Tuesday, May 24, 2022

World War 3: Is The Stage Being Set For The US To Go To War With China And Russia Simultaneously?

 Another author who also believes that we are in the early hours of WW3.

 This is not a difficult call to make. Just looking at history shows that economic sanctions almost always bring war, not peace. Negotiations bring peace but there are almost none taking place at this stage. 

 So what will actually happen? Again, history is a good teacher. Nothing much happens following early provocations and the belligerents consequently calculate that their next step should be fine. And usually it is... until it's not.

 When you asphyxiate Japan as the US did in 1940, you can expect a response, eventually. The problem of Japan at that time was that the country lacked resources (as did Germany) whence a mad scramble South to reach Malaysia and Indonesia quickly. This is clearly not the case of Russia today, although it could quickly becomes the case for China as the country cannot run a war-time economy without imports. Still Russia is not North Korea and the country would find it hard to run a Juche (close) economy for long. But with the support of China and a few other countries, we end up with a balance between belligerents which is of course the worst possible framework since it is the one which will encourage both sides to up the ante. The risk for war is therefore above 90%...    

Authored by Michael Snyder via The End of The American Dream blog,

You would have to be out of your mind to fight wars with China and Russia simultaneously.  Unfortunately, the guy in the White House actually fits that description.  Joe Biden has been a hothead throughout his career in politics, but now he is a hothead that is in an advanced state of mental decline.  And as I have warned for more than a year, he is surrounded by the worst foreign policy team in U.S. history, and that is really saying something.  Biden and his team just keep making one colossal mistake after another, and now we are on a path that could soon have us fighting major wars with both China and Russia at the same time.

If there was ever a time to invoke the 25th Amendment, it is now.  If we start shooting at the Chinese and the Russians, the unthinkable will actually become reality.  There will be no “do overs”, and there will be no going back to the way that life was before.

During a press conference in Japan, Biden was asked if he would use the U.S. military to defend Taiwan if China invades.  This is how he responded

“Very quickly, you didn’t want to get involved in the Ukraine conflict militarily for obvious reasons. Are you willing to get involved militarily to defend Taiwan if it comes to that?” a reporter asked the president during a news conference in Japan.

“Yes,” Biden replied.

“You are?” the reporter pressed.

“That’s the commitment we made,” the president said.

As he made those remarks, Biden seemed dazed and confused, as if he was in some sort of a mental fog at the time.

Immediately after Biden’s press conference, administration officials attempted to walk back his remarks.

They said that he had “misspoke” and that there had been no change in policy.

But the damage had already been done, and the Chinese were furious.  In fact, a spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry responded by stating that “there is no room for compromise” when it comes to Taiwan…

‘On issues concerning China’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and other core interests, there is no room for compromise,’ said Wang Wenbin, a spokesman for the Chinese Foreign Ministry.

‘We urged the US side to earnestly follow the One China principle … be cautious in words and deeds on the Taiwan issue, and not send any wrong signal to pro-Taiwan independence and separatist forces — so it won’t cause serious damage to the situation across the Taiwan Strait and China-US relations.’

China has always considered Taiwan to be Chinese territory, and in recent weeks there have been all sorts of rumblings that the Chinese are getting ready to invade.

Let me share just one example with you…

Officials from the Chinese finance ministry and central bank on April 22 met with representatives of dozens of banks, including HSBC, to discuss what Beijing could do in the event of the imposition of severe sanctions on China. The finance ministry noted, in the words of the Financial Times, that “all large foreign and domestic banks operating in China” were present.

Participants concluded Beijing could not protect foreign assets, but the holding of the “emergency meeting” is nonetheless ominous. Chinese officials have seen the effect of sanctions imposed on Russia after it launched its “special military operation” in Ukraine in February, and they are planning to weather any such measures applied to their own country.

Why would the Chinese hold such an emergency meeting?

Of course the answer is obvious.

The only reason why the U.S. would impose the same sort of sanctions on China as it has on Russia would be if China decided to invade Taiwan.

As I have detailed in previous articles, the Chinese have been sending military aircraft into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone on a constant basis for months.  And there have been all sorts of reports and rumors that the Chinese military is actively making preparations for an invasion.

So that is why Biden is being asked about a potential invasion.  Everyone realizes that such a scenario is a distinct possibility.

And once China invades, the U.S. and China will immediately be in a state of war.

In fact, an article that was recently posted on Fox News is suggesting that the Chinese may actually launch a “first strike” against U.S. military assets if it decides to launch an invasion of Taiwan…

For China to seize Taiwan, it must first gain air superiority and then knock out Taiwan’s navy. And unlike Russia’s invasion of non-NATO ally Ukraine, China must assume from the start that America and Japan will swiftly come to Taiwan’s aid, meaning that China will launch a first strike on American and Japanese naval and air assets. Thus, unless successfully deterred, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan is likely to be a high-intensity affair from the first hour, with American ships, submarines, and air bases targeted by hundreds of Chinese missiles—regardless of whether America formally returns to strategic ambiguity or even abandons Taiwan as some suggest.

Personally, I don’t think that the Chinese would risk such an attack.

Instead, I think that they would hit Taiwan with overwhelming force and hope that Biden would just respond with sanctions.

But I could be wrong.

Switching gears, both sides continue to escalate the war in Ukraine.

On Sunday, we learned that the U.S. is actually considering sending troops into Ukraine to guard the U.S. embassy in Kiev

Plans to send U.S. forces back into Ukraine to guard the recently reopened American Embassy in Kyiv are “underway at a relatively low level,” Gen. Mark Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said Monday.

The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday that officials are mulling plans to send special forces to Kyiv to guard the U.S. Embassy. The effort is a delicate one, as it requires balancing the safety of American diplomats while avoiding what Russia could see as an escalation.

That is not a good idea, but rational people are not running our foreign policy at this point.

If rational people were making these decisions in Washington, we would not have already committed 54 billion dollars to this conflict.  That is an amount that is nine times larger than what Ukraine normally spends on their entire military for an entire year.

In the war in Ukraine, it is the U.S. that is spending most of the money, it is the U.S. that is providing most of the equipment, it is the U.S. that is providing most of the intelligence, and U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin has admitted that we are even flying members of the Ukrainian military into the United States to train them.

This has already become a full-blown proxy war between the United States and Russia, and we are dangerously close to it becoming an actual shooting war between our two nations.

And that is a scenario that we should be trying to avoid at all costs.

This week is is also being reported that Vladimir Putin “survived an assassination attempt” shortly after the war in Ukraine began…

Vladimir Putin survived an assassination attempt not long after starting his war in Ukraine, the country’s intelligence chief has claimed.

Kyrylo Budanov said Putin was ‘attacked.. by representatives of the Caucasus’ – a region that includes Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia and parts of southern Russia – around two months ago.

‘[It was an] Absolutely unsuccessful attempt, but it really happened… It was about 2 months ago,’ Budanov said. ‘I repeat, this attempt was unsuccessful. There was no publicity about this event, but it took place.’

If this happened, I severely doubt that it was “representatives of the Caucasus” that were ultimately behind it.

To me, it is far more likely that western intelligence was involved.

And this could explain why I saw Vladimir Putin in danger just before the Russians launched their special military operation.  In that experience I saw that Putin had been knocked down, but he had not been killed.

However, as I went on to explain, I had another experience that led me to believe that he will ultimately end up dead.  Interestingly, it is being rumored that Putin underwent cancer surgery just last week

Vladimir Putin underwent ‘successful’ cancer surgery last week and is recovering, it has been claimed in just the latest rumour about the Russian leader’s health.

The 69-year-old underwent an unknown procedure late last Monday following advice from medics that treatment was ‘essential’, according to Telegram channel General SVR which claims to be getting information from inside the Kremlin.

Some in the western media are cheering for Putin’s death, but I believe that whoever replaces him will be even more antagonistic toward the west.

My hope is that a way can be found to have peace, but at this moment U.S. officials do not seem inclined to pursue peace with Russia.

Meanwhile, the Biden administration has decided to allow the U.S. military to participate in “an Israeli drill simulating a massive attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities”

As if an intense proxy war with nuclear powerhouse Russia isn’t bringing enough heat, the Biden White House has now given the greenlight for unprecedented U.S. participation in an Israeli drill simulating a massive attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.

According to The Times of Israel, “The U.S. Air Force will serve as a complementary force, with refueling planes drilling with Israeli fighter jets as they simulate entering Iranian territory and carrying out repeated strikes.” The mock attack on Iran will happen this month, as part of a broader Israeli military exercise called “Chariots of Fire.”

This is another future war that I have been warning about, and I believe that it could erupt at any time in the months ahead.

And when the missiles start flying back and forth, the entire globe will be shocked by the carnage and devastation.

This is a time of wars and rumors of wars, and I believe that World War 3 has already started.

But for now the major powers are still not shooting at one another, and we should be very thankful for that.

Unfortunately, the Biden administration continues to make one glaring error after another, and at some point our good fortune will run out.

As Food Protectionism Spreads, India Limits Sugar Exports, Malaysia Halts Chicken Sales

 Just imagine what it will be like in December!

As Food Protectionism Spreads, India Limits Sugar Exports, Malaysia Halts Chicken Sales

Tuesday was a jammed-packed day for food protectionism developments across Asia. India announced a sugar export ban, and Malaysia halted shipments of chicken. Like many others in the region, both countries suffer from high inflation. Each respective government and central bank seeks to suppress inflation, and what appears to be the move at the moment (besides raising interest rates) are protectionist measures.

If inflation continues to run hot in these countries, the risk of socio-economic turmoil increases. 

Today's events first began with India. Bloomberg reported earlier that sources expected a sugar export ban was imminent. The Indian government announced the new trade restrictions late in the US cash session. Following India's lead, Malaysia announced trade restrictions on chickens to curtail rising prices. 

We suspect more countries to announce protectionist measures to quell food inflation, though such trade restrictions will only exacerbate food insecurity worldwide. 

* * * 

Update: India, the world's second-biggest sugar producer, will cap sugar exports at ten million tons during the current sugar season (2021-22). It's another attempt to contain inflation and stabilize domestic prices. 

"Taking into consideration unprecedented growth in exports of sugar and the need to maintain sufficient stock of sugar in the country as well as to safeguard interests of the common citizens of the country by keeping prices of sugar under check, Government of India has decided to regulate sugar exports from June 1, 2022," Consumer Affairs Ministry said

The ministry will allow only 10 million tons of sugar exports for the season that ends in Sept. 2022. Sugar mills have already contracted 9 million tons, and a record 7.8 million tons have already been shipped. 

India's curbs on sugar exports follow another protectionist step as wheat exports were restricted earlier this month. The government is trying to get a handle on soaring food inflation by ensuring adequate domestic supplies. 

India's government is on a protectionist roll. What crop will they ban for export next?

* * * 

Food protectionism soars and will continue worldwide through 2022, exacerbating food security risks for the world's most vulnerable countries. One country safeguarding its food supplies is India. 

Earlier this month, India's government halted wheat exports amid heatwaves threatened crop yields. Another act of protectionism could be announced in the coming days with an export restriction on sugar, according to Bloomberg

A person familiar with the new trading restrictions says the government plans to announce a ten million ton cap on sugar exports through September. The move guarantees that domestic stockpiles are adequate ahead of the next growing season in October. 

India is the second-largest sugar exporter behind Brazil. Its largest customers include Bangladesh, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Dubai. 

Bloomberg notes the proposed sugar trade restriction "appears to be an extreme case of precaution:" 

India is expected to produce 35 million tons this season and consume 27 million tons, according to the Indian Sugar Mills Association. Including last season's stockpiles of about 8.2 million tons, it has a surplus of 16 million, including as much as 10 million for exports.

India rarely shipped more than 7 million tons until last year, when exports hit a record 7.2 million. Sugar mills tended to rely on government subsidies to boost exports. However, global prices have jumped almost 20% in the past year, allowing India to increase shipments without subsidies. There are expectations for exports to range between 9 million and 11 million tons this season. 

The person said once shipments reach 9 million tons. Exporters will have to submit paperwork to the government to apply for permits to send the remaining 1 million tons. They added the export halt could support global sugar market prices. 

Besides increasing protectionism in India, Indonesia's ban on palm oil exports roiled edible oil markets for a month (the restriction has since been reversed). Malaysia also announced to halt 3.6 million chickens a month from June 1 and increase wheat imports to stabilize prices.   

The trend is clear: Food protectionism will exacerbate the global food crisis, creating headaches for governments and central banks desperately trying to curb inflation before it becomes unmanageable and results in socio-economic turmoil.

It's Not Just The USA: The Economic Instability Is Global

 We are clearly at the end of a long term cycle but this time is different because the cycle is global. Can Russia and China decouple from the West and avoid a crash? Time will tell. At this stage, I do not think we can avoid war as we are already in the late economic stage of one and once you enter the fog of war, there are so many factors in play that the outcome becomes unpredictable.

 The current economic decisions in Western countries are so destructive that it is easy to look for malevolent intentions i.e. conspiracy theories. If only! At least there would be some kind of a direction! But mostly, it looks more and more as shortsightedness and incompetence on a grand scale. 

Authored by Paul Tolmachev via The Mises Institute,

The actions of the authorities in developed countries, essentially an extension of the Keynesian economic policy discourse, have brought the economies into disrepute. These actions consist of immense stimulus and virtually unfunded government indexation of voter income in the face of expected impoverishment amid COVID, lockdowns, and other global problems.

The government is making money cheaper, just to maintain electoral support. This leads to a dispersal of demand and a proliferation of zombie companies, it distorts the incentives for healthy competition, it reduces business efficiency, and it kills the innovation factor of economic growth. Most importantly: it creates leverage - the dominance of needs over opportunities, demand over supply-in other words, it leads to dramatic market disequilibrium.

Before COVID times, such imbalances over the past 20 years were bought with new leverage, and the imbalances went away for a while, giving birth to inevitable new imbalances in the future. The Austrian cycles perfectly describe this process, its starting points and its consequences. In fact, this leftist social agenda for buying electoral loyalty is a new political doctrine based on simplification, and most importantly, on the abolition of any concern for tomorrow. 

In СOVID times, however, all that has changed. Another injection of mega liquidity, the cheapening of money by all possible means - from direct budgetary donations to the inflating of the Fed's balance sheet - occurred against a background of blocked demand, rather than falling due to economic stagnation. As a result, the savings of all agents increased abnormally, people stopped wanting to work, the flow of investment into the stock market and into financial assets increased, creating hyperinflation in them and moving them away from their fair value.

The assumption was that, once the restrictions were lifted, the intensified and unmet buying intentions would sharply accelerate the economy, because the capacity and potential of supply is enormous: supply has the capacity to satisfy demand, synergistically accelerating the economy. This has not happened, however, because there have been structural shifts as a result of excessive lockdowns: gaps in supply chains, reduced labor force participation, and labor shortages in general, hypertrophied growth of commodity markets, and geopolitical tensions that reinforce all of the above factors. As a result, supply is unable to meet the demand because of cheap money, and inflation is again eating away at the economy.

At the same time, instead of reducing its clumsy intervention, the government, on the contrary, increases social programs and government spending in the form of infrastructure projects. In this way it depresses business through the inevitable increase in the tax burden and further contributes to the compression of supply, reducing efficiency, the desire to invest and, in general, worsening business expectations and expanding the mandate and the number of bureaucratic entities.

Against this same backdrop, by continuing its conciliatory policy with resource autocracies, the government is forcing a green agenda at the worst possible time, underfunding both conventional and alternative energy, which cannot cover the current need for the capacity provided by conventional energy. A cursory reading of Klaus Schwab's The Great Reboot is enough to understand the inadequacy of such a utopian concept, the adherence to which, as we can see, leads to anti-utopian consequences.

The result was a geopolitical tension caused by differing interests, preferences and expectations of global players: Russia, as a resource autocracy, saw a window of opportunity and the vulnerability of the economic position of the Collective West - and played the tactical card. In the short horizon, the calculation proved correct: on the whole, post-conservative externalities and leftist populist policies of Western power elites weakened developed economies, led to stagflation and increased the threat of recession. The blow to the Western world in the form of the military conflict in Eastern Europe and its aftermath was well-timed for the resource autocracy itself, which from within needed a new impetus for self-preservation and confirmation of the regime's legitimacy by the population.

What do we get in the end?

We end up with structural shifts, when all the post-Soviet problems multiply manifold.

Stagflation is already a fact today; recession is inevitable tomorrow. Social discontent, which will inevitably happen and is already taking place in various parts of the Western world, will force governments to continue to care about today without thinking about tomorrow - and to continue the policies of populism and leftist expansive discourse, which will inevitably lead to even greater leverage and exacerbate economic, and therefore social, imbalances.

Commodity inflation will not end quickly, since significant exporters of raw materials are in conflict and alternative channels of resource importation have not been established. New energy is clearly insufficient against the background of limiting imports of old energy from the resource autocracy. This means that traditional energy supplies must be recanalized, which is inevitably accompanied by rising costs and acceleration of inflation. Supply is under stress from rising costs - logistical lockups, commodity inflation and labor shortages. An additional stress is on the way, or rather, already in the room - rising credit costs and a potential drop in demand.

At the same time, China, as the embodiment of an alternative sociopolitical pole, benefits in the short horizon. Against the background of universal turbulence and socio-economic disequilibria in the Western world, the ability to centrally stimulate the market in the initial stages of the capitalist impulse can be quite a success story. At this point, there are still no acute dependencies on state injections, no meaningful imbalances in supply and demand dynamics, and no ideological constraints on imported raw materials.

China, with its own problems of growing state capitalism in the form of hypertrophied infrastructure capex and an authoritarian political frame leading to market and innovation inefficiencies over the long haul, now has a distinct advantage. It lies in the possibility of directive economic management and linear monetary and fiscal incentives. This is an advantage that Western states no longer have and that, by the way, China itself will soon lose, because games of "big government" do not succeed for too long. They always end in one thing: social and economic collapse in its various forms and outcomes.

As a result, Western economies are faced with a dilemma as never before: to continue state expansion and addiction treatment with a new dose, or to start bringing the economy into balance. Of course, this is associated with tough and unpopular political decisions, all the more painful in a situation of global tension. But this is precisely the situation in which politicians show their true skills, namely the ability to convince voters to sacrifice something today for the sake of a better tomorrow. Otherwise, there will be no tomorrow at all.

So far, we have been assured of only one thing: we are living in one day and there is no tomorrow. In short, it's like Keynes: we are all going to die in the long run. I think we've been through this before.

Monday, May 23, 2022

Banking on Social Unrest on Peak Prosperity (Long Video)

 A long but interesting video looking at the current economy. 

 Our economy is going down the drain. We could have done something about it some years ago. Now it's too late. Famine is baked in the cake. Oil shortages too. As for our financial system, well...


 

Germans ´schwedt´ hard for Russian oil

 This article is a little rambling and technical since written by an oil expert but it would be difficult to find a better one explaining clearly the absurdity of the current European energy policy.

 Economic suicide is a short way to describe it but what does it mean on the ground? 

 It takes 15 years to build a nuclear reactor so Mr Macron has a solution for 2037+. But Germany plans to get rid of Russian oil by the end of this year. Here's what it really means.

Germans ´schwedt´ hard for Russian oil

´Krautensuiciden´:

by Jorge Vilches for the Saker Blog

Germans will soon passionately conjugate a very strange new verb amongst themselves, the infinitive form of which is “ to schwedt ”. Of course, all sorts of ironic phraseology will emerge in the blogosphere with creative commentariati wondering whether “to schwedt or not to schwedt”… or millennials surely indicating to “chill it, don´t schwedt it ”…

So, you may wonder what exactly is this ´schwedt´ thingy about ? Well, it all starts with Schwedt, a small greyish-dull industrial town in North East Germany right next to the Polish border – it doesn´t get much greyer than that – which is now getting ready for no more and no less than…(drumroll please)…sudden World Fame… or…”GAME OVER”.

Traffic today still continues to drive-by Schwedt gloriously unattentive with visitors naïvely unable to focus on anything special. But savvy technical buzz circles silently have it that the famous Schwedt Refinery – in a matter of weeks – will turn into the Mother of All Engineering & Political Battles ever that will define the future of Germany and Europe vis-á-vis the stubbornly desired banning of Russian oils. If this battle were lost ( or partially lost ) many firmly credible experts solemnly insist it would have irrevocable existential consequences with European countries turning into almost failed states. But then the question arises: Is it really possible – or even believable — that Germany (!) could actually fail in this essential Schwedt Refinery project it has set up for itself with absolutely no need ? How would it happen ?

Well, it should happen because only discontinuous and/or non-viable and/or variable-quality blends of unvetted yet far more expensive new oils are to be found as substitutes for constant, fully-proven all-around compliance of Russian Urals oil that all Europe enjoys today. Or also because of the subsequent failure of the refinement process for such yet non-existent and only theoretically viable non-Russian blends supposedly to be batch delivered (!) by still un-named third parties upon which Germany would necessarily entrust its existence. Instead, compare that to HUGE, smooth and constant,pipeline delivery of high quality Russian Urals feed 24x7x365 already processed by European refineries swiftly and reliably into excellent final products at an unbeatable un-subsidized price. Accordingly, the distillates to be possibly delivered (or not) by the Schwedt Refinery with non-Russian feedstocks may mean either World Fame or GAME OVER. Failure could also come about even assuming that vendors were able to supply enough and continuous seaborne batch quantities of reasonably viable oils. Because there might also not be enough fully dedicated handling, storage and/or logistics capacity at Baltic ports to unload and/or adequately deliver to a very far away Schwedt. Other logistical and batch-related factors could also go wrong. Made-In-Russia will be missed. For example, the Urals blend homogenous quality & quantities, the price, and the smooth 24x7x365 Druzhba feed. So let´s schwedt it, shall we ?

the “Battle of the Schwedt”

Many historians attribute to Mark Twain the saying: “History does not repeat itself but it does often rhyme.” At any rate, the Battle of the Bulge defined Germany´s defeat and the end of World War 2. Now, the Battle of the Schwedt will define the future of the world, but only if Western Europeans are able to avoid triggering World War 3, something that unfortunately is definitely in the cards. Meanwhile, small-town Schwedt is home to Germany´s most politically important refinery ( without Schwedt, no Berlin, okay ? ) which has been connected to the Druzhba pipeline for many decades smoothly and continuously bringing in precious Urals oil from Russia to process into many different distillates of excellence. So much so that the Schwedt Refinery all by itself today provides fuel to almost all filling stations in Berlin… as well as to the surrounding huge state of Brandenburg the 5th largest in all of Germany… plus also to the Berlin international airport… plus areas of Western Poland…

You do follow the importance of having a smooth, high quality, un-expensive operation at the Schwedt Refinery no ?

Well all that is soon about to drastically change as Germany apparently wants – at all costs — to stop importing the excellent, cheap, reliable, decades-proven, fully vetted, well-delivered, and most successfully processed and refined Russian oil. And even if the new and still unknown vendors were to duly coordinate themselves (?) to continuously deliver constant HUGE quantities and quality of new non-Russian blends of experimental crude oils…and even if the Baltic + Schwedt infrastructures were able to deliver exactly per requirements… still the Schwedt Refinery must also perform 100% despite the forcefully needed, mind-boggling modifications to adapt it to new and fully unexpected non-Russian feedstocks. Ref #1 https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/opec-ministers-warn-no-increase-supply-coming-online

keeping score

Be that as it may, to follow the European oil & gas game, there is no longer need to monitor what´s going on throughout all of Europe. Neither is it necessary to even monitor the group of countries with the most important economies. Nope. No need either to follow what´s going on, say, throughout Germany as the EU´s most important economy. No, none of that is needed anymore. Just follow closely what´s going on at Schwedt and the rest no need to schwedt it. Because if Schwedt doesn´t make it, Berlin & surroundings will break it, Germany will grid-lock, the euro currency will become elegant and colorfull wallpaper just like the 1920s Papiermarks, and the rest of Europe will go down the drain into an oblivion spiral. So, clear enough, the events at Schwedt will be the perfect indicators of the overall future. And if someone does not happen to like what´s happening, they´ll probably have to schwedt it anyway.

Ref #2 https://www.nsenergybusiness.com/projects/pck-oil-refinery/

´Krautensuiciden´ (Goethe-approved)

Well, for starters, everything is very secretive and really up-for-grabs. Problem #1 is that this is not an engineering project, it´s 99% political and with no technical backstop, period. Actually, and in more than one sense, both basic engineering and economics 101 fully oppose it. So being 99% GEO-political in nature ( you still follow ? ) one possibility is that we cannot know many details of the plan because politicians do not have one, just wishful hissy fits.

Or, Problem #2 it may just be a back of the envelope idea that no one – literally – is aware of what any of the possible proposed “solutions” or outcomes would mean. Pretty much like a bunch of teen-age bullies would plan their attack onto their own teachers at the high school parking lot. Bear in mind that this “idea” means that German and European costs at large will increase unbelievably, to the point of not being competitive even amongst neighboring countries.

Problem #3 is internal opposition hindrance, splitting the matter in two camps. Because it is very hard to accept that no clear-thinking minds remain anywhere in Germany and/or Europe for that matter. Oh, by the way, the Schwedt refinery is majority-owned by Russian state-owned company Rosneft not supposedly willing to refine non-Russian oil.

Problem # 4 is that, per Bloomberg… ” Berlin reportedly aims to find new suppliers* to substitute for Russian oil and resolve logistical problems* within six to seven months”. And then adds the killer phrase. “The measure will apparently be adopted whether or not the EU reaches a consensus on a Russian oil embargo.” I attest to the fact that many other sources besides Bloomberg repeat exactly the same wording rigorously transcribed above as if a confidential secret press release had been distributed. Who knows, possibly it was…

But whatever the communications approach adopted, it means that German politicians now in charge would want to fully work against Germany´s own best interests no matter if the EU wisely decides to postpone the practical joke of announcing it will ban the import of Russian oil… just simply because it cannot do that. It´d be mission impossible.

So I propose to coin the idiom ´Krautensuiciden´ as a new German term that Goethe himself would have approved.

Ref #3 https://www.rt.com/news/555542-germany-deadline-drop-russian-oil/

Option (3)

The now-famous Option (3) means the requirement to fully and definitely modify/retrofit all the Schwedt Refinery´s internal processes to enable the refinement of non-Russian oil blends which would now be received from multiple yet unknown experimental vendors that would supposedly continuously unload batches at the Wilhelmshaven & Rostock & Gdansk ports terminals in the Baltic Sea. Instead, today the Druzhba pipeline elegantly, silently and reliably delivers the extraordinary Russian Urals blend 24x7x365 to German satisfaction and in huge amounts while the Schwedt refinery processes and distills to perfection without any need of modifying or retrofitting anything there Heaven forbid .

So you now understand why I coined the term ´Krautensuiciden´ ? Ref #4 https://thesaker.is/why-russias-oil-ban-is-impossible/

So Schwedt Refinery Option (3) means to modify it for a blend of different non-Russian oils…and with no possible “toggle switch” to convert from one type of non-Russian oil blend to another…No meaningful contamination possible !! We´d have a forceful life-long linkage between one vendor and its supposedly constant, homogenous and very large oil deliveries, which would be different from other vendors and their supposedly also constant deliveries made to other EU refineries different from Schwedt. There is NO possible interchangeability here…So each refinery would have it´s own specific oil blend now, which means separate, isolated, dedicated storage and delivery means. Bloomberg adds

“ German authorities reportedly plan to use an old pipeline* linking the Schwedt refinery to the northern port city of Rostock, but that would require an upgrade* for the infrastructure, which currently only has the capacity to meet 60% of the facility’s needs. Oil can be delivered to Rostock* from a national reserve, located near other Baltic ports, i.e. Wilhelmshaven*.” Rostock may also supply other key refineries such as Leuna (Leipzig) and Plock ( Poland ). What is not explained is the tons of modifications and investments that have to additionally be made both at Rostock + Wilhemshaven + Gdansk ports which will be addressed later herein as much as possible in view of all the unknowns.

There is a lot to unpack from these 2 brief paragraphs from Bloomberg et al, so allow me to parse them out slowly.

  • “new suppliers” means unvetted, experimental, not-coordinated, variable, probably only very partial small suppliers, with dozens of never coordinated and variable business associates at each and every single stage of the project from beginning to end from well-head to Schwedt Refinery. Russian sourcing is the opposite.

This means to find, negotiate, plan for, test, certify, contract & schedule fully compliant Russian-oil substitutes.

  • “logistical problems” means all of what is explained throughout this article (and more) including References.
  • “old pipeline” means a 200 km sometimes partially buried heavy structure built with obsolete materials and technology commissioned in 1963 many times patched-up already and most probably unable to be “pigged”-inspected properly or meaningfully, let alone be upgraded as needed. This 60-year-old Soviet-era structure most probably cannot be “fixed” either or revamped or retrofitted or pressurized as really needed by 21st. century standards. Lots of skeletons hanging inside many closets after several decades, now to be opened.
  • “Rostock” is a not-fit-for-purpose port with only tanker berth No. 3 which accepts crude oil so handling & capacity is now very limited and thus also needs upgrading and retrofitting of equipment plus dedicated facilities including storage, handling and delivery capabilities. Also, Long Range (LR) 2 vessels are the maximum size accepted by this Rostock berth, thus limiting crude unloading volumes by each vessel.

Ref #5 https://ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/impact-of-the-russia-ukraine-crisis-on-full-shutdown.html

  • “Wilhelmshaven” is a larger deep-water much better furnished port for inbound seaborne deliveries located some 400 km. away from Rostock port by land and 1000 km away by boat which is not anywhere “close-by” .

Gdansk is an equivalent and alternative well-equipped port but located in Poland 600 km. away by land.

Still, Gdansk would need to undergo improvements similar to Wilhemshaven adapting to Rostock new needs.

  • “Schwedt” is the refinery that processes and distills all sorts of fuels and other products. By the required Option (3) it needs modification of new feedstock lines and infrastructure, an atmospheric distillation facility, a vacuum distillation system, a cat-crack unit, a visbreaking facility, an alkylation unit, a catalytic reformer, an isomerisation unit, and an ethyl tertiary butyl ether (ETBE) facility. Plus brand new storage facilities + handling equipment for Rostock feed to substitute the 24x7x365 smooth Druzhba pipeline. Not easy to do all that in 6 months (!)… rather 6 years. Contractors and third parties everywhere. I foresee plenty of claims & lawsuits.

PLUS all sorts of sensors, software & firmware modifications or possible purchases of new stuff (!!) which mean that the IT Department, just for oversight purposes, most probably will have to hire new personnel (most preferably grey-haired if available ! ) and contract third party vendors… all of that in 6 months time…while all of Europe does the same

But there is yet FAR more regarding enormous logistical challenges for unloading, storing and later delivering unexpected far larger quantities of seaborne batch feedstocks… and subsequently distributing such to the refineries where they are needed… Because the Russian Druzhba pipeline supplied both an extraordinary quality and also an incredible non-stop quantity of Urals feedstock oil. So now such volumes have to come from different sources, not just one. And that is why Gdansk and Wilhelmshaven step into the act. Accordingly, Rostock port facilities on the one hand do need to be deeply modified to both (a) receive larger inbound seaborne batch feedstock deliveries from abroad and (b) store & handle adequately (c) deliver as needed.… But still Rostock terminals need to receive yet more volume from Wilhelmshaven + Gdansk. So that means that both Baltic ports in turn also need to be modified to receive and store larger imported seaborne batch but ALSO to deliver adequately to the Rostock terminal. But that would still not be enough, so internal deliveries of oil feedstocks would come to Rostock from yet other sources via inland waterways + rail + road inbound and also to Wilhemshaven and Gdansk terminals… and even to Schwedt.

Summary of the ´Krautensuiciden´ agenda

The Schwedt Project faces 9 + 2 highly challenging, simultaneous & parallel projects all to be executed in 6 months.

  1. Wilhelmshaven + Gdansk : dedicated storage + equipment for frequent inbound seaborne batch deliveries
  2. Wilhelmshaven + Gdansk : dedicated logistics for outbound deliveries to Rostock port storage terminals
  3. Rostock : berth revamping for larger seaborne inbound oil tankers from Wilhelmshaven or elsewhere
  4. Rostock : dedicated storage facilities + handling equipment for larger, more frequent seaborne batches
  5. Logistics for internal delivery via inland waterways + rail + road inbound to both W. + R. storage terminals
  6. Rostock port – Schwedt Refinery: pipeline upgrade & revamping + modifications to receive Rostock feed
  7. Schwedt Refinery: new oil feedstock definition, testing and vendor selection, approval, certification & contract.
  8. Schwedt Refinery: retrofit and revamping modifications per Option (3) described above.
  9. Schwedt Refinery: enhanced storage facilities + handling equipment for large & frequent batch deliveries

Actually it´s 11 (eleven) simultaneous projects just to MAYBE have a lower-rated substitute of what Schwedt already has today… only that at a MUCH higher price… plus the high cost of all the unnecessary 11 simultaneous projects…

a 6-month blitzkrieg ?

Or six years ? Six months is a ridiculous timespan for satisfactory conclusion of all of the above. Quite frankly I´d be astonished if this idea ever sees the light of day. Actually it´s nonsense whichever schedule is adopted, but 6 months is beyond childish. By the way, 95% completion is not enough. But German Economics Minister Robert Habeck has said that six-months gives Berlin long enough to make the change. So one of us two is wrong, and I say it´s him.

Actually, way before 6 months we should know about the schedule non-compliance. The reason is Key Dates. Just like building a house, you can´t place the window frames if the walls are not there. Same for these projects there are key CPM – Critical Path guidelines and most specially Key Dates by which xyz needs to already be timely in place as planned, inspected, commissioned, permitted, etc. So if one Key Date is not met, the schedule cannot make progress from there on or, worse yet, may even blow up because the window for continuity of other stuff sometimes is very narrow. Timing is of the essence and many things just can´t be started unless xyz is finished first. Many of these are parallel or partially parallel activities. But some are almost 100% SEQUENTIAL which means that they have to be 100% satisfactorily concluded before going on to the next one. Oh, an additional detail is that if we care to believe Herr Habeck, all other refineries in the EU would also be attempting to simultaneously pull the very same trick as Schwedt. So 6 years sound far more reasonable than 6 months ? Ref #6 https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61318689

Ref #7 https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/germany-one-step-away-ending-dependence-russian-oil

the Rostock-Schwedt pipeline

The exotic idea consists in supplying the Schwedt Refinery from the Rostock Baltic port which would ´supposedly´ be receiving viable oil blends from yet-unknown vendors as explained before in great detail. But that would NOT be enough quantity no matter how stretched. So the hope and the prayer is that the same oil blends would also be unloaded at the Gdansk Baltic port (Poland) now fully dedicated for Schwedt, not for Polish refineries. Same for the Wilhemshaven Baltic port (Germany) with only one single priority, namely Schwedt, not any OTHER of the many German refineries all of which have not been assigned any sourcing yet, if any were possible (!) . In turn, Rostock would also prioritize Schwedt, not the Leuna Refinery (Germany) or the Plock Refinery (Poland). It´d be a game of robbing Peter to pay Paul. Or a circus number of Chinese plate spinners, which is impossible to work it out in practice. Maybe it works sporadically, but such logistics will not fly well most of the time meaning GAME OVER for Schwedt.

During the revamping & upgrading project of this pipeline, operational and environment considerations should always have to comply with the EU´s Green Deal spirit and wording, same as other EU Common Policies in force. And always working with safe and ecofriendly practices. Environmental impact assessments have to be completed, presented, approved, permitted and commissioned. Also any strikes or labor union problems would have to be avoided, with 24 x 7 activities no week-ends, no Christmas. Plus an extraordinary HR challenge regarding enough quantity and the right quality of management, staff, and all sorts of field personnel from port maneuvering and logistics, to IT contractors, to welders… in a fully unexpected 6-month pipeline & refinery project, etc. The pipeline trace would go through highways and urban areas with municipalities that have opinionated politicians… also pristine environments, rolling hills, valleys and ridges, forests, rivers, lakes, home to fish and wildlife with strong winds, rain and snow. The switch-over from the Urals oil to the new “equivalent” blend from yet unknown vendors is a most unfathomable and mysterious procedure.

Ref #8 https://www.eek-energy.com/en/news/petroleum/detail/news/oil-industry-prepares-for-oil-embargo.html

the refinery blues

The comments section of my latest article gained greatly from the input offered by SKovacs an excellent and friendly poster who shared his first hand 30-year knowledge in the oil & gas and refining business with us all. Please see link referenced below. Below I just summarize and/or quote what this most experienced poster had to say

  1. matched & mated : many EU refineries have been built to process certain types of oils found in Russia. The very design & build of these refineries (and petrochemical plants) was based on certain specific oil types within narrow variation in blend / quality and steady supply — variation normally of less than 15% vol/day — guaranteed for over 30 years (most commonly 50+ years). Obviously enough, the continuous supply of quality feeds is critical to the operation of a refinery or any chemical plant.
  2. obsessive compliance: adapting an EU refinery to new types of oils requires detailed laboratory knowledge of the new blend, and formal guarantees for its continuous delivery for decades, convoluted & lengthy contracts and procurement processes, extremely detailed engineering plans, manufacturing of parts, shipping, installation, testing, commissioning, optimization, permitting etc. etc. etc. before it can be declared “done”. Any element of this incomplete list, if missing, renders the whole affair a failure both technically and economically.
  3. guarantees: the above assumes guaranteed efficient and continuous shipping and receiving network(s) are always in place and fully operational (!) Such work involves thousands of people, complex processes and of course many billions of euros, regulatory permitting process, inherent lawsuits etc., i.e. A LOT OF TIME – years ! Europe deprived of oil/gas/metallurgical coal from Russia — and also iron ore — is unlikely to build much. Never mind the finer components that require other alloy metals which are also provided by Russia… Ref #9 https://thesaker.is/europes-mad-ban-on-russian-oil/

C:\Users\Jorge Vilches\Desktop\5.jpg

not your dog
Some may think that refinery feedstocks are like dog food, even interchangeable. Not true. Refineries are very closely matched and subtly calibrated/configured to very specific feedstocks difficult and time-consuming to substitute. Changes can and have been made but it requires lots of effort, money, dedicated facilities, experimentation, mistakes, trial & error, specific expertise, risk, and most importantly fixed, unchanging new feedstocks always complying with specs. Substituting the quality and humongous quantity of Russian oil feeds has never ever been attempted.

This means that Russia today supplies Europe with exclusive Urals grades of very precise and constant homogenous physical & chemical characterization that would be impossible to get from third parties fast enough and cheap enough in continuous enormously large quantities from different reservoirs wherever. So it´s a very delicate and tight matching already achieved between Schwedt and the Russian Urals blend, that most probably cannot be substituted

Ref #10 https://www.ifo.de/en/node/69417

the (very low) odds

Banning Russian oil means many things. Some are known to require — among other things — time, money, expertise, human resources, etc.etc. But some others are unknown and very complex. For example, finding many new different oils – from many new unproven vendors – that collectively and in a coordinated fashion ( ?? ) would constantly offer into the future — rain or shine, come hell or highwater — the very same homogenized profile of delivery, quality, quantity, price, service and enlargeability of feedstocks that Russia has reliably provided Europe for decades at low cost. Anything less and Europe will no longer be or perform or deliver as we know it. Skeptics please easily find the 6 (six) criteria that such oil feedstocks mandatorily need to meet at Ref #11 https://thesaker.is/why-russias-oil-ban-is-impossible/

Europe and Germany have been forewarned.

They better know what they are doing

Saturday, May 21, 2022

Nukes? Is Putin Bluffing?

 We are seeing a relentless march toward war with almost no willingness whatsoever the negotiate or even discuss anything.

 The only question left is: When do we cross the Rubicon?

 With a market crash scheduled over the Summer, famine in developing countries for fall and an energy crisis in Europe for the Winter, the incentive to cross will only grow month after month...

Nukes? Is Putin Bluffing?

On Feb. 27, 2022, just three days after he pulled the Ukraine invasion trigger (Feb. 24) Russia’s Putin puts nuclear forces on high alert | Reuters

March 12, 2022: “We warned the United States that the orchestrated pumping of weapons from a number of countries is not just a dangerous move, it is a move that turns these convoys into legitimate targets,” Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov told state television on Saturday…. –Russia says it could target Western arms supplies to Ukraine

March 23, 2022: –Putin’s Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov says Russia Will Use Nuclear Weapons If Faced with Existential Threat (VIDEO)

April 29 Former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO Says, “We Are Using the Ukrainians as Our Proxy Forces”

U.S. intelligence gives Ukraine info on the location of Russian generals which has resulted in 4 Russian generals being killed. American leadership should be on a “list of war criminals” for sharing military data with Kiev, top Russian politician claims –US ‘Directly’ Involved in Ukraine Conflict

May 13, 2022 – 05:25 PM: Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, who is now the deputy of Russia’s Security Council, warned Thursday that the US and NATO risk a direct conflict with Russia and a “full-fledged” nuclear war by pouring weapons into Ukraine. –Top Russian Official Says NATO Risking ‘Full-Fledged’ Nuclear War

President Biden today announced an additional $800 million in security assistance to Ukraine, bringing the total U.S. security assistance committed to Ukraine to $1 billion [3.8 billion as of May 10and possibly much more] in just the past week, and a total of $2 billion since the start of the Biden Administration. The assistance will take the form of direct transfers of equipment from the Department of Defense to the Ukrainian military to help them defend their country against Russia… –Fact Sheet on U.S. Security Assistance for Ukraine | The White House

“If the United States threatens our state, it’s good: here is the Sarmat [Satan-2 ICBM] for you, and there will be nuclear ashes from you if you think that Russia should not exist,” he continued. “And Finland says that it is at one with the USA. Well, get in line.”… –Russia threatens nukes for US, UK, Finland if NATO expands

The Covid-19 Vaccination Massacre

  This is full apocalyptic conspiracy theory stuff but is it wrong? 3 years ago, I would have read the first 3 lines and moved to something else. But then Covid happened and I could see with my own eyes, lies piled upon lies, the impossibility to travel and even move for no reason at all, tests on the limits of freedom done in different countries, real full scale social engineering. 

 Now Covid is almost exhausted as a force for change but we can already see over the horizon, the coming next waves of the planed transformation. Most people I talk to still believe we will soon go back to the world before Covid. This is more and more unlikely. If the person, writing the article bellow was not a doctor, I would not republish the text but he is. All his speculations may not be right, but what if just a few of them are? It's your choice: Blue pill or red pill. You are either among those who want to believe or those who what to know. 

The Covid-19 Vaccination Massacre

Over two years have gone by since the Covid-19 staged PSYOP was thrust onto the world’s population, fooling the masses into believing that a phony virus (and all its hokey counterparts) existed and that a new type of vaccine was the only answer in saving humanity. At that time, in November, 2020, right before the Covid-19 vaccines were dispensed onto the public, I spoke out and forewarned that the mRNA technology within the vaccines made them bioweapons, and that millions would be harmed and die if they took the injections. Time has proven me right.

By September of 2021, my warnings were substantiated. VAERS data from CDC, which reports American vaccine injuries, provided a clear clue that the vaccines were weapons of mass destruction—742,349 vaccine takers suffered adverse reactions (including death) comprising of heart failure, blood clots, strokes, brain illnesses, inflamed spinal cords, seizures, allergic reactions, autoimmune diseases, arthritis, miscarriage, infertility, deafness, blindness, muscle weakness and loss, and sleep disorders. By April, 2022, VAERS showed a combined total of 1,247,131 injuries and deaths. And because only 1% of injuries from Covid vaccines are reported, it is reasonable to expect that actual deaths and injuries can be up to five times higher. No other type of vaccine over the last 30 years has ever caused this much impairment in such a short time.

And though over 1000 scientific studies prove that the mRNA Covid-19 vaccines are extremely dangerous (including Pfizer’s own data), and UK’s government data reveals the Covid vaccines kill more people than they save, public health departments, hospitals, healthcare organizations and most doctors continue to endanger public health and dispense the lethal jabs. These co-conspirators of mass murder have become like ventriloquist dummies, only speaking when their masters pull open their mouths—allowing the crimes against humanity to mount.

As of today, 11.74 billion doses of Covid-19 vaccines have been administered worldwide, with most countries showing between a 60% and 86% vaccination rate. And yet current data is suddenly showing that Covid cases are spiraling upward into never-neverland, in almost every state, with a whopping 53% increase, which is much higher than a year ago. WTF is going on? Why are Covid tests still spitting out excessive positive readings and why is this virus (which CDC still documents as being a mild virus with symptoms matching the flu) still around after two years?

Is SARS-CoV-2 an “illusionary” property, an alien pathogen from Star Wars? Come on, people, use common sense. Science is still science, viruses still work the same, and the art of herd immunity does not magically disappear. This uptick in Covid cases is an impossibility because if SARS-CoV-2 was actually a real live virus and a real outbreak had occurred (as we were told), herd immunity would have kicked in a year ago, with or without the useless vaccines, and curtailed this virus and its variants, and there would be no more pandemic. This alone proves that SARS-CoV-2 never existed and that the entire pandemic was all about restructuring world governments and exerting absolute control over people’s lives in every aspect possible.

Same viruses do not keep infecting people over and over again. Only a virus with a different strain can bring back another illness. In the entire history of medicine there has never been a case where a virus defies the force of nature and overrides the body’s natural ability to prevent invading pathogens. And this is the reason why the bogus Covid tests are distributed to the masses. The hoaxers need to keep the minds fearful, the Covid lie going, and not allow anyone a chance to question why herd immunity failed to work.

The natural cycle of herd immunity has always been and always will be the best “vaccine” and “pill” to stop spread of contagions and end pandemics. When enough people become exposed to a contagious disease their bodies automatically build a strong resistance to it, which eventually halts that bug from spreading or doing any more damage. This is why outbreaks eventually fizzle-out. Since the beginning of human life, herd immunity has been a natural life-saver. Without that integral part of the human machinery, civilizations would be unable to fight infection and stop spread, creating a self-elimination process of the human species, and eventually extinction.

Even if a virus is created in a bio-lab, the strain would need to be re-released onto the population under a new genetic modification in order to keep reinfecting the population. Our body’s natural immune system always builds antibodies to stop reinfection of the same pathogen, unless the immune system is undermined through nefarious means, like the current weaponized vaccines.

This explains why the communists in power are using the mRNA vaccines against the Western populace, and why China and the communist-loving leaders of Russia have both refused to use mRNA vaccines on their own populations. The mRNA vaccines are bioweapons with many purposes, but the main purpose of these toxic injections is to completely destroy adaptive immunity in adults (lifetime immunity that occurs after exposure to pathogens) and destabilize innate immunity in children (natural immunity humans are born with). By doing this the populations of the world will be unable to fight off real viruses and bacteria and the action of herd immunity will be broken, opening the door for shedding diseases and creating super pandemics, which ultimately produces a systematical die-off within a population. The continued reports of vaccine injuries confirm that the mRNA injections are creating an immunological catastrophe throughout the Western world.

This is why those monsters of the deep state are ramping things up and focusing on injecting the children with these bio-vaccines. FDA just approved Pfizer’s Covid vaccinations for small children 5 years and up and Moderna is now asking for approval to inoculate babies 6 months and older. Trust me, infants will soon be mRNA-inoculated. They do not need abortion clinics anymore. They have a better weapon. And this is why articles are popping up in the news justifying eugenics. One article today stated that researchers from Columbia University showed that parents who raised more than two kids would come down with weakened brains and lose cognitive sharpness in their later years. This nonsense would be almost laughable if it were not meant as a psychological means to condition the masses to accept the murder of millions of fetuses, infants, and children of all ages.

The fact that there is a staged baby formula shortage here in America, and baby-hater Bill Gates (who was previously caught hiding infertility drugs in his vaccines) and his thugs suddenly came up with a plan to manufacture and sell their own toxic “save the environment” baby formula (here is Gary Barnett’s exceptional article exposing this) shows just how much these dark people despise children.

Bill Gates, who is part of GAVI, the vaccine alliance that is promoting Covid-19 vaccinations, has touted online that GAVI is all about saving lives, but that is a monstrous lie because he is a known depopulation-promoter. At one of his speeches for the World Economic Forum, he spouted the silly notion that people generated pollution, which caused climate change, and therefore human population needed to be curbed. So, tell me, if this man believes humanity needs to be snuffed out like a campfire, why would he invest billions of dollars into healthcare businesses that are supposed to save lives, or invest in baby formula to feed hungry babies whom he believes will grow up to be polluters of the earth? He is a madman who believes a large part of the human race needs to be eliminated, and therefore his investments have nothing to do with saving lives, but everything to do with overseeing the kill switch.

Bill Gates and company have a lot of bioweaponry ideas up their sleeves for “final solutions” with which to depopulate the West. The US’s DOD-DARPA and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (same partners funding the mRNA Covid-19 vaccines which are mass murdering millions) are now targeting US citizens as test rats for entomological warfare research and releasing genetically modified mosquitoes into certain states under the guise of limiting the spread of dengue and malaria. This trickery has nothing to do with protecting the public from illnesses because Gates and company lets us know all the time that they want to end our lives.

Entomological warfare is one of the first generations of bioweaponry that is still the cheapest and easiest way to infect populations. Though it was once considered an outdated mode of transmission, it has now been revived. The EPA has approved the release of more than two billion genetically altered male mosquitoes in Florida and California following the test release of 150,000 lab-transformed mosquitoes in the Florida Keys, back in 2021.

Anything involving gene-editing is bioweaponry and illegal according to the Convention law and should be banned from use. But the infiltrated globalists in our government and healthcare organizations are beyond corrupt, and only care about the completion of their cult-like one world order and ridding the world of the “unfit” humans in society who they believe are genetically inferior. (They embrace the theory of social Darwinism which teaches that the wealthy and those in power are born with superior genes and that the rest of humanity are useless to society). If vaccines can be used as bioweapons, you can be sure the bites of insects can be effective means with which to also transmit lab-created diseases or deliver manmade genetic materials into the nucleus of human cells.

The global “elite,” like mad necromancers clasping pentagrams and chanting incantations over the human race, are setting up citizens for other catastrophic outcomes through mass bio-vaccinations. The secret “genetic” goodies that they can transport into the nucleus of human cells via inoculation can cause contamination of the original human genome, elimination of certain races and age groups, sterilization of both males and females, eradication of gender, disruptions of the sex drive, forced abortions and miscarriages, restructuring of thought processes, mutation creations, induced lab-created diseases, developed irreparable chronic damages to organs and tissues, and timetabled kill switches.

The adenoviral-platformed Covid-19 vaccines that China and Russia have used to vaccinate their citizenry (China’s vaccine is called AD5-nCOV and Russia’s is named Sputnik V) also carry bioweapon capabilities like the mRNA Covid-19 vaccines manufactured by Pfizer and Moderna. Unlike mRNA vaccines, which transports genetic material (fragments of the mRNA supposedly carrying a part of the genetic sequence of SARS-CoV-2) into cells using lipid nanoparticles to encapsulate the mRNA material they are transporting, adenoviral vaccines are vector-based and use an inactive or dead adenovirus (such as bronchitis or pneumonia) as their platform to transport genetically coded instructions of the supposed SARS-CoV-2 into the human cell.

The adenoviral vaccines could be a more potent bioweapon because they are able to smuggle in larger genomic material into the nucleus of the cell than through mRNA technology, such as genetically-prepared properties of live pathogens, which could create all sorts of mild or deadly outbreaks without the public’s knowledge. Viruses and bacterium that could be transported through vector-based platforms could include, to name just a few, hemorrhagic fevers such as Marburg or Ebola, dengue fever, pneumonic plague, or Q fever. I highly doubt hemorrhagic fevers would be used as a choice of bioweapon, but a mild virus would allow the goons in power to keep the pandemic agenda going until everyone is vaccinated and the new world order is fully implemented. But so far, using a fake coronavirus has been enough to keep the pandemic narrative alive, justify weaponized vaccines, and prepare the masses for body bags.

Though the United States mainly dispenses the mRNA Covid vaccines through Pfizer and Moderna, Johnson & Johnson manufactures the adenoviral vaccine, and therefore it is no surprise that their vaccines are linked with numerous blood-clotting disorders. The UK uses the adenoviral platform made by Oxford-AstraZeneca, but Europe as a whole distributes more of Pfizer’s mRNA vaccines, making sure the Western peoples are getting pinched with enough of the mRNA shots.

And since China has had weaponized bio-vaccines stored in their military stockpiles for the last ten years, and can temporarily disable an enemy, kill specific races through genetic conversions, and be used as time bombs for swift elimination, I find it quite worrisome and suspicious that all of the Covid-19 vaccine manufacturers worldwide stepped away from traditional vaccines and developed vaccines that have the potential to do the very same dirty deeds as China’s militarized bio-based vaccines.

This is what bioweapons do, and explains why the military and government overseeing these pharmaceutical companies refuse to pull the Covid vaccines off the market for further study, even after millions of crippling injuries and deaths have been reported. And while citizens are impaired and dying from the bio-vaccinations, profits and praise could not be better for the vaccine makers. Pfizer made $37 billion alone in 2021 on their Covid vaccines. Combined, both Pfizer and Moderna’s mRNA vaccine profits are expected to hit about $93 billion this year. People kill for a lot, lot less. And Albert Bourla, Pfizer’s CEO, was even awarded a 2022 prize by the Genesis Foundation for “saving lives.” I wonder when Bill Gates will get his award?

The entire staged pandemic was about ushering in a dictatorial new world order and eliminating those who might stand in their way, but most refused to see the coup, allowing infiltrated enemies to imprison the world, destroy freedom, and dispense dangerous bio-vaccines within record time onto the populations. Once America went under full lockdown mode, and normal pandemic response procedures were violated, this was the time when healthcare professionals and the public could have spoken up and stopped the invasion. The signs of a takeover were blatant, like a pretty woman suddenly performing a strip-dance on a busy street corner. There was no logical reason for a mild coronavirus outbreak to warrant lockdowns for a whole population of healthy people. Sick patients should be the only ones under isolation if they have contracted a more serious, highly-contagious pathogen, such as smallpox or one of the hemorrhagic fevers.

Even with 60,000 people dying a year from seasonal influenza or the 53% mortality rate of the past bird flu (H5N1) outbreaks (compared to the SARS-CoV-2 mortality rate of 0.1%), mandatory separation from society was never even considered as part of those preparedness responses. And yet, when it came to another mild coronavirus, the public health departments threw out medical know-how and embraced cruel response measures.

And along with the abuse by healthcare professionals who should have known better, most Americans passively allowed themselves to be caged in their homes like prisoners and become sitting ducks for foreign invasion. Any political group who locks down an entire population is committing an act of war against their citizens. Even the term “lockdowns” was a carefully crafted word by the globalists, replacing the normal medical phrase quarantine measures in order to define their victory in conquering the West. Such aggressive actions are always indication that a country or countries are under enemy attack, and yet, two years later, with total proof and evidence in plain sight that a pandemic never existed and that leaders of 193 countries have sold their souls to the devil and are crossing a bridge toward a one world government, the world’s populace simply cares less.

The enemies who are taking out Western values and laws are patient with the timetable on which their weaponized mRNA vaccines will work. They have been planning this global takeover for over 50 years, centuries in fact, and are willing to squat a few more years on their snobbish bogs until the final “virus” seals the coffin on all of those who are not part of their elitist “my-genes-are-better-than-your-genes” sadistic mentality. These people are not good people. The government they have planned for the world will not be anything like previous communistic-led governments. Their goals are elimination of all peoples whom they view as “genetically unfit” for society, complete enslavement for those they do allow to live, and the induction of a new breed of genetically-engineered humanoids who are designed to completely replace the human race.

The post-Covid-19 life for those who are considered part of the “elite” group of the wealthy and powerful will live like kings, but the rest of humanity will not be so lucky. The new world for the surviving humans and created humanoids include living in surveilled smart cities, with no privacy, sharing apartments with strangers, owning absolutely nothing, buying and selling based on a merit system, being forbidden to procreate, restricted travel, planned eugenics for certain ages and races, GMO foods, rationed energy and water, no cars, and no rights to make decisions. There will be no malls or retail shopping. Everything will be done online, including healthcare. It will be a life of isolation. This is why the global order is informing us through books, interviews and conferences that humanity will not exist in the future, and only engineered transhuman obedient “machines” will be walking the earth. Human beings will not be able to mentally adapt to such a regressive lifestyle unless they are genetically-engineered to do so.

Because the world will be living under an occult-based existence, with everything in complete contrast to the natural and normal order of life humans have lived under since the beginning of time, there will be no moral or objective laws to protect citizens and families. The worship of God will be prohibited, and without that spiritual barricade that once held darkness at bay and allowed freedom to reign, all sorts of deviance will abound.

For over twenty years I have trained first responders, healthcare professionals, and military personnel on counterterrorism, biological warfare and pandemic preparedness. The cold hard fact is that bioweapons will always be bioweapons, developed solely to be used as weapons against civilians or soldiers during warfare—to murder and incapacitate as necessary to achieve a successful takeover of nation or nations. Bioweapons have nothing to do with public health safety, and never will. The Covid-19 vaccines are weapons, plain and simple.

The great reset of nations is set to be in place by the year 2030, and Western ideals and values travel in stark contrast to that global agenda. So, tell me, if you had the mindset of the dastardly, how would you quietly silence millions of free thinkers, pilfer their governments, and at the same time preserve whole city infrastructures without messy nukes and bloody drawn-out physical invasions?

The Covid vaccinations were the weapons with which to jumpstart this hell-on-earth agenda. Though the majority of vaccine deaths and injuries go unreported, time will eventually reveal to what extent those vaccines have been weaponized and what specific groups were highlighted targets—but hundreds of millions will be gone by then, and the survivors will be living under a diabolical Orwellian new world order.

The most powerful evidence yet that mRNA vaccines hurt long-term immunity to Covid after infection

  As expected but now more or less official: Vaccination makes you MORE susceptible to the Corona virus over time, not less as statistics all over the world prove. But will there be any backlash? I doubt it.

Guest Post by Alex Berenson

A bombshell study – from the National Institutes of Health and Moderna, no less – should end debate

Unvaccinated people are much more likely to develop broad antibody immunity after Covid infections than people who have received mRNA shots, a new study shows.

The gap remains large whether people had mild, moderate, or severe Covid infections, the study showed – undercutting a crucial argument that vaccine advocates have made to defend the shots.

The research draws on data from Moderna’s 30,000-person clinical trial for its mRNA shots. It may help explain why so many Americans now suffer multiple Covid infections, sometimes within months.

Researchers already knew that many vaccinated people do not gain antibodies to the entire coronavirus after they are infected with Covid.

Unvaccinated people nearly always gain antibodies to the nucleocapsid protein, which covers the virus’s core of RNA, as well as its spike protein, which allows the virus to attack our cells. Vaccinated people often lack those anti-nucleocapsid antibodies and only have spike protein antibodies.

Vaccine advocates claim the lack of nucleocapsid antibodies may occur because the mRNA shots prime people to fight off the Covid infections more quickly and have lower viral loads. In this view, the narrow immune response is a feature, not a bug – vaccinated people are less seriously infected and so do not need to generate anti-nucleocapsid antibodies.

This study essentially demolishes that theory.

Scientists from the National Institutes of Health and Moderna quietly posted the paper a month ago as a pre-print, but it has received little attention despite its import.

The researchers examined the development of anti-nucleocapsid antibodies in people who had been part of Moderna’s clinical trial and were infected with Covid. As they expected, the scientists found that the vaccinated people were far less likely to develop the anti-nucleocapsid antibodies. Only 40 percent of people who received the shots had antibodies, compared to 93 percent of those who did not.

But they then went a step further. Because the infected people had been in the trial, their viral loads had been precisely measured when they were found to have Covid. So the researchers were able to compare vaccinated and unvaccinated people who had the same amounts of virus in their blood.

Once again, they found that unvaccinated people were far more likely to develop anti-nucleocapsid antibodies than the jabbed. An unvaccinated person with a mild infection had a 71 percent chance of mounting an immune response that included those antibodies. A vaccinated person had about a 15 percent chance.

Only in cases of severe infection and very high viral loads did the difference narrow significantly; in those cases all unvaccinated people and most of the vaccinated had anti-nucleocapsid antibodies.

The chart that should worry the vaccinated: the yellow line shows the odds that an unvaccinated person will develop anti-nucleocapsid antibodies to Sars-Cov-2, stratified by viral load. The blue line shows the same odds for a person who received an mRNA shot.

An unvaccinated person has an almost 60 percent chance of developing antibodies even with an extremely mild infection; a vaccinated person needs almost 100,000 times as much virus in his blood to have the same chance.

The researchers also tried to correlate the development of anti-nucleocapsid antibodies with viral load over time. Theoretically, if vaccinated people cleared the virus more quickly, they might have fewer antibodies – another version of the “it’s-a-feature-not-a-bug” defense. But they found the opposite – again, vaccination status and not the duration of infection was what mattered.

The “likely explanation is a vaccine-induced reduction in seroconversion [the production of antibodies],” the researchers wrote.

The study all-but-proves the mRNA shots themselves — and not whatever reduction in viral loads they may cause — are impeding the development of the anti-nucleocapsid antibodies.

Still, the long-term immunological and medical significance of the lack of those antibodies is less clear. The reason that drugmakers targeted the spike protein rather than the nucleocapsid in the first place is that Sars-Cov-2 depends on its spike for its crucial initial attack on the exterior of human cells. It exposes the nucleocapsid protein only after it has dumped its mRNA inside the cell itself.

Yet there is some evidence that antibodies to the nucleocapsid play an important role later in our immune response.

And the coronavirus’s spike protein mutates rapidly, potentially rendering antibodies it against useless. For example, Omicron’s spike is markedly different than that of earlier variants. The nucleocapsid protein mutates far more slowly, offering a potential second line of defense.

Answering these questions and figuring out what if any harm the lack of anti-nucleocapsid antibodies may cause will require a concerted research effort. But it is precisely this kind of work – work that might reveal long-term damage from the vaccines – that government and academic scientists are studiously avoiding.

And expect those articles to avoid the most important question of all – whether unvaccinated people are being reinfected, or only the vaccinated.

Friday, May 20, 2022

'Green' Energy Doesn't Save Money, It's 4-6 Times More-Expensive

  "Green" is a scam as so many such policies. It is not especially "green" when everything is included in the equation nor is it economical. We simply do not know how to do better than oil and gas, from an energy density and cost point of view, which is why our current society will crash. It is unavoidable. All the technology hype will change nothing to the outcome. To really change our society would require such a complete reappraisal of basic concepts that it is beyond our ability to even think about it (as a society, not as individuals). Especially at a time when open discussions are now discouraged. What we will get in the next 10 years are not greener cities, but much poorer citizens and wars over the horizon for as far as you can see until mankind stabilize into a new equilibrium. A faraway prospect that none of us will see.

Op-Ed authored by Stephen Moore via The Epoch Times,

President Joe Biden keeps claiming that wind and solar energy are going to save money for consumers. But more government subsidies to “renewable energy” is a key feature of the White House anti-inflation strategy recently announced by Biden.

U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and U.S. Senator Ed Markey (D-Mass.) (R) speak during a press conference to announce Green New Deal legislation to promote clean energy programs outside the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on Feb. 7, 2019. (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)

He probably got that idea from John Kerry, the administration’s climate czar, who recently claimed that “solar and wind are less expensive than coal or oil or gas.” Pete Buttigieg, the Biden Transportation secretary, makes the same claims about the thousands of dollars that motorists can save if they buy electric cars.

This couldn’t be more wrong.

Proponents of “green” energy boondoggles are often masters at playing with the numbers, because that is the only way that wind and solar electricity generation make any sense. Advocates such as Kerry love to focus on the low operating costs of solar and wind since they don’t require constant purchases of fuel. Ignoring the relatively short lifespan of solar and wind components, as well as the high initial investment, can make it appear as though solar and wind operate at lower costs than fossil fuels or nuclear power.

Let’s get the facts straight. The cost isn’t just what you pay at the retail level for gas or power. It also includes the taxes you pay to subsidize the power. A 2017 study by the Department of Energy found that for every dollar of government subsidy per BTU unit of energy produced from fossil fuels, wind and solar get at least $10.

That’s anything but a money saver.

The reason the subsidies are so high is that solar and wind have additional costs compared to their more reliable competition. “Green” energy sources are non-dispatchable, meaning their output can’t be changed to match demand. The wind doesn’t blow harder, and the sun doesn’t shine brighter, just because electricity use is peaking.

Conversely, fossil fuel entities—such as a coal plant—can ramp up generation when we need it most and ramp down when demand falls.

Widespread adoption of solar and wind generation would necessitate expensive batteries on a large scale to ensure that people still have power when the wind stops blowing or when the sun stops shining—like it does every single night.

So, unlike reliable and flexible natural gas, solar and wind require large-scale storage solutions: massive banks of batteries that are hardly environmentally friendly but are also extremely expensive. And since batteries don’t last forever, they add to both the initial expense and maintenance costs during the life of a solar or wind energy generating station.

The same problem exists with electric cars. The sticker price on EVs is considerably higher than for conventional gas-operated cars, and the so-called savings over time assume that the electric power for recharging is free. But it isn’t and power costs are rising almost as fast as gas prices.

Factors such as these are consistently ignored by Kerry and other “green” energy activists.

To genuinely evaluate dissimilar energy sources and provide an apples-to-apples comparison, the U.S. Energy Information Administration uses the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and the Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS). These measures consider the initial costs, the lifespan of generation and storage systems, maintenance and fuel costs, decommissioning expenses, subsidies, etc., and compare that to how much electricity is produced over a power plant’s lifetime.

The numbers don’t lie: “green” energy is a complete waste of resources.

The LCOE and LCOS for solar and on-shore wind farms are four times as expensive as natural gas. But offshore wind takes the cake—it’s six times as expensive as natural gas.

Imagine paying four to six times as much every month for the same electricity! That’s the green paradise world that the Biden administration wants for America.

Yet, it’s even worse than that because electric power costs greatly affect the cost of producing nearly everything else. In the case of producing aluminum, for example, a third of the total production cost is electricity alone.

Imagine what quadrupling electricity prices would do to the prices of all the goods and services that people buy. If you think inflation is bad now, just wait until the nation is dependent on wind and solar—then you’ll see REAL price increases.

And despite official government data contradicting their own claims, the Biden administration—including Kerry—continues spouting simple untruths on wind and solar. They hope that no one will check their fantastic facts.

To the left, wanting it to be true, makes it true.

All the while, the middle class is being crushed by $4-a-gallon gasoline and businesses everywhere are buckling under $5-per-gallon diesel. The Wall Street Journal warns that electric power blackouts could be coming because of overreliance on wind and solar power.

At some point, if this push for green energy continues, the whole nation will start to look like California, where gas is $6 a gallon, the lights go out, and electric cars are stranded because of rolling blackouts.  If that’s our “green” future, then Americans should want nothing to do with it.

Stephen Moore is a distinguished fellow in economics at the Heritage Foundation, and E.J. Antoni is a research fellow in Heritage’s Center for Data Analysis. Moore is a co-founder of the Committee to Unleash Prosperity, where Antoni is a senior fellow.

OpenAI o3 Might Just Break the Internet (Video - 8mn)

  A catchy tittle but in fact just a translation of the previous video without the jargon. In other words: AGI is here!