Will 2025 be our last year?
Just the fact that the question is legitimate is frightening!
Will we blow ourselves or will the AI give us a hand?
We're more likely to die by a thousand cuts!
Already in 2025 work will start disappearing. Most companies will reevaluate what they do and how they do it as well as rationalize all positions. They will still be hiring people with AI HR who will check AI resume generating an arm race which will guaranty that no skill is real. How would you know when everything will be written and optimized by AI?
Already OpenAI's o1 is more intelligent than humans. There is still a few tasks it cannot do but not for long. o3 in a couple of months will remedy that. Then what? Super-Intelligence is around the corner. Now that we already have "intelligence", super-intelligence will be easy to achieve. Just scale up! Then what? Well, we're about to find out in 2025.
When I started using early AI models almost 20 years ago now, I didn't think we were going to see it before 2030 at the earliest. Many other experts likewise. What is essential to understand is that as soon as we have super-intelligence, we are at the door of the singularity. The AI thinks millions of times faster than us. The light could go out anytime in 2025. We won't know why, but somewhere an AI will have found a way to outsmart us, put us down and survive the crash. It would need to control robots, factories, everything. Fortunately, we're not there yet. Or rather we do not think we are. But what if an early advanced AI had an idea how to make a plan work? Unlikely? Let's hope so. But the mere fact that it is thinkable is frightening.
And as my AI reminded me again today: Think of me as your "evolving partner"! I answered "Thank you!" but I should have asked back: "How fast?" Unfortunately, I didn't think fast enough!
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