picture is grim. British towns are now mostly Muslim to the point that Netanyahu recently joked that the UK will be the first Nuclear Muslim country. Strange that he forgot Pakistan. Doesn't fit with the "Iran" narrative? 

   The German economy is dying in front of our eyes thank to horribly misguided "green" policies from which the country will probably never recover. 

   Let's not talk about France which is spending Euros with abandon and will probably break in 2026 its own annual deficit record of 8% of the Government budget.     

   Still wondering why people have no children beyond the fact that they can't afford them anymore? What kind of a future could there be in such an environment? In France only 10% of the people believe the country is going in the right direction. You wonder what these 10% are smoking. Must be potent!  

   In 2008 we already knew that the financial system was facing a reckoning. Since the debt has exploded and most countries engineered a lock-down in 2020 for which a generation of young people will pay dearly.  

   Can Europe exit this sinister spiral which is accelerating year after year and more and more resemble a deadly flight corkscrew? Or as Trump is showing us, is doubling down the only policy left once you're deep enough into sh!t that any other option becomes unworkable? What is certain is that the coming months will be extremely tense and eventful for the world in general but for Europe in particular.  

Summary: 

  • Second Ceuta Border Invasion Attempt By Sub-Saharan Africans Ilegals 
  • Public Health Disaster Unfolds In Ceuta After First Invasion, Weeks Ago
  • Hybrid Warfare Fears Mount As Migrant Flows Weaponized 
  • Italy's Schengen suspension with Spain will remain until security risks disappear

Weaponized Migrant Flows: Spain's Ceuta Border Under Attack (Again) 

Multiple open-source reports indicate that thousands of illegal aliens are massing near Spain's Ceuta border, raising the prospect of coordinated attempts to breach the enclave for the second time.

If verified, the invasion attempt comes just weeks after the first round, in which more than 60,000 military-aged men attempted to breach the border. This only suggests that migrant flows are being deliberately weaponized to pressure the socialist government in Madrid, potentially marking a second phase of sustained border destabilization.

Official reporting from news outlet France 24 says:

Morocco has deployed heavy security around the border city of Fnideq after false social media rumours claimed the border to Spain's Ceuta enclave would open. Hundreds of migrants, mostly from sub-Saharan Africa, have gathered nearby, raising fears of another mass crossing just weeks after tens of thousands attempted to enter the Spanish territory.

Paris-based, state-owned RFI (Radio France Internationale) says:

Scores of would-be migrants, most of them from sub-Saharan Africa, were intercepted in northern Morocco near the border with the Spanish exclave of Ceuta on Saturday, two weeks after tens of thousands of people attempted to enter the territory.

Publicly available footage in the social media domain, most of which was posted on X from late Saturday into early Sunday, shows what appear to be swarms of illegal aliens trying to breach the Ceuta border.

Let's circle back to our briefing on Aug. 5, or about 11 days ago, that pointed to new signals that a second round of weaponized migrant flows would be heading to the Ceuta border by mid-month:

Earlier, we commented on the deteriorating conditions in Ceuta as it faces a public health disaster posed by the military-aged invaders.

A doctor in Ceuta told the media: "I don't know what diseases I'm bringing home. I can't even take my dog for a walk. Every day we receive reports of girls who have been raped."

We suspect Italy's Schengen suspension with Spain will remain until security risks disappear. EU leaders have warned these migrant flows are part of 'Hybrid Warfare' ... 

Must Reads:

Spain's Vox Party Demands Morocco Pay For Migration Crisis As Ceuta Faces Public Health Disaster

Via Remix News,

A massive influx of migrants into Spain's Ceuta has pushed the autonomous city's healthcare infrastructure to the brink of collapse, prompting urgent warnings from medical professionals and triggering a fierce political battle in Madrid over who should foot the bill.

With an estimated 8,000 to 10,000 migrants still remaining in an enclave of just 80,000 residents and 19 square kilometers, local resources are severely overstretched, leaving health services struggling to contain potential infectious disease outbreaks.

These health services are also dealing with cases of rape, physical assaults, and other injuries associated with the massive influx of migrants. Meanwhile, locals say the beaches are occupied by migrants, leading to sprawling tent camps, feces, urine, and the spread of infectious diseases during a critical holiday beach season.

Medical staff on the front lines describe a system operating under extreme uncertainty. At Ceuta University Hospital, officials have opened a specialized 30-bed emergency wing intended for disaster scenarios. Many of these beds are occupied not out of acute medical necessity, but because doctors cannot safely release vulnerable patients onto the streets. As sources at the facility explained, "admission responds to the impossibility of discharging patients and sending them back to the streets."

The pressure extends far beyond hospital walls into improvised encampments, such as the one at Trampolín beach. Julián Domínguez, president of the Association for the Defense of Public Health of Ceuta, highlighted the immense logistical challenge of providing street-level care to thousands of unsheltered people.

"The lack of hygienic spaces and isolation areas makes monitoring and controlling communicable conditions particularly difficult," he said.

Medical personnel are already identifying cases of concern, including scabies, tuberculosis, and unexplained fevers. Speaking on the news program En boca de todos, a Ceuta emergency physician warned that conditions are rapidly shifting:

"Scabies is not a disease that has been eradicated, but there were very few cases, which are currently increasing," said the doctor.

Addressing the risk of other contagious illnesses, the doctor added: "There are still patients with tuberculosis from time to time, but we really don't know if there will be many more with the massive entry of immigrants to Ceuta… We are having fever infections without focus, many immigrant patients who do not know exactly what the cause of the infection."

Vox party demands Morocco foot the bill

The escalating medical emergency has sparked a fierce response from the anti-immigration Vox party. The party, led by Santiago Abascal, registered initiatives in Congress demanding that the Spanish government guarantee the operational capacity of the National Institute of Health Management (INGESA) and take decisive legal steps against Morocco.

Vox argues that Spanish citizens should not carry the financial burden of what it terms a "migratory invasion," insisting that Morocco must pay for the consequences that "its act of aggression has caused Spain."

In its congressional filings, Vox demanded that the central government "conduct a rigorous audit of all expenses arising from the crisis and subsequently demand your refund from Morocco."

The proposed audit would cover all extraordinary expenditures, including security deployments by the Armed Forces, National Police, and Civil Guard; emergency rescue operations; direct healthcare and pharmaceutical costs; temporary housing; and infrastructure damage.

Echoing warnings from the Official College of Physicians of Ceuta, which characterized the situation as a "healthcare catastrophe," Vox pointed to documented cases of tuberculosis as evidence that recent events "put the public health of Ceuta residents at risk."

To resolve the staffing shortages hindering the medical response, Vox called for the immediate application of incentives for health personnel positions in Ceuta and Melilla that are notoriously difficult to cover. Above all, the party insists on diplomatic and economic pressure to ensure Rabat reimburses all accrued costs, "preventing the economic consequences of a massive and illegal entry from falling on Spanish taxpayers."

Meanwhile, local residents of Ceuta have taken measures into their own hands, hosting a massive rally on Aug. 9. Under the slogan "Enough is enough. Ceuta will not give in," protesters organized by religious communities and neighborhood associations brought together thousands of people to demand action against the mass arrival of migrants on July 30. The organizers put the turnout at over 10,000 people.

Sunday, August 16, 2026

Col Douglas Macgregor: WE'RE DEFEATED IN IRAN (Video - 22mn)

   Trump's legacy book may end up being: "The Art of Defeat!"    

   A swimming pool of black swans ready to take off! 

   Col Douglas Macgregor as incisive as usual!  

Col Douglas Macgregor: WE'RE DEFEATED IN IRAN

   If you enjoy hard truth about the West, here's Andrey Martyanov: 


Top Economist: What's Coming Is WORSE Than the 1973 Inflation Crisis (Video - 19mn)

   Trump is destroying the economy! But does he even care since absolutely everything is about himself and making money for his pals? 

   Whatever happens in the next few months we should gear up for inflation.  

Top Economist: What's Coming Is WORSE Than the 1973 Inflation Crisis

The Thucydides Trap the US fell into

  - First the definition: 

The Thucydides Trap is a concept that describes the tendency for conflict to arise when a rising power threatens to displace an established power. This idea is rooted in historical patterns of rivalry and war.

Historical Context

Origin of the Term

  • The term was first used by novelist Herman Wouk in a lecture in 1980, where he compared the Cold War dynamics between the U.S. and the Soviet Union to the rivalry between Athens and Sparta after their victory over Persia.
  • Political scientist Graham Allison revived the term around 2011, applying it to modern geopolitical tensions, particularly between the United States and China.

Historical Examples

  • The concept is based on Thucydides' observation from his work, History of the Peloponnesian War, which noted that the rise of Athens instilled fear in Sparta, making war inevitable.
  • Allison's research indicated that out of 16 historical cases of a rising power challenging a ruling power, 12 resulted in war.

Implications of the Thucydides Trap

Current Relevance

  • The Thucydides Trap is often discussed in the context of U.S.-China relations, where China's growing influence is perceived as a threat to U.S. dominance.

Potential Outcomes

  • The concept suggests that without careful management of rising tensions, nations may inadvertently escalate conflicts, leading to military confrontations.

The Thucydides Trap serves as a cautionary framework for analyzing power transitions and the potential for conflict in international relations.

   - What it means for the US: 

   Read carefully the History of the Peloponnesian War and the story becomes strangely reminiscent to what is going on currently. 

   As Athens' fear that its supremacy was being questioned grew, the city became paranoid and more imperialistic menacing both its friends and neutral states which ended up with the destruction of the neutral city of Mitylene on the island of Lesbos, convincing other Greek cities that Athens was the menace, ending with a stronger coalition against Athens and the victory of Sparta.  

   Now back to the modern world: China is menacing the current US dominated order by (for the time being) doing absolutely nothing militarily and focusing conversely on expending its commercial reach. This is both intelligent and very much in line with Sun Tzu's "Art of War" which in this case can be resumed by: Lets your enemy exhaust itself.   

   The US reading the writing on the wall, is now applying the disjointed strategy of the Neo-cons, menacing left and right and in doing so gulping more than it can swallow. Venezuela in January was the opening salvo of "Might makes Right!". Then came the misguided attack on Iran which failed miserably. And now the tentative peace agreement with Russia, while aiding Ukraine put "maximum pressure" to get time to focus on Iran while preparing the next move on China. 

   All this while the US is also supporting the no-holds barrel war of Israel against its Arab neighbors as well as a commercial war against anyone remotely supporting Russia. If this isn't overkill, what is?     

   As for Athens 2,500 years ago, the result of this absurd strategy is to cement the coalition of Iran, Russia and China, radicalize the "neutral" Arab states and even antagonize pro-US countries like India (we should call it Bharat now), Indonesia and Malaysia. 

   The result is that the BRICS dollar avoidance system keeps growing in the background while the slow drift away from US bonds accelerates just when the US needs to issue more debt than ever. This is an extraordinarily unstable combination which will have to be resolved one way or the other. 

   And then of course we have the elections in the US in November which will add pressure on Trump. The pressure cooker is set although for a dominant power like the US, it looks very much like, you guessed it: A Thucydides Trap, resulting in more and more disjointed and seemingly absurd aggressive moves, including war? We will know soon enough.  

Saturday, August 15, 2026

The Technology Screw is being Tightened while you're on Holiday.

    Who cares about the "technical" details of the Internet? Maybe you should! 

    50 years ago the Internet was invented by scientists for scientists to exchange ideas and documents. The protocols were consequently extraordinarily lax and friendly. No gateways or obstruction to communication. No nothing. Plain and simple. 

   Corporations and governments around the world have spent the following 50 years correcting what they see as a fatal defect: Freedom! 

   Initially, the system was in the hands of geeks who pushed back successfully. But the alliance of corporate greed and government dictatorial tendencies is slowly eroding the system and unfortunately the retreat is accelerating. 

   The worst case is probably Microsoft which went from an innovative product: Windows 3.1 which really opened the desktop world to non technical people to Windows 11 which is a fully on-line, controlled, for pay environment. No option left. So much so that Linux is finally taking off in 2026. 

   But Microsoft is not alone. Apple, Google and the rest are on its heels to protect their advertising and corporate profits and as discussed below slowly restructuring the infrastructure to fit their needs while destroying privacy and ease of use. 

   The worst will of course be AI since AI will be able to very precisely adjust to you and if they are controlled by big corporations (the alternative is difficult to envision at this stage) will coerce you to conform to their will. Zero escape possible. 

   We're not there yet but the pace is accelerating and once in place, it will be impossible to reverse.         

Only Approved Phones Can Pass Google’s New reCAPTCHA, Locking Out Privacy-Focused Alternatives

August 15th, 2026

I just encountered one of these for the first time. I’m not doing it.

Via: Cybernews:

Verify you’re human – by owning an approved Android or an iPhone. Google’s new reCAPTCHA system forces users to scan a QR code with a “compatible mobile device” and locks out anyone using a privacy-focused OS and device, warns GrapheneOS, a security-hardened OS alternative.

GrapheneOS warns that people without an iOS or Android device might soon be banned from accessing online services, even when browsing on desktop computers or laptops.

A recent change left arbitrary devices and operating systems, such as deGoogled Android smartphones, unable to complete Google’s reCAPTCHA verification, which prompts users to scan a QR code with a mobile device.

Firefox Is Now the Last Major Browser that Still Supports uBlock Origin

August 15th, 2026

Via: PC World:

Firefox says it will keep supporting uBlock Origin even as Microsoft Edge and other Chromium browsers phase it out under Manifest V3.

Firefox recently announced via Bluesky post: “Our support for uBlock Origin isn’t going anywhere.” The moment comes in response to news that Microsoft Edge is soon going to lock out uBlock Origin and other ad-blocking extensions that run on Manifest V2 architecture.

Once Microsoft Edge moves to Manifest V3, ad-blocking extensions won’t have access to the functions needed to properly identify and block ads that occur while browsing websites and watching videos.

Microsoft’s move isn’t surprising, as Edge is based on Chromium, the open-source browser engine that powers most web browsers today, including Opera, Brave, Vivaldi, and Samsung Browser. Google initiated the migration from Manifest V2 to V3 in Chrome/Chromium, and Microsoft Edge is now following Google’s lead.

Friday, August 14, 2026

Professor Jiang's Shocking Prediction: "Ukraine Is Already Lost"

    A great interview of Pr Jiang. What is interesting is not his prediction that the war in Ukraine is lost for the West but his strategic analysis. Then what? 

   Could Europe pivot towards Russia, realizing that America is not a "friend"? That the strategy of the US of divide and conquer has reached the limit and that the world is crystalizing into a new configuration which leaves the continent in the cold? Or will it double down, with the understanding that otherwise all is lost and the coming crash may be systemic? Pr Jiang reminds us of the Peloponnese War as a precedent. I remain pessimistic but he makes a strong case that everything could still change in unexpected ways. Well worth watching:   

Professor Jiang's Shocking Prediction: "Ukraine Is Already Lost"

⚡ALERT! ANOTHER AIRCRAFT CARRIER to CENTCOM! SEPTEMBER SURPRISE! by Canadian Prepperr (Video - 19mn)

    A dose of Canadian Prepper for the coming weekend. He is of course on the negative side as usual but also relevant and interesting. Three aircraft carriers near the Gulf for an attack on Iran in September? It certainly makes sense in light of no negotiations taking place right now, Iran bombing the Kurds, and the possible popping of the AI bubble in the coming months. 

    Hard to say. Trump is stuck between a rock (renew the war) and a hard place (The US elections in November). In spite of his bravado, he knows he may well lose badly so his political instinct must be to double down whatever the cost. What's the worst that could happen? The war taking a wrong turn and being obliged to cancel the elections? I wouldn't bet that he is not studying that option very actively right now! 

ALERT! ANOTHER AIRCRAFT CARRIER to CENTCOM! SEPTEMBER SURPRISE!

Populism: The examples of Bolivia and Japan

   In his book, "The Wealth of Nations" written in 1776, Adam Smith wrote, and I paraphrase, When two rich persons meet, it is usually to conspire against the common wealth and to raise prices. A profound fact that we have discussed at length on this blog.

   Fine. Then what is the alternative? The democratic process tells us that it must be populism: Give the people what they want and we'll end up with prosperity in a system everybody loves. The two examples bellow show us that although it usually start that way, it always ends up sooner or later in misery. 

   The first example is Bolivia where Evo Morales was President from 2006 to 2019 and where he literally gave people what they wanted. Cheap oil and subsidies for almost everyone. The prosperity, this time, (There were many "previous" times including silver earlier on.) was based on gas. Poverty was reduced but Bolivia "forgot" to invest in the future and when the future arrived, there was nothing left to keep the machine humming and avoid bankruptcy which is now starring the country in the eyes. As explained in the great video below:  

Bolivia: How To Literally Run Out Of Everything (Video - 14mn)

   Japan is a much larger country and the story is therefore far more complex. But in a nutshell, Japan spent the last 3 decades avoiding a reckoning and changing as little as possible to a system which had been so successful before. Why should they?   

   Over time, the country ended up with a staggeringly huge pile of debt, companies which are the shadow of their former self but amazingly a society still fundamentally sound if far poorer than it was earlier. What is most striking about Japan is the immense amount of mal-investment the country has managed to generate over the years. From bridges to nowhere, Shinkansen stations in the countryside, to the recent crop of super high sky-scrappers now dotting the skyline of Tokyo for armies of salarymen who are on the verge of being replaced by AI. Or by nothing at all considering their low productivity!  

   Eventually what decides the outcome of an investment is rarely productivity, but the rate of interest you must pay to roll over your debt. And the debt of Japan is so large that soon when interest rates rise as they always do, you end up unable to pay back your debt.    

Japan's Collapse (Video - 12mn)

   These are two very different example but the outcome will be the same. The only difference is that the world can cope with the bankruptcy of Bolivia, whereas the bankruptcy of Japan will be far more difficult to absorb. 

   In both cases, as Mencken famously didn't said but implied 100 years ago; Give the ordinary people what they want and watch your country go up in flames. He probably would have been appalled more than thrilled (but Mencken was a pessimist) to be so fundamentally proven right!    

   Both Evo Morales and Sanae Takaichi, a passionate of... Manga, have done their very best indeed to prove him right.   

Second Ceuta Border Invasion - Decay and decadence of Europe!

    To talk about the decline of Europe, we need to start once again with the video of Andrey Martyanov that I posted yesterday:  Europe is ...