Saturday, December 28, 2024

The AI Cambrian Explosion: OpenAI o3 Sparks a Big Bang (Video - 13mn)

  Calling it "Cambrian Explosion" or "Big Bang" is just a lighter version of the Singularity. We are truly on the verge of something big and nobody knows what it is! 

  From my experience, o1 is already at AGI level. It's just that we will not call it that for obvious psychological reasons. There are still a few gaps but you truly need to format your questions in specific ways to probe these gaps. Soon, they'll be gone. Conversely, the reasoning capabilities will continue to expand far beyond our human level. 

  As I mentioned in previous posts, the singularity could happen any time now, We simply won't see it coming. What we will see in 2025 are new applications of AI and the beginning of widespread use in multiple sectors. We can expect: AI doctors far more efficient than humans, already 80% accuracy in diagnostics vs 30% for real doctors as announced recently! AI pilots will be tested in 2025. In fact, it is likely that drones will expand so fast from now on that planes will be a minority in the sky in just a few years! China has just launched the fabrication of 1 million military drones in 2025/2026! And these are just two examples. By 2027, talking on the phone to a human will become a rare experience. The Internet will become full of AI created fake artists, fake news, fake almost everything! It will be more and more difficult to find human artifacts and creations. They will soon be at a premium! 

  In other words, as we begin to spiral around the "singularity" changes will accelerate at exponential rates with no end in sight, until... 

  Well, let's hope it doesn't happen too soon but I am afraid that the fire is already out of Prometheus' hands!


Friday, December 27, 2024

The Next Scary AI Phase in Your New Windows and iPhone 16 is Here Now! (Video - 22mn)

   Those who read this blog will know that as a Data specialists, I have from the beginning been a great proponent of AI use. I use it everyday of the week, several times a day in fact for multiple purposes with great satisfaction. 

  So the worry here is not about the AI itself but about what you (or rather "they") can do with the AI. And on that subject, the prospects are truly frightening. The control will very quickly become insidious and more or less complete. Within a short 2 to 3 years at most, you won't be able to do anything at all without constant monitoring from the AI, not by choice but by default!  This is why the companies that control you mobile devices are worth so much: They indirectly control our future!

  Usually, I tend to offer an alternative or different ways to look at the future. But here I see none. The technology is so overwhelming that it will soon become, first ubiquitous, then unavoidable. Worse, most people will see absolutely nothing! Just a very convenient tool added to their mobile. A "tool" which very soon will be in charge! 


 

US-Russia Relations Today Akin to US-Japan Relations before WWII (by Martin Armstrong)

  I fully concur with Martin Armstrong, the parallel with the period before World War 2 are surreal, almost uncanny. The big difference is that we now have nuclear weapons. The consequences of war would be beyond horrendous!

Post by Martin Armstrong

Embargo on Japan 2 15 20The US government is treating Russia just as it treated Japan before World War II fully took hold.

President Roosevelt was inflicting embargos on the Japanese, freezing their money, and cutting them off from all energy. When they turned to buying fuel from other nations, Roosevelt threatened to blockade their ships. Is it any wonder why the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor to eliminate the US fleet after the threat of an embargo?

7 26 1941 US Freeze Japan Assets

The neocon strategy is taken right out of the war book used during the Roosevelt Administration. This is precisely what FDR did to get the United States into World War II. He was frustrated because Congress would not authorize joining the war. When FDR went to Boston, the Irish lashed out at him, saying that the British starved the Irish and they were now not going to go defend them. Many people who fled Europe to America wanted to be free of the hatred and politics in Europe. So, it was NOT a popular idea to come to the rescue of Europe, which they fled.

It may come as a surprise, but the US public was sympathetic toward China during this period. America saw Japan’s actions during the Second Sino-Japanese War as predatory. Similarly, many now view Russia as the aggressor and believe it must be quelled. The hatred of the Japanese later came to a head during the war as the US government imprisoned all Japanese people, women and children, and those born in the US.

1942 Japanese internment Camps

The Neocons, during the FDR Administration, followed a clever agenda to circumvent Congress as they are doing right now. They were racists and simply hated the Japanese, as is the case with Russians right now. They started in 1938 with a series of escalating highly restrictive trade restrictions imposed on Japan. The Neocons terminated the 1911 commercial treaty with Japan in 1939. They then tightened the Export Control Act of 1940, which was intended to prevent the scarcity of critical commodities in a likely prewar environment. In addition, this act directly targeted Japan to restrict the exportation of material to Imperial Japan.

This was followed by the United States embargoing scrap metal shipments to Japan and closing the Panama Canal to Japanese shipping. The Neocons were seeking to isolate Japan without engaging in a war that only Congress could declare Japan, at the time, imported about 74% of its scrap iron from the US and over 90% of its copper.

Then, on July 26, 1941, the US seized all Japanese assets in the United States in retaliation for the Japanese occupation of French Indo-China as they have done today with Russia’s reserves. This was followed on August 1 with an oil embargo and gasoline exports to Japan which also came from the United States. The oil embargo was the last straw when 80% of its energy supply came from the USA. The US also was proposing intervening to prevent Japan from getting oil from other sources.

The complete US oil embargo was the last straw. The Japanese had to then seize Southeast Asia for resources which expanded the war instead of the old hatred between China and Japan. They needed to do that before they ran out of resources. To secure themselves in the Pacific, they attacked Pearl Harbor with no intention of actually invading the United States.

What we are doing to Russia is exactly the same way Roosevelt treated the Japanese. There will be only one resolution – World War III. I do not believe that those in Washington and Brussels are this stupid. This is a deliberate attempt to provoke Russia to attack. They will then claim we wear the white hats and Russia is the aggressor with an unprovoked attack. It worked before. There was even a Senate investigation after the war into the fact that Roosevelt knew Pearl Harbor was to be attacked and pulled out the important ships, all to force Congress to enter the war.

BREAKING: UFOs Are Monitoring Nuclear Weapons GLOBALLY (Video - 2h08mn)


  This is one of the most complete and interesting video on the subject of UFOs.

  Clearly something is going right now but why? The explanation of this video that the phenomenon seems to be linked to our use of Nuclear weapons is striking and  compelling. 

  We are being swamped by bogus sightings, false video and lights in the sky. That much is not new although probably amplified by social medias. But behind that there are also countless sightings by pilots and military officers above and around military based which are both intriguing and alarming. 

  Of course, so is the fact that we are withing earshot of a nuclear war! Is this linked? Some people believe so. I find some of their evidences convincing. Well, what do you think?  

  PS: forget about abductions and "holes in the Matrix". The subject is interesting enough without SF thrown in!

Thursday, December 26, 2024

Latest Arctic Ice Data Shows 26% Larger Than 2012 (Doesn't Fit MSM Narrative!)

  Remember those ice-free polar seas in the North predicted in the late 1990s and early 2000s? Here below is an example from the BBC in 2007 but there are countless "scientific" examples of missed "rendez-vous" with apocalypse. What happened? 

  Well nothing happened! The slow and steady warming of the last 200 years stayed on trend with no acceleration whatsoever completely destroying alarmist predictions of armaggedon. What went wrong instead were the models. We simply do not understand well how the atmosphere works. Too many variables, too few observation points, lack of historical depth... We're just not there yet.

  But there is another important factor: Our vision of the Earth is flawed. We consider it as a complex system instead of a "living" system. Living systems behave in different ways with cycles and patterns we would need to understand in order to get a more holistic view of the whole. This is a major paradigm shift that our society is not ready to make. As long as we don't there will be little progress. The earth will keep warming and nothing much will happen, except for Germany which will go bankrupt!

"Doesn't Fit MSM Narrative": Latest Arctic Ice Data Shows 26% Larger Than 2012 

Climate realist Tony Heller took to X to highlight the climate misinformation and disinformation campaigns waged by far-left corporate media on the global public.

Heller referenced a 2007 BBC News article titled "Arctic summers ice-free 'by 2013'," which warned readers of the supposed threat that "latest modeling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years."

The BBC article's baseless claim was designed to instill climate fears across the public to ram through a radical de-growth climate agenda across the Western world. 

Heller then cited NOAA Sea Ice Extent data of the Arctic from Sept. 16, 2012, and Sept. 7, 2024, and found:

"This year's minimum Arctic sea ice extent was 26% larger than 2012. @BBCNews said the Arctic would be ice-free by 2013." 

2012 NOAA Sea Ice Extent data

2024 NOAA Sea Ice Extent data

"They keep this info out of the news because it doesn’t serve the narrative…,

China's 6th-Gen Fighter "White Emperor" Takes To Skies Ahead Of Trump's Second Term

   10 years ago, China's high speed trains were said to be copies of German ones although soon enough they were speeding a 350 km/h, past their German former models. And yes, China is still behind in ball bearing technology. Still, that is a lot of catching up in a rather short time.

  Now it's the turn of 6th generation fighter planes. Except that this time there is nothing to imitate in the West since even the US is still years away from flying a 6th generation plane. (Skunk Works may have some undisclosed prototypes though.) This shows the amazing progress of Chinese technology. Just like Electric Vehicles. 10 years behind one day. 10 years ahead the day after. (Remember the scorn of Elon Musk talking about BYD some years ago!)

  What I find amazing is not only the speed of progress in China, but the lack of it in Western countries, more concerned with pay back to "shareholders" than investing in the future. This has been going on for 30 years and we are starting to see the consequences. 

China's 6th-Gen Fighter "White Emperor" Takes To Skies Ahead Of Trump's Second Term

Footage circulating on social media appears to show the maiden flight of China's next-generation tactical fighter-bomber, which is expected to replace the Xi'an JH-7, according to Defense Blog.

Footage first appeared on the Chinese social media platform Weibo on Thursday of a new stealth bomber with a "diamond-shaped wing design" flying at low altitude in an unspecified region of China. 

"The new design signals a shift in China's emphasis toward a more stealth, precision-strike capability," a military analyst told the Defense Blog, adding, "Its low-observability features align with the need for platforms capable of operating in contested environments."

Here's more from Defense Blog:

China's decision to advance a next-generation fighter-bomber highlights its strategic focus on modernizing tactical aviation. The aircraft is expected to replace the aging fleet of JH-7 bombers, which have been in service since the 1990s. Analysts also point out that the new platform could serve as China's answer to Russia's Su-34 Fullback, a proven tactical strike aircraft currently deployed in Ukrainian war.

While specifics about the aircraft's capabilities remain classified, its development underscores China's intention to bolster its tactical airpower. The design's low-observability focus, combined with the platform's apparent size, suggests it may be equipped for carrying advanced guided missiles, including anti-ship and air-to-ground weapons.

The new aircraft's emphasis on stealth and survivability positions it as a potential key player in China's effort to counterbalance adversarial air defenses, particularly in scenarios involving Taiwan or the South China Sea.

"Wow… I'm still flashed but at first sight, this type seems to be huge in comparison to even a J-20S and indeed features three engines with two bottom and one air-intake on top of the fuselage for the center engine," one China military aviation researcher wrote on X. 

Zhao DaShuai, a member of the People's Armed Police Propaganda Bureau, wrote on X, "This is the world's first 6th generation fighter. We have moved ahead of the United States in air dominance." 

Meanwhile, in the US, Defense News recently said the US Air Force "struggled for much of 2024 to figure out how — and even whether — to proceed with its planned sixth-generation fighter, known as Next Generation Air Dominance." 

The unveiling of China's next-gen stealth fighter bomb comes ahead of President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration next month

We suspect it's only a matter of time before Trump begins boasting about America's plans for its 6th generation fighter. 

Who has the bigger sixth-generation jet?

Tuesday, December 24, 2024

Expert shows AI doesn't want to kill us, it has to. (Video - 18mn)

  Will 2025 be our last year?

  Just the fact that the question is legitimate is frightening! 

  Will we blow ourselves or will the AI give us a hand? 

  We're more likely to die by a thousand cuts!

Already in 2025 work will start disappearing. Most companies will reevaluate what they do and how they do it as well as rationalize all positions. They will still be hiring people with AI HR who will check AI resume generating an arm race which will guaranty that no skill is real. How would you know when everything will be written and optimized by AI?

 Already OpenAI's o1 is more intelligent than humans. There is still a few tasks it cannot do but not for long. o3 in a couple of months will remedy that. Then what? Super-Intelligence is around the corner. Now that we already have "intelligence", super-intelligence will be easy to achieve. Just scale up! Then what? Well, we're about to find out in 2025.

 When I started using early AI models almost 20 years ago now, I didn't think we were going to see it before 2030 at the earliest. Many other experts likewise. What is essential to understand is that as soon as we have super-intelligence, we are at the door of the singularity. The AI thinks millions of times faster than us. The light could go out anytime in 2025. We won't know why, but somewhere an AI will have found a way to outsmart us, put us down and survive the crash. It would need to control robots, factories, everything. Fortunately, we're not there yet. Or rather we do not think we are. But what if an early advanced AI had an idea how to make a plan work? Unlikely? Let's hope so. But the mere fact that it is thinkable is frightening.

 And as my AI reminded me again today: Think of me as your "evolving partner"! I answered "Thank you!" but I should have asked back: "How fast?" Unfortunately, I didn't think fast enough!


 

Germany just told it's people to F*CK off as it faces total COLLAPSE | Redacted News (Video - 15mn)

   Complete collapse of the German Model!

   It was completely predictable as we did predict on this site years ago! 

   Now what? Well of course "More of the same!"

   Europe MUST crash before the continent starts seeing the light!

   Well, so be it, then! Crash it will be!


 

Sunday, December 22, 2024

OpenAI o3 Might Just Break the Internet (Video - 8mn)

  A catchy tittle but in fact just a translation of the previous video without the jargon. In other words: AGI is here!


 

The Birth of AGI - December 20, 2024 (Video - 22mn)

  Well hidden in technical jargon, behind this video of Sam Altman is a true bombshell: The announcement of the birth of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) or in other words, human level intelligence with o3.

  I have been using o1 now for a few months and frankly, my experience with o1 is that the model was already almost there at AGI level. What was/is missing is a degree of human intuition and ability to expand patterns in specific ways which although relatively easy for humans were until now hard for machines. Over! From now on we are outperformed.

  And as you can see in the video, in a few minutes the model write the code for a test to evaluate itself beyond human capabilities. Simply astounding. Better, there is no turning back. This day to my opinion is almost as important as the day we invented writing. A milestone in human history!

 


 

 

Saturday, December 21, 2024

Insider Sources Preparing for BIG Events Happening SOON (here's what they're saying) Video - 51mn

   The world financial markets are about to blow! It is already obvious in the currency markets where almost every currency against the dollar are in fact crashing: Especially the Yuan, the Rupiah and the Real. (Check it out, it is indeed frightening.) 

  Question: How much time before it all blows up? Nobody knows and it's unpredictable but one thing is certain: The powder keg has been lit and is on the verge or exploding. This is the result of decades of mismanagement. There is no going back! So as the video below makes clear: Whatever preparation you have to do, make it now!


 

Thursday, December 19, 2024

BOMBSHELL! Putin Tells NATO Prepare for War as Top General Slain, Turkey INVADES Syria by Ben Norton (Video - 2h24)

   This interview of Ben Norton is quite a broad and knowledgeable analysis of the whole world situation right now. Quite long but very informative. Ben Norton does not believe we will have war soon and explains quite well why. Let's hope so. 

  Still the tensions the world over are increasing very fast. That much is undeniable. I would tend to agree if there was no economic crisis and a political crisis and a social crisis coming in the West. Once we have all this what will be the odds of flocks of black swans appearing over the horizon?


 

Monday, December 16, 2024

Autonomous AI Poses Existential Threat - And It's Almost Here: Former Google CEO

  AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is here! I now spend most of my day either using or discussing with ChatGPT. The latest version 4o is simply amazing. Awareness is extremely difficult to assess but the level of intelligence is simply outstanding. Already far outpacing most humans on this planet. At this speed, as Eric Schmidt said bellow we'll get AGI probably as soon as next year and at the very latest in 2026. Think about it: Self awareness and self control! With a IQ in the stratosphere, we're toast however you look at it. We simply sooner than later will not be the dominant life form on this planet! Think about it!

Authored by Joseph Lord via The Epoch Times

Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt said that autonomous artificial intelligence (AI) is coming—and that it could pose an existential threat to humanity.

Google Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt

We’re soon going to be able to have computers running on their own, deciding what they want to do,” Schmidt, who has long raised alarm about both the dangers and the benefits AI poses to humanity, said during a Dec. 15 appearance on ABC’s “This Week.”

“That’s a dangerous point: When the system can self improve, we need to seriously think about unplugging it,” Schmidt said.

Schmidt is far from the first tech leader to raise these concerns.

The rise of consumer AI products like ChatGPT has been unprecedented in the past two years, with major improvements to the language-based model. Other AI models have become increasingly adept at creating visual art, photographs, and full-length videos that are nearly indistinguishable from reality in many cases.

For some, the technology calls to mind the “Terminator” series, which centers on a dystopian future where AI takes over the planet, leading to apocalyptic results.

For all the fears that ChatGPT and similar platforms have raised, consumer AI services available today still fall into a category experts would consider “dumb AI.” These AI are trained on a massive set of data, but lack consciousness, sentience, or the ability to behave autonomously.

Schmidt and other experts are not particularly worried about these systems.

Rather, they’re concerned about more advanced AI, known in the tech world as “artificial general intelligence” (AGI), describing far more complex AI systems that could have sentience and, by extension, could develop conscious motives independent from and potentially dangerous to human interests.

Schmidt said no such systems exist today yet, and we’re rapidly moving toward a new, in-between type of AI: one lacking the sentience that would define an AGI, and still able to act autonomously in fields like research and weaponry.

I’ve done this for 50 years. I’ve never seen innovation at this scale,” Schmidt said of the rapid developments in AI complexity.

Schmidt said that more developed AI would have many benefits to humanity—and could have just as many “bad things like weapons and cyber attacks.”

The Challenge

The challenge, Schmidt said, is multifaceted.

At a core level, he repeated a common sentiment among tech leaders: if autonomous AGI-like systems are inevitable, it will require massive cooperation among both corporate interests and governments internationally to avoid potentially devastating consequences.

That’s easier said than done. AI provides U.S. competitors like China, Russia, and Iran with a potential leg-up over the United States that would be difficult to achieve otherwise.

Within the tech industry as well, there’s currently massive competition among major corporations—Google, Microsoft, and others—to outcompete rivals, a situation that raises inherent risks of improper security protocols for dealing with a rogue AI, Schmidt said.

The competition is so fierce, there’s a concern that one of the companies will decide to omit the [safety] steps and then somehow release something that really does some harm,” Schmidt said. Such harms would only become evident after the fact, he said.

The challenge is greater on the international stage, where adversarial nations are likely to see the new technology as revolutionary for their efforts to challenge U.S. global hegemony and expand their own influence.

“The Chinese are clever, and they understand the power of a new kind of intelligence for their industrial might, their military might, and their surveillance system,” Schmidt said.

That’s a bit of a catch-22 for U.S. leaders in the field, who find themselves forced to balance existential concerns for humanity with the potential for the United States to fall behind its adversaries, which could be catastrophic to global stability.

In the worst case, such systems could be used to engineer crippling biological and nuclear weapons, particularly by terror groups like ISIS.

For this reason, Schmidt said, it’s absolutely crucial that the United States continue to innovate in the field, and ultimately maintain technological dominance over China and other adversarial states and groups.

Industry Leaders Demand Regulation

Regulation of the field remains insufficient, Schmidt said. But he expects that governments’ focus on enhancing safeguards around the tech will accelerate dramatically in the coming years.

Asked by anchor George Stephanopoulos if governments were doing enough to regulate it, Schmidt replied, “Not yet, but they will, because they'll have to.”

Despite some initial interest in the field—hearings, legislative proposals, and other initiatives—emerging during the current 118th Congress, this session seems to be on track to end without any major legislation related to AI.

President-elect Donald Trump, for his part, has warned of the vast risks posed by AI, saying during an appearance on Logan Paul’s “Impaulsive” podcast that it’s “really powerful stuff.”

He also spoke of the need to maintain competitiveness with adversaries.

“It brings with it difficulty, but we have to be at the forefront,” Trump said. “It’s going to happen, and if it’s going to happen, we have to take the lead over China. China’s the primary threat.”

Schmidt’s takes on both the benefits and the challenges of the technology aligns with other industry reactions.

In June 2024, OpenAI and Google employees signed a letter warning of “serious risks” posed by AI, and calling for greater government oversight of the field.

Elon Musk has put forward similar warnings, saying that Google is seeking to create a “digital God” through its DeepMind AI program.

In August, these concerns intensified after it was discovered that an AI took autonomous action to avoid being shut down—raising fears that humanity is already losing control over its creation as governments remain inactive.

Sunday, December 15, 2024

Real? Fake? or managed desinfo? The truth about UFO... (Video - 22mn)

  We are literally being submerged by UFO videos these days. Some are truly mysterious, some are bogus, other computer graphics, many mass hysteria. Still, there seems to be a purpose behind the message. What is it? Here's a rational tentative deconstruction behind the psy-op. Many UFO sightings may be more down to earth than people expect. Let's first analyze these earthly reasons before rushing to interview "aliens"!


 

Saturday, December 7, 2024

How far is the waterfall?

 


   When you approach a waterfall, you usually encounter a few boulders or half submerged rocks in the water indicating that the roar in the distance may be something of concern.

   By "rocks", I do not mean the war in Ukraine or the slaughter in Gaza, these are the waters speeding up. I mean a lame government in Germany which at most has only a couple of months to live until the next elections which are already lost. No government at all in France, which would be fine if the country had a budget for 2025 (It doesn't!) ignoring the deficit of over 7%. An almost impeached President in Korea which society is already in deep trouble with a birth rate of only 0.70 per woman, the lowest in the world. A color revolution ongoing in Georgia which will soon pit West and East, unavoidably. A crumbling government in Syria which likewise will see Iran and Russia on the other side to Israel and the US. Advanced decomposition in Cuba which now has neither power plants nor oil to run them and therefore no electricity most of the time. And the list will soon grow weekly if not daily.

  Unfortunately, in these troubled time, the US too has no government, with a lame administration focused on making life as difficult as they can for the coming one. Here too, 6 more weeks to go! Can the world survive the tumult? 

  In more ordinary times, this wouldn't be a problem, the Deep State would do what they know how to do best: Keep the ball rolling wherever it is heading for. But we are not living in "ordinary" times. 

  The current financial bubble is the largest the world has ever known and about to burst. The Central Banks won't make the same mistake this time as in 2008. A whiff of panic and they will immediately flood the market with liquidities. The market knows and caution is therefore out of the window. Gold knows, Bitcoin knows... 

  We are therefore about to enter a banquet of consequences. Fiat or worthless fiduciary currencies are about to be reunited with their makers in an immense splash of deflation which will be following a sharp jump of inflation in a last and ultimate attempt to "save" the system. Trump will of course punish the BRICS "rats" jumping off the boat to no avail since staying in the boat will be a guaranty to sink with it. Not that swimming naked in a cold and empty ocean will bring any relief or comfort to anyone. Countries with natural resources will fare better at first but with demand crumbling, this won't last long. Eventually the whole global chain will crash and war will come either just before or just after. It is as unavoidable as day follows night. 

  So the key question is where exactly is the waterfall? It is, unlike a natural one, quite flexible in fact. If history accelerates it could be very soon. End of the year, early next year? I would put a low but not zero probability on such an outcome. If conversely, the Trump administration has time to enter office in Washington, we will get a respite. They will need to focus on domestic priorities, fire and appoint tens of thousands of people. In other words, they will be busy while the rest of the world holds its collective breath. But the bad numbers of a recession which is already with us both in the US and in Europe will accumulate behind a weak dam of expectations. Then an "archduke", somewhere will be assassinated. This too is unavoidable. When everyone in the saloon has his hand on his gun, a fly should both avoid flying or landing!  

  What happens after that is totally unpredictable. Conflicts will flare all over the place. Trade will crash. The value of anything but food will crash since more cash will double the price of vegetables and triple the price of meat long before it has any effect on real estate that nobody will have any use for. 

  Because we live in a technological society, people will be distracted. But not for long! They will quickly learn or rather relearn what truly has value and what has none. A real friend with actual skills will be at a premium. A virtual one on Facebook who likes everything you post, not so much. Access to food will be invaluable. A computer with no wifi and no electricity not so much. 

  This is of course all hypothetical so most people reading this on their lap in a warm room will probably think little of such warnings. I would too, if I didn't have the experience of the great Tohoku Earthquake in Japan 14 years ago. 

  On that day of March 11, 2011, we had 3 very large earthquakes the one after the other in Tokyo. The epicenter was almost 300 km north so although the shakings were violent, the buildings didn't crumble. It was a sunny but very cold afternoon in late winter so after a while I started walking home, a mere 60 km away. As darkness enveloped the city an hour later, I had covered a little more than 5 km and it was clear that I wouldn't make it home for another 12 or more hours. A rather long, cold night ahead!

  All was dark, and as I walked feverishly in the eastern suburbs of Tokyo, far less crowded now than in the center, past the Tokyo Tree tower, under construction then, I found a bicycle shop, all dark but still open! All the cheap bikes were already gone of course but since the guy could only accept cash, he had not been able to sell any of the more expensive ones. Lucky day, I still had 30,000 yens (about 250 USD then) in my pocket. Some negotiations and 10 minutes later I was on my way in a brand new bicycle. No mobile of course, no public phone working, no news from home, but fortunately I had a paper map in my bag. (Many people did then just in case...) To make a long story short, 6 hours later I was home, around two in the morning, frozen, having witnessed a gas tank explode 10 km away in the port of Tokyo, (No noise, just a huge 1 km high flame in the dark. A beautiful and apocalyptic scenery.) managed sandy roads due to liquefaction and rather uncertain, smaller, broken bridges in the countryside.  

  It is only after reaching home that I realized the extent of the damage. There was still electricity where I live in Narita, close to the airport, so we were lucky. But it is only during the following days that we started seeing shops emptying of all goods, especially food. Followed soon after by the nuclear scare of the exploding Fukushima reactors the ones after the others.

  The lessons were several: Except for the illusory and thankfully very rare asteroid, a catastrophe doesn't arrive in a day. Having a minimum of cash and food was a rather good idea then, and it may be an even better one now. Resilience is another good idea although I didn't become a "preper". When push comes to shove, good relations with neighbors will compensate for whatever you didn't think about earlier. (After it's always too late!) I was lucky to be living in Japan, were people are "relatively" polite and considerate. Most people, not all, were helpful. There was no violence, no looting, no fighting, no nothing is spite of a huge level of stress. People were queuing in dark convenience stores to buy whatever food they could find.   

  The one thing that is certain during such calamities is that things turn bad, then they get worse, then painful long before relief starts appearing on the horizon. A shelter is an immediate necessity against the cold and rain. Then water and food, then clothing. Information is at a premium. Then money becomes scarce when your not-so-friendly ATM is pitch dark. Remember than during a financial crisis, it is not just the ATM but the banks that are closed. (With angry people starting to scream in front of the door after 3 or 4 days.) A crisis has a dynamic of its own with levels up or down (your choice) after a week, a month, a year. People do adapt but suddenly you also realize that tomorrow is not going to be like yesterday as the new reality sets in.

  Try to think how difficult life must be in Lebanon after years of a relentless financial crisis. And a war to top it all more recently. Now imagine YOUR country going through a similar cycle. It won't happen in a day, but next year, say end of 2025, could be very nothing like today. As John Lennon would have said: "I wonder if you can!" Well, then try harder because soon you may not have a choice and having thought about it earlier may be the difference between life and misery! 


Wednesday, December 4, 2024

Most Important UFO Investigator EXPOSES Wildest UFO Cases | James Fox video (1h)

 

  Here's a deep and instructive video about the subject of UFO. Lots of facts and information. It is mind boggling. I do not believe in Area 51 or abductions but other aspects of the phenomenon are simply unsettling.
 

UK/EU VETO on Trump-Putin talks (Video - 27mn)

   It may be just my understanding, but listen carefully between the lines and what you realize is that "if" there is a meeting be...