Nothing to see here, just normal market mechanism at play.
But then, do we need a market?
There is in fact nothing new under the sun. From tulip bulbs to AI experts, if you have the top product at the top of the bubble, the sky is the limit.
Then sooner or later, everything will come crashing down and we will all pay dearly for the hubris. This is not a prediction, just history with exactly 100% record of accuracy. But of course, "this time is different!" also has a correlation of 100%.
In reality, it is never different. This law of economics is as reliable as gravity. All the returns in the world could never pay back the investment. They didn't yesterday. They will not tomorrow.
When you reach this point, the horizon is counted in months, not years. In 2025, we entered choppy waters. In 2026 and beyond, it will be the maelstrom.
Via: Ars Technica:
Silicon Valley’s AI talent war just reached a compensation milestone that makes even the most legendary scientific achievements of the past look financially modest. When Meta recently offered AI researcher Matt Deitke $250 million over four years (an average of $62.5 million per year)—with potentially $100 million in the first year alone—it shattered every historical precedent for scientific and technical compensation we can find on record. That includes salaries during the development of major scientific milestones of the 20th century.
The New York Times reported that Deitke had cofounded a startup called Vercept and previously led the development of Molmo, a multimodal AI system, at the Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence. His expertise in systems that juggle images, sounds, and text—exactly the kind of technology Meta wants to build—made him a prime target for recruitment. But he’s not alone: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg reportedly also offered an unnamed AI engineer $1 billion in compensation to be paid out over several years.
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