Making sense of the world through data
The focus of this blog is #data #bigdata #dataanalytics #privacy #digitalmarketing #AI #artificialintelligence #ML #GIS #datavisualization and many other aspects, fields and applications of data
From the moment Donald J. Trump took office, I argued it was necessary that he face a rational opposition - with an emphasis on “rational.”
Discerning, targeted, evidence-based criticism would be imperative to
counteract against Trump’s worst impulses, I maintained at the time,
given his hardly-disguised penchant for blusterous, petty
authoritarianism. While of course Trump would be far from the only
president whose excesses needed checking - any occupant of the most
powerful office in world history would - there was at least some
reasonable cause to believe that his regular issuances of impulsive,
fly-by-tweet demands could eventually raise unique civil liberties
concerns.
In hindsight, I might as well have been arguing for a parade
of pinstriped purple unicorns to march down Fifth Avenue. Because the
concept of a rational Trump opposition was an utter fantasy.
Instead what we got right off the bat was blanket
“Resistance” to Trump, with the concept of “Resistance” turning into far
more of a self-promotional branding exercise than any kind of sensible
civic-minded disposition. Seemingly every word that came out of
Trump’s mouth, no matter how inane or innocuous, prompted wild
outbursts of blithering hysteria — egged on by the unholy profit-seeking
alliance of social media algorithms and TV ratings. In the imaginations
of his most excitable antagonists, it was taken as a truism that the
United States was perpetually teetering on the edge of total
Trump-induced collapse. Usually because he insulted a cable news host or
something.
To encapsulate this paranoid oppositional tendency, the
slogan “Resistance” was picked for a specifically self-aggrandizing
reason - having been derived from European anti-Nazi insurgent brigades
in World War II. As preposterous as it sounds that anyone of
stable mental health could have possibly believed present-day America to
be meaningfully comparable with Occupied France, this conceit became
near-ubiquitous within anti-Trump activism and media circles. Sure, some
who trafficked in rhetoric of “anti-fascism” probably did so out of a bizarre psychic need to
feel as though they were combatants in an epic battle to save
civilization from genocidal tyranny. But many also came to really and
truly believe it, with full-fledged sincerity — as I can personally
attest based on innumerable direct interactions with such people. A “Literal Nazi” president running literal concentration camps? Yup, that was a standard, uncontroversial viewpoint amongst the culture-media-activism industrial complex.
Clearly, to harbor such delusions about the nature of your
own country’s political circumstances was antithetical to the “rational
opposition” ideal that I’d initially floated. Combine it with
the storyline that Trump had been illegitimately installed into power by
a hostile foreign government — another profit-generating bonanza for
the corporate media — and any prospect of sanity being maintained during the 2016–2020 period was rendered completely hopeless.
As for civil liberties? The preservation of which is what I had
originally thought would necessitate a rational opposition? So much for
that. If anything, the overt reliance by Democratic partisans
and self-styled “Resisters” on officials associated with the CIA, FBI,
NSA, and other “intelligence community” has been an unbridled civil
liberties disaster.
With some distance from the day-to-day mania of life under Trump, it’s going to be impossible to deny that
these agencies intruded to an extraordinary degree in US domestic
political affairs over the course of the past several years. But because
it was largely done to the detriment of Trump - typically to create the
impression that he’s an agent of Russia, or at least benefitting from
their sinister so-called “interference” - the long-term consequences of
this development have yet to be fully wrestled with. Let’s just
say it doesn’t bode well for the future of civil liberties when
intelligence agencies seize autonomy to do whatever they please in the
political realm.
Those of us repulsed by this slew of anti-Trump tactics - despite
having no affinity for Trump himself, or the Republican Party, and no
reason to support his re-election - will have to reckon with a grim recognition if he goes down to defeat this week. Which is that these tactics will have been successful.
All the security state machinations, the blathering media tirades,
the incessant waves of phony moral panic, the needless infliction of
mass psychological turmoil - the constant fantasies and delusions that
obscured far more than they ever revealed about the country’s actual
problems - all of it will have been vindicated. Because
it will have been done in service of accomplishing the
desperately-craved goal that has been forefront in the minds of these
hysteria-purveyors every single day for the past four years: removing Trump.
Trump is routinely decried as a singularly menacing destroyer of democracy.
And at least around the margins, there’s probably a kernel of truth to
some of that. But the damage his opponents have done — arguably far more
significant — will reverberate long after he’s gone.
Please note, to observe this does not amount to making an affirmative case for Trump.
Irrespective of the insanity of his haters, Trump as the incumbent had
to deliver on the pledges he made in 2016, and then some, in order to
expand his coalition and have any hope of re-election. By and large he
hasn’t done that. Either way, he screwed up the federal response to a
pandemic, so it might’ve been a wash regardless. And just for the
record, Trump himself has certainly been more than happy to provoke,
troll, and needle his foes, so it’s not as if he’s blame-free in the
ensuing miasma of hyper-partisan craziness.
Still, if the “Resistance” is really on course to declare
victory tomorrow - barring some unforeseen shift or major polling error -
then we’re just hours away from the final vindication of their
off-the-wall tactics.
Trump may not deserve another term on his own merits.
But a loss for Trump is nonetheless a win for the lunatics
who’ve spent four years subjecting the rest of us an unceasing tsunami
of freakish nonsense.
It’s not like the consensus of a bunch of friends agreeing to see the same movie. Most often, it boils down to a kinder and gentler variety of mob rule, dressed in a coat and tie.
The essence of positive values like personal liberty, wealth,
opportunity, fraternity, and equality lies not in democracy, but in free
minds and free markets where government becomes trivial. Democracy focuses people’s thoughts on politics, not production; on the collective, not on their own lives.
Although democracy is just one way to structure a state, the concept has reached cult status; unassailable as political dogma.
It is, as economist Joseph Schumpeter observed, “a surrogate faith for
intellectuals deprived of religion.” Most of the founders of America
were more concerned with liberty than democracy. Tocqueville saw
democracy and liberty as almost polar opposites.
Democracy can work when everyone concerned knows one another, shares
the same values and goals, and abhors any form of coercion. It is the
natural way of accomplishing things among small groups.
But once belief in democracy becomes a political ideology, it’s necessarily transformed into majority rule. And,
at that point, the majority (or even a plurality, a minority, or an
individual) can enforce their will on everyone else by claiming to
represent the will of the people.
The only form of democracy that suits a free society is economic
democracy in the laissez-faire form, where each person votes with his
money for what he wants in the marketplace. Only then can every
individual obtain what he wants without compromising the interests of
any other person. That’s the polar opposite of the “economic democracy”
of socialist pundits who have twisted the term to mean the political
allocation of wealth.
But many terms in politics wind up with inverted meanings. “Liberal” is certainly one of them.
The Spectrum of Politics
The terms liberal (left) and conservative (right) define the conventional political spectrum; the terms are floating abstractions with meanings that change with every politician.
In the 19th century, a liberal was someone who believed in free
speech, social mobility, limited government, and strict property rights.
The term has since been appropriated by those who, although sometimes
still believing in limited free speech, always support strong government
and weak property rights, and who see everyone as a member of a class
or group.
Conservatives have always tended to believe in strong government and
nationalism. Bismarck and Metternich were archetypes. Today’s
conservatives are sometimes seen as defenders of economic liberty and
free markets, although that is mostly true only when those concepts are
perceived to coincide with the interests of big business and economic
nationalism.
Bracketing political beliefs on an illogical scale, running only from
left to right, results in constrained thinking. It is as if science
were still attempting to define the elements with air, earth, water, and
fire.
Politics is the theory and practice of government. It concerns itself
with how force should be applied in controlling people, which is to
say, in restricting their freedom. It should be analyzed on that basis.
Since freedom is indivisible, it makes little sense to compartmentalize
it; but there are two basic types of freedom: social and economic.
According to the current usage, liberals tend to allow social
freedom, but restrict economic freedom, while conservatives tend to
restrict social freedom and allow economic freedom. An authoritarian
(they now sometimes class themselves as “middle-of-the-roaders”) is one
who believes both types of freedom should be restricted.
But what do you call someone who believes in both types of freedom?
Unfortunately, something without a name may get overlooked or, if the
name is only known to a few, it may be ignored as unimportant. That may
explain why so few people know they are libertarians.
A useful chart of the political spectrum would look like this:
A libertarian believes that individuals have a right to do
anything that doesn’t impinge on the common-law rights of others, namely
force or fraud. Libertarians are the human equivalent of the Gamma rat,
which bears a little explanation.
Some years ago, scientists experimenting with rats categorized the
vast majority of their subjects as Beta rats. These are basically
followers who get the Alpha rats’ leftovers. The Alpha rats establish
territories, claim the choicest mates, and generally lord it over the
Betas. This pretty well-corresponded with the way the researchers
thought the world worked.
But they were surprised to find a third type of rat as well: the
Gamma. This creature staked out a territory and chose the pick of the
litter for a mate, like the Alpha, but didn’t attempt to dominate the
Betas. A go-along-get-along rat. A libertarian rat, if you will.
My guess, mixed with a dollop of hope, is that as society becomes
more repressive, more Gamma people will tune in to the problem and drop
out as a solution. No, they won’t turn into middle-aged hippies
practicing basket weaving and bead stringing in remote communes. Rather,
they will structure their lives so that the government—which is to say
taxes, regulations, and inflation—is a non-factor. Suppose they gave a
war and nobody came? Suppose they gave an election and nobody voted,
gave a tax and nobody paid, or imposed a regulation and nobody obeyed
it?
Libertarian beliefs have a strong following among Americans, but the
Libertarian Party has never gained much prominence, possibly because
the type of people who might support it have better things to do with
their time than vote. And if they believe in voting, they tend to feel
they are “wasting” their vote on someone who can’t win. But voting is
itself another part of the problem.
None of the Above
At least 95% of incumbents in Congress typically retain office. That
is a higher proportion than in the Supreme Soviet of the defunct USSR,
and a lower turnover rate than in Britain’s hereditary House of Lords
where people lose their seats only by dying.
The political system in the United States has, like all systems which grow old and large, become moribund and corrupt.
The conventional wisdom holds a decline in voter turnout is a sign of
apathy. But it may also be a sign of a renaissance in personal
responsibility. It could be people saying, “I won’t be fooled again, and
I won’t lend power to them.”
Politics has always been a way of redistributing wealth from those
who produce to those who are politically favored. As H.L. Mencken
observed, every election amounts to no more than an advance auction on
stolen goods, a process few would support if they saw its true nature.
Protesters in the 1960s had their flaws, but they were quite correct
when they said, “If you’re not part of the solution, you’re part of the
problem.” If politics is the problem, what is the solution? I have an
answer that may appeal to you.
The first step in solving the problem is to stop actively encouraging it.
Many Americans have intuitively recognized that government is the problem and have stopped voting. There are at least five reasons many people do not vote:
Voting in a political election is unethical. The political process
is one of institutionalized coercion and force. If you disapprove of
those things, then you shouldn’t participate in them, even indirectly.
Voting compromises your privacy. It gets your name in another government computer database.
Voting, as well as registering, entails hanging around government
offices and dealing with petty bureaucrats. Most people can find
something more enjoyable or productive to do with their time.
Voting encourages politicians. A vote against one candidate—a major,
and quite understandable, reason why many people vote—is always
interpreted as a vote for his opponent. And even though you may be
voting for the lesser of two evils, the lesser of two evils is still
evil. It amounts to giving the candidate a tacit mandate to impose his
will on society.
Your vote doesn’t count. Politicians like to say it counts because
it is to their advantage to get everyone into a busybody mode. But,
statistically, one vote in scores of millions makes no more difference
than a single grain of sand on a beach. That’s entirely apart from the
fact that officials manifestly do what they want, not what you want,
once they are in office.
Some of these thoughts may impress you as vaguely “unpatriotic”; that is certainly not my intention. But,
unfortunately, America isn’t the place it once was, either. The United
States has evolved from the land of the free and the home of the brave
to something more closely resembling the land of entitlements and the
home of whining lawsuit filers.
The founding ideas of the country, which were highly libertarian,
have been thoroughly distorted. What passes for tradition today is
something against which the Founding Fathers would have led a second
revolution.
This sorry, scary state of affairs is one reason some people
emphasize the importance of joining the process, “working within the
system” and “making your voice heard,” to ensure that “the bad guys”
don’t get in. They seem to think that increasing the number of voters
will improve the quality of their choices.
This argument compels many sincere people, who otherwise wouldn’t
dream of coercing their neighbors, to take part in the political
process. But it only feeds power to people in politics and government,
validating their existence and making them more powerful in the process.
Of course, everybody involved gets something out of it,
psychologically if not monetarily. Politics gives people a sense of
belonging to something bigger than themselves and so has special appeal
for those who cannot find satisfaction within themselves.
We cluck in amazement at the enthusiasm shown at Hitler’s giant
rallies but figure what goes on here, today, is different. Well, it’s
never quite the same. But the mindless sloganeering, the cult of the
personality, and a certainty of the masses that “their” candidate will
kiss their personal lives and make them better are identical.
And even if the favored candidate doesn’t help them, then at least
he’ll keep others from getting too much. Politics is the
institutionalization of envy, a vice which proclaims “You’ve got
something I want, and if I can’t get one, I’ll take yours. And if I
can’t have yours, I’ll destroy it so you can’t have it either.”
Participating in politics is an act of ethical bankruptcy.
The key to getting “rubes” (i.e., voters) to vote and “marks” (i.e.,
contributors) to give is to talk in generalities while sounding
specific and looking sincere and thoughtful, yet decisive. Vapid, venal
party hacks can be shaped, like Silly Putty, into salable candidates.
People like to kid themselves that they are voting for either “the man”
or “the ideas.” But few “ideas” are more than slogans artfully packaged
to push the right buttons. Voting for “the man” doesn’t help much either
since these guys are more diligently programmed, posed, and rehearsed
than any actor.
This is probably more true today than it’s ever been since elections
are now won on television, and television is not a forum for expressing
complex ideas and philosophies. It lends itself to slogans and glib
people who look and talk like game show hosts. People with really “new
ideas” wouldn’t dream of introducing them to politics because they know
ideas can’t be explained in 60 seconds.
I’m not intimating, incidentally, that people disinvolve themselves
from their communities, social groups, or other voluntary organizations;
just the opposite since those relationships are the lifeblood of
society. But the political process, or government, is not synonymous
with society or even complementary to it. Government is a dead hand on
society.
It’s likely to be the most important one in the country’s history, including that of 1860. Unfortunately, no matter how you vote, it’s unlikely to head off what history likely has in store for us. Something wicked this way comes.
Yes, backdoors everywhere, obviously! But the good news is that it does not matter!
If the NSA wants to access your data, then there is probably very little you can do. But in most cases, they don't. You are just not important enough. For everybody else (outside the NSA), basic encryption software will keep you safe. For a company, your security is exactly proportional to the price you invest in security.
For individuals, one of the best software ever, is the discontinued Truecrypt. It was discontinued for "safety concerns". Obviously a lie. To this day, no one has ever found anything wrong with Truecrypt. It was just extremely safe... difficult to crack and free! All your important data and HD should be encrypted using this software or a similar one.
For the rest, remember: The Internet is public. And you can therefore expect nothing online to remain private.
Edward Snowden's whistleblowing campaign exposed the National Security Agency in 2013 for having "backdoors"
into commercial technology products. The US spy agency worked with some
Silicon Valley tech firms to develop covert methods of bypassing the
standard authentication or encryption process of a network device so it
could scan internet traffic without a warrant.
Snowden revealed the NSA's special sauce in how it conducted domestic
and foreign backdoor operations to collect vital intelligence, resulted
in the agency reforming its spying process, and had to formulate new
rules to limit future breaches and how it conducts spy operations, three
former intelligence officials told Reuters.
However, a recent inquiry into the new guidelines by Senator Ron
Wyden, a top Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee, yielded
absolutely nothing as the spy agency dodged questions.
"Secret encryption back doors are a threat to national security and
the safety of our families – it's only a matter of time before foreign
hackers or criminals exploit them in ways that undermine American
national security," Wyden told Reuters.
"The government shouldn't have any role in planting secret back doors in encryption technology used by Americans," he continued:
The agency refused to comment on its updated policies on current
backdoor processes. NSA officials did say they were in the rebuilding
trust phase with the private sector.
"At NSA, it's common practice to constantly assess processes to
identify and determine best practices," said Anne Neuberger, who heads
NSA's year-old Cybersecurity Directorate. "We don't share specific
processes and procedures."
Three former senior intelligence agency officials told Reuters that
before a backdoor operation is conducted, the agency must "weigh the
potential fallout and arrange for some kind of warning if the back door
gets discovered and manipulated by adversaries."
Critics of the agency's spy tools say backdoors create targets for
adversaries and undermine US technology trust among buyers across the
world. According to Juniper, in 2015, a foreign adversary used the NSA's
backdoor in its equipment. The NSA told Wyden's aides in 2018 the
Juniper incident was a "lesson learned."
Reuters cites one of the clearest examples of the NSA working with private tech firms to build backdoors:
"... NSA's approach involved an encryption-system component known
as Dual Elliptic Curve, or Dual EC. The intelligence agency worked with
the Commerce Department to get the technology accepted as a global
standard, but cryptographers later showed that the NSA could exploit
Dual EC to access encrypted data."
What this all suggests is that Snowden's revelations of NSA's spy
tools really didn't change the agency's practices over the last seven
years. Backdoors are still being used as the surveillance state marches on.
The Murphy law: "What can go wrong, will!" is more than it seems. Or rather, it is not just "that". It is about planning around obstacles to prevail in difficult circumstances. Here's the full story of this essential law of nature.
This secret research project explains a lot about 2020
In early 1948, a group of US Air Force
officers was working on a secret research project in the California
desert code named MX981.
The purpose of MX981 was to test how extreme gravitational forces from fast-moving fighter jets would impact the human body.
Aviation was still pretty new; in fact,
the US Air Force had only been created about six months prior, and the
Defense Department wanted to find out just how much physical punishment a
fighter pilot would be able to handle.
Most people have never been in a fighter
jet. But I can promise you from personal experience, the gravitational
force can feel absolutely crushing to the body, even causing a pilot to
pass out.
At the time, it was widely believed that
the maximum limit on the human body was “18 G’s”, i.e. 18 times the
force of gravity. And MX981 was tasked with finding out for sure.
So the researchers built a rail-mounted,
rocket-propelled sled; the idea was to get the sled moving up to 200
miles per hour, then slam the brakes so hard that the sled would come to
a halt in less than a second in order to simulate extreme flight (and
crash) conditions.
They nicknamed their little contraption the “Gee Whiz”. And in early 1948 they started human trials.
The guinea pig was one of the
researchers– a maverick scientist named John Paul Stapp. Stapp was able
to subject himself to an astounding 35Gs, far past the theoretical
limit.
And at that point another researcher, Captain Ed Murphy, was sent out to take an independent reading of the experiment.
It turns out that Murphy’s crew
installed their sensors incorrectly, leading to erroneous readings… not
to mention all the other mechanical failures that kept taking place.
The research team was breaking new
ground; nothing they were doing had been tried before. The equipment
they designed was custom-built, and things broke all the time.
Murphy was reportedly irritated about
the constant failures, and at some point complained that ‘if there’s any
way they can do it wrong, they will.’
Years later this observation morphed into what’s known as Murphy’s Law, often stated as “whatever can go wrong, will go wrong.”
In that context, Murphy’s Law may be the
perfect summary of 2020. Riots and social unrest, political folly,
Covid, brutal lockdowns, spiraling debts and deficits, etc.
Countless businesses have been closed,
many forever. Even more are unemployed. And many countries are imposing
fresh lockdowns after realizing that all of their measures and
protections thus far haven’t done a damn bit of good because the virus
is spiking once again.
At this rate it wouldn’t be unreasonable to expect an extraterrestrial invasion before the year is out.
One of the more irritating aspects of this situation is the lack of consistency. Everything changes so quickly.
Covid rules, for example, change
constantly. Here in Puerto Rico where I live, the governor issues a new
decree every week or two; the most recent included a total shutdown of the island’s 911 emergency call centers, though gyms were allowed to increase capacity from 25% to . . . 30%!
Travel rules change even more rapidly;
our Sovereign Woman, Viktorija, has been traveling around Europe for the
past few months, and her flights have been canceled more times than a
Confederate monument.
Businesses are in a world of hurt. They’re one breath away from being shut down by the government.
And if they’re not shut down because of
Covid, they’re at risk of being burned to the ground by peaceful
protesters, or put out of business by the Twitter mob for not being woke
enough.
Financial markets are no better off;
many stock markets around the world are trading at dangerously high
valuations, propped up solely by rumors and conjecture about more free
money from the government.
It’s as if the health of the economy
doesn’t matter. The fact that so many people are unemployed, or
businesses closed down, doesn’t matter.
Over the past few months, markets have
transformed into casinos, where investors are merely gamblers placing
bets on whether politicians can agree on how much debt to pile onto
future generations.
And speaking of politicians, there’s a
whole tribe of card-carrying Marxists now, surging ahead in their
respective polls and clamoring to take over their assemblies.
They’re threatening everything from higher taxes to confiscation of entire industries.
And it’s all happened so quickly. Murphy’s Law.
But as the story goes, there’s actually another interpretation of Murphy’s Law.
In 1948, after finally figuring out the
proper results of their experiment, the MX981 research team held a press
conference, and a reporter asked, “How is it that no one was severely
injured during your tests”
John Stapp, the maverick who strapped
himself into Gee Whiz, replied, “We do all of our work in consideration
of Murphy’s Law. . .”
So you see, in Stapp’s view, the idea was to identify risks… figure out the things that could go wrong… and PLAN around them.
Murphy’s Law is often viewed through the lens of pessimism– everything’s bad, everything’s going to fail.
But Stapp’s view was totally different;
it was grounded in optimism and rationality– we can achieve success by
avoiding mistakes… by actually spending time thinking about what could
go wrong and where the potential for loss and failure might be.
This is the very essence of a Plan B.
It requires foresight and flexibility. Things will change, and a good plan needs to be adaptable to what might go wrong.
But most of all, it requires the will to
actually just sit down and do it. There is no substitute for execution.
After all, your Plan B isn’t going to design itself.
We live in dangerous times! Over the last few years the markets were first to go with QE and interventionist Central Banks. Now it's democracy itself going down the drain. And there is seemingly nothing we can do. It is as if the forces controlling our societies were unstoppable. And maybe they are.
But in this mayhem, one trend is especially concerning: Polarization of opinions.
Not only is there no room left for nuances among the deplatforming of unorthodox ideas but "friends" will hush you into silence by repeating the absurd social memes to which they are bombarded daily by news outlets which have become little more than propaganda machines.
To keep your sanity in this mess, hearing other like-minded people voicing their concern can be reassuring. Yes, the world around you is going mad but there is no need to follow it down this road to madness.
Here's Tom Courser going after the liberal crowds. With other arguments, we could likewise destroy conservative beliefs. What's important is to keep a sense of balance. As they used to teach at Universities during the Middle Ages when these places were real centers of learning in a sea of ignorance: Thesis, anti-thesis and synthesis.
My wife has become increasingly nervous when political topics arise in conversations with our friends over dinner or drinks. She’s afraid I’ll disrupt a pleasant occasion by expressing views that are anathema to our liberal, Democratic friends.
Like what? you might ask.
Well, there are several, but the most inflammatory one is my denial
that Russia meddled in the 2016 Presidential election in a consequential
way, much less with the intention of electing Trump.
"What?" you say. Every MSNBC-watching, New York Times WaPo-reading Democrat knows that
the Russians hacked the DNC emails and passed them on to WikiLeaks to
hurt the Clinton campaign. And how about all those social media posts?
The second I express myself, I am invariably accused of parroting Fox
News or even of endorsing Trump. But I despise Trump and have never
watched Fox news live for more than a minute or two. (Occasionally, I
watch an interview with a left-leaning heretic like myself, who cannot
get airtime on the "legacy media.")
How did this happen? How did I come to reject beliefs my liberal friends hold sacred?
Well, to paraphrase an old commercial, I came by my heretical views
the old-fashioned way: I earned them. I looked beyond the MSM to
independent sources of news and commentary, reading widely and
open-mindedly and thinking critically. Some of these sources publish
reporting, others opinion; many are left-leaning; most oppose American
foreign policy. I weighed them against one another, and the MSM, to
assess their reliability.
In short, I investigated American journalism – and found corporate
media woefully misleading. I would say I found it unprofessional but, as
a friend reminded me, the job of corporate journalism is to
maximize profit; doing so is not conducive, to say the least, to
challenging the dominant power structure and its ideology.
While still teaching (at Hofstra University), I would pick up a free copy of the New York Times on
campus and read it over the course of the day. I would listen to NPR
while commuting. I considered myself well informed. I was quite trustful
of these sources on most topics. My views did not diverge sharply from
those of my liberal friends.
But after my retirement in 2011, I began to look deeper. I’m not sure why; I did not set out to shift my politics to the left. One factor was my interest in Syria,
where my father had taught at Aleppo College during the 1930s. In 2009,
just before violence broke out there, I followed in his footsteps,
traveling to Aleppo with my family. When the protests against the
notoriously brutal and repressive Assad began, I was very sympathetic.
Like the Western media, I favored the "moderate rebels."
But eventually, by reading alternative media, I came around to the
view that there were not enough moderate rebels to bring about a change
of regime. (The notion of a viable moderate opposition was the product
of a Western PR campaign.)
Eventually, I learned that the U.S was arming militant Islamists (as
with the Mujahaddin earlier in Afghanistan, helping bring the Taliban to
power) and eventually sending in troops in violation of international
law. (They are still there.) The result was a terrible civil war. I
reluctantly came to believe that the least bad short-term outcome for
the Syrian people was for the Assad regime to prevail, with Russia’s
help. That is what has happened. Removing Assad would have done
to Syria what removing Saddam did to Iraq: worsened the havoc and
suffering in the nation and the surrounding region.
But what about Assad’s gassing of his own people, you say, which was
investigated by the purportedly neutral OPCW (the UN-sponsored
Organization for the Prevention of Chemical Warfare) and widely reported
in the Western media? Sorry, but whistleblowers among the actual
inspectors eventually came forward to reveal that their firsthand findings had
been distorted to fit the desired verdict. (Remember Iraq and its WMD?)
But of course, the whistleblowers testimony was largely ignored by the
very media that blamed the atrocity on Assad and fawned over Trump’s
retaliatory attack. (The next day, Fareed Zakaria declared on CNN that
"Donald Trump became president of the United States last night.")
Looked at critically, this narrative made no sense.
Why would Assad, who was winning the war, risk antagonizing the world
(and his people)? Why would he cross a redline drawn by the US, risking
retaliation? He wouldn’t, and he didn’t. Almost certainly, these gas
attacks were false flag attacks by the rebels to trigger American
attacks against Syria (which they did). I have learned to ask the basic
question, Cui bono? (who benefits) when reading the news. The answer is
often not the party being blamed by the MSM.
As with Syria, so with Venezuela and Bolivia, with Russia and
Ukraine: if you can put aside the dominant narrative promulgated by the
MSM, you can find dedicated, dogged investigative journalists who
challenge and debunk it. Unfortunately, the debunking
necessarily lags well behind the false story. And in our short news
cycle, it gets lost. Moreover, skeptical journalism gets published only
in small, independent outlets. The MSM generally does not retract its
stories. If it does, it does so in a whisper, someplace where the
retractions will not get noticed. If you look for them, you can find
them, but you have to know to look.
The most authoritative debunkers of the Russiagate/Ukrainegate narrative have been, interestingly, a group that calls itself Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).
Its work appears regularly at Consortiumnews.com, which was founded by
Robert Parry, who broke the Iran-Contra story. The VIPs are retired
intelligence officers who resent the cooking of intelligence for
political ends. (Their first post was published on the day that Colin
Powell testilied [sic] to the UN Security Council and the MSM
stenographers published his lies; since then, they have an excellent
track record.) Their retirement frees them to voice their views without
permission or repercussions. The VIPs, one of whom, Ray McGovern,
briefed Presidents during the Cold War, can hardly be accused of being
soft on Russia.
They have shown that the so-called "hack" of the DNC emails was
almost certainly a leak. Forensic examination of the megadata by William
Binney, former NSA Director, indicates that the data could not have
been stolen over the internet; so much information could not have been
transferred as quickly as claimed. In any case, recently declassified documents reveal
that Shawn Henry, the president of CrowdStrike Services, the company
tasked by the DNC with examining the server (which the DNC refused to
release to the FBI) admitted under oath that there was no evidence of
email having been "exfiltrated," as had been reported in the corporate
media and universally believed by liberals.
One irony of this, of course, is that the emails published by
WikiLeaks, whose authenticity no one has challenged, were proof of the
rigging of the Democratic primary by the DNC: i.e., election meddling. Given
the damaging content, it seems far more likely that this was a leak by a
disgruntled insider, but the blame of course is put on Russia.
As for the supposedly election-meddling social media activity. It was
not directed by the Kremlin; it began before Trump was nominated and
continued well past the election. The actual ads were mostly puerile,
unsophisticated (and not in fluent English); many favored Clinton; some
were not even about politics. It was mostly clickbait. The bottom line
is that the financial investment was infinitesimal compared to those of
the two candidates. This can’t have had any discernible effect on the
outcome, much less a decisive one. (This is leaving aside the glaring
hypocrisy of Americans complaining about meddling in our elections, when the US is the world champ in that endeavor.)
But the Russiagate narrative has served, as it was intended, to deflect attention from the failures of the Clinton campaign –
and more generally from the Democratic party’s embrace of neoliberalism
at home, betraying the working class, and imperialism abroad.
Regrettably, too, it masks far more serious obstacles to fair elections:
the Electoral College, voter-suppression, gerrymandering, Citizens
United, and so on – i.e., the factors presumably in American control.
Its promotion by the MSM has fostered widespread paranoia about
Russia. Thanks to the DNC and the MSM, neo-McCarthyism is epidemic among
Democrats, who see Russians (I almost said Commies) under every bed.
As the late Stephen F. Cohen insisted (not in MSM, which blackballed him), this is a dangerous delusion; it significantly increases the possibility of a hot (nuclear) war.
Perhaps most alarming, in the MSM Russiagate eclipses the truly
existential threat of the climate emergency. The MSM fiddles while the
world burns.
Most of my friends are academics, artists or other intellectuals. It
makes me sad – and crazy – that these people, who are smart and
sophisticated – not "low information" voters – fall for this stuff,
which is counterfactual faith-based journalism.
I could go on to list other MSM truths that I regard as "fake news."
But there’s little point. It’s not that I expect my friends to believe
me rather than the New York Times. What I’d like is for them to be willing to consider alternative interpretations of events and to explore non-corporate media.
Why? Well, consider the view of Noam Chomsky, who (with Edward S.
Herman) long ago exposed how the MSM "manufacture" consent; he considers
Russiagate a huge gift to Trump, which could hand him the election. Or
consider what William Casey, director of the CIA, said when asked by
incoming President Ronald Reagan to describe his agency’s mission, "We’ll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public knows is false."
Part of the mission of the intelligence agencies has been to infiltrate
American media and gaslight the public. But, as I suggested above, this
does not prevent honest analysts from reaching their own conclusions.
I try not to blame my friends for being misguided by the MSM. After
all, only a few years ago, when I read only what my friends read, I
believed as they do. It’s not that I’m smarter, or more (or less)
liberal than they; it’s just that I’ve made the effort to peek outside
my info silo, the liberal echo chamber.
I try not to be too disputatious in conversations with friends. I
don’t want to alienate them. Life is lonely enough during the pandemic
without becoming persona non grata, never invited back.
On the other hand, why should I silence myself? Why should I nod
sagely as friends spout what I regard as nonsense? Well, there’s no
percentage in it. Sadly, conversation alone doesn’t convince or convert.
Politics has become polarized and tribalized to a frightening degree;
evidence and argument don’t seem to matter. People believe what they want to
believe. The light bulb has to want to change. Or at least, to be open
to changing. And, to be fair, it takes time and effort to explore
alternative media.
But I want my friends to know that while we may all oppose Trump, we
are hardly on the same page. In such circumstances, old friends should
be able to agree to disagree. But how can my friends and I agree to
disagree if they don’t know that we disagree?
So I will continue to speak out. Silence feels like collusion in delusion. And the stakes are high.
I watched an extremely troubling movie the other night on the
recommendation of my friend Rich. It was on Netflix but is also
available on YouTube and is called The Social Dilemma.
We wonder why partisan rancor and political division are at
an unprecedented level in our country. This film suggests a likely
answer.
We spend a lot of time on social platforms like Facebook, Twitter,
Instagram, and others, but not nearly as much time as they spend on
us. It seems that these platforms are populated and are indeed
driven by algorithms that are individually calibrated to give each user
what the platform decides that person wants to see, demonstrated
by his pushing the "LIKE" buttons. Liberals get items with a liberal
slant. Conservatives receive stories and items that match their
previous likes. Those individuals who exhibit a liking of conspiracies
get more of the same, as well as ads designed to sell black helicopters.
In other words, every time we "LIKE" an item on Facebook, our
individual settings are fine-tuned. Our news feeds, as well as our
comments, are monitored and used to even more precisely shape what we
see on our screens. No two individuals get the same variety of items on their Facebook pages or on any other platform.
More and more when considering the opinions of people I know, I ask myself, How can they think that way? How can they believe that? They
are, in fact, being programmed to feel that way by their interactions
with their social media. And unfortunately, I am receiving the same
treatment, with different modalities resulting in a different mindset.
Hitler's propaganda minister, Joseph Goebbels, taught us that
if you tell a lie enough times, it will be accepted as the truth. It
is obviously also true that different spins on facts and stories can be
individually tailored to each individual's demonstrated tastes. Paul
Simon penned the lyric "A man hears what he wants to hear and
disregards the rest." We watch and listen to news feeds that tell us
what we want to hear. We never tune in to the others.
I'm not suggesting that Facebook, et al. possess Goebbels's evil
intent. I do suggest that they, in their driven purpose of monetizing
our likes and dislikes, have inadvertently helped to drive a wedge in
our population that quite possibly could lead to civil war.
I recall a social experiment from a few years back. In one, people
looked at a picture of a woman in a dress. Half the people looking at
the picture saw a blue dress, and half saw silver.
Two individuals standing side by side and seeing the opposite of each
other in this experiment often questioned the sanity or truthfulness of
the other. In this instance, there was nothing designed to cause the
differing results. It would seem that in some ways, we are hardwired to
interpret certain things differently. But when you add the tactic of
designing individual inputs to reinforce a belief system in the way the
social platform algorithms perform, the often seen results are ironclad
sets of conflicting beliefs that become woven into our population. It is undeniably dividing our house, and we know what Lincoln told us about that.
What is the answer to these troubling circumstances? I wish I knew. But I find it quite telling that many of the executives of the large social platforms stated in the movie that they did not allow their children any time on the very platforms that they are selling to the rest of us. That is certainly food for thought.
At this stage, it is extremely unlikely that most governments in the West will backtrack and adopt more sensible policies. If lockdowns do not work, it is simply because we are doing too little. This is how societies work. This is also how they fail. How could this time be different?
In a stunning rebuke of the "science" and the "doctors" and
leftist politicians and career bureaucrats in the US and across much of
The West, The Epoch Times' Evan Pentchoukov reports
that The World Health Organization’s special envoy on COVID-19 has
urged world leaders to stop using lockdowns as the primary control
method against the spread of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) virus,
commonly known as the novel coronavirus.
“We in the World Health Organization do not advocate lockdowns as the primary means of control of this virus,” David Nabarro told The Spectator in an interview aired on Oct. 8.
“The only time we believe a lockdown is justified is to buy you time to reorganize, regroup, rebalance your resources, protect your health workers who are exhausted, but by and large, we’d rather not do it.”
Nabarro pointed to the collateral damage that lockdowns are having worldwide, especially among poorer populations.
“Just look at what’s happened to the tourism industry, for example in
the Caribbean or in the Pacific, because people aren’t taking their
holidays. Look what’s happened to smallholder farmers all over the world
because their markets have got dented. Look what’s happening to
poverty levels. It seems that we may well have a doubling of world
poverty by next year. Seems that we may well have at least a doubling of
child malnutrition because children are not getting meals at school and their parents, in poor families, are not able to afford it,” Nabarro said.
“This is a terrible, ghastly global catastrophe actually,” he
added. “And so we really do appeal to all world leaders: Stop using
lockdown as your primary control method, develop better systems for
doing it, work together and learn from each other, but remember - lockdowns just have one consequence that you must never ever belittle, and that is making poor people an awful lot poorer."
A number of medical or public health scientists and medical practitioners have signed the Great Barrington Declaration, which states that “current lockdown policies are producing devastating effects on short and long-term public health.”