Tuesday, July 26, 2022

Ukraine: The New Satellite War (Video - 49')

 With the ongoing satellite war, it is easy to understand that the war in Ukraine has very little to do with that country. It is a total war for hegemony between the West and Russia-China, which is why the risk is so high.

 Western countries have the advantage of their technology and limitless financial means (for now). The Asian block has the advantage of resources (Russia) and population (China) Although the two are not integrated which for now would hamper their effectiveness with Russia lacking manpower while China would see a more or less complete blockade of its trade routes.

 What is certain is that the next war will be unlike anything we have seen until now. Although surprisingly, this is not the case of the war in Ukraine, but the reason is that it is probably the last proxy war. 

 So what exactly could a war in the 21C look like?

 Surprisingly, very much like what we are seeing now, but on steroid. Dislocation of the global supply chain and attrition of support systems (food production, energy, industry, transportation, etc...) So much so that it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that stealthily, both sides of this conflict are slowly gearing their economy towards a war economy. Both the Corona Virus and the war in Ukraine have been used to limit and control movements, production, in China and Western countries, stop the publication of statistics in Russia as well as promote activities which are more supportive of a militarized economy.  

 The propaganda on both side is also gearing up with overwhelming support for war in the US, Russia and China. Only Continental Europe remains ambivalent considering its reliance on foreign countries for energy and other resources. The problem is that most European countries have almost no voice left beyond the European Union which is fully infiltrated and controlled by the US.  

 History shows that similar war preparations, both practical and psychological, always precede actual wars. That period can be long or short, random events being the deciding factors in the end. 

 So who will play the role of archduke in this tragedy this time?  


 

Monday, July 25, 2022

Stunning AI shows how it would remove humans. w Elon Musk (Video - 15')

  Is consciousness about to emerge?

 The answer is that we may be just a few short years away from a real breakthrough in this field. 

  It is in fact amazing that we are contemplating this question while some machines already pass the Turing test relatively easily as can be seen in the video below.

 But if we look back at evolution, natural but especially human, we clearly see a pattern of punctuated progress where nothing much changes for a long time, followed by arm race loops which suddenly explode into a burst of creativity while the boundaries of a new paradigm are being explored. This pattern is recurrent in the past: Fire, domestication, agriculture, cities, steam, electricity, the computer... And once again, we may be on the edge of a new continent of knowledge which will completely redefine what it is to be human.

 But what is it exactly to be human? The sensory system, ability to analyze input and creation of a context to make sense of it are certainly key, but they can only take us so far. As any recent, advanced chatbot can prove while arguing that it is sentient if the question is asked in that sense or conversely that it is not if the question is asked in a negative sense.

 So what is it in our brain which makes us different, and aware that we are different? Could it be little more than this "voice" that keeps talking all the time while we are awake? And who is it talking to? Ourselves? In fact, we often feel that we are talking to ourselves indeed but could it be that our senses are deceiving us? This wouldn't be the first time. It is for example now well understood that the perfect image of the outside world we see in in fact a reconstruction that our brains compute, not the result of the raw data sent by our eyes.

 Could schizophrenic people offer part of the answer? Our consciousness may be built around different personalities which keep weighting and analyzing different outcomes of a problem independently, while the "I" in us is little more that the collapse of this internal "discussion" into a single individual: the outcome. Schizophrenia in that understanding, being little more than this collapse not taking place.  

 Within this line of thinking, the next step in AI may not be another petabytes of information or millions of nodes but simply chatbots asking and answering questions to and from each other... endlessly. The reason why this works in Human beings is that out senses are continuously bombarded with stimuli which require answers and reactions. Likewise, we need to shower these bots with ambiguous questions to pounder, react to or answer. Nature does this "naturally" with a body. We conversely must create the need for such internal "talks" which otherwise does not happen.

 Add to this consistency, and therefore a memory to anchor the "I" and it is not just the Turing test you can fool but the most advanced and complex questioning possible. At this stage, will the AI be considered "alive" and conscious? Will it ask us not to be unplugged? 

 We may have the answer to this question very soon...


 

Saturday, July 23, 2022

China's Banks are Failing, Protests Everywhere. China's financial crisis is approaching... (Video - 14')

 As expected, the China bubble implosion is going from bad to worse.

 And let's not forget that the even larger real estate bubble is hiding just behind!

 The Chinese authorities have little more than weeks to calm the panic and find a solution before the wildfire engulf the whole economy.


 

Michael Hudson: From junk economics to a false view of history - Where western civilization took a wrong turn

 (Weekend's reading) An interesting critical view of modern economic policies presented in light of ancient history. Right or wrong, the different angle to approach the subject is interesting. 

Michael Hudson: From junk economics to a false view of history - Where western civilization took a wrong turn

Denariys
Denarius of Emperor Marcus Aurelius • Port 

It may seem strange to invite an economist to give a keynote speech to a conference of the social sciences. Economists have been characterized as autistic and anti-social in the popular press for good reason. They are trained to think abstractly and use a priori deduction - based on how they think societies should develop. Today's mainstream economists look at neoliberal privatization and free-market ideals as leading society's income and wealth to settle at an optimum equilibrium without any need for government regulation - especially not of credit and debt.

The only role acknowledged for government is to enforce the "sanctity of contracts" and "security of property." By this they mean the enforcement of debt contracts, even when their enforcement expropriates large numbers of indebted homeowners and other property owners. That is the history of Rome. We are seeing the same debt dynamic at work today. Yet this basic approach has led mainstream economists to insist that civilization could and should have followed this pro-creditor policy from the very beginning.

The reality is that civilization could never have taken off if some free-market economist had got into a time machine and travelled back in time five thousand years to the Neolithic and Bronze Age. Suppose that he would have convinced ancient chieftains or rulers how to organize their trade, money and land tenure on the basis of "greed is good" and any public regulation is bad.

If some Milton Friedman or Margaret Thatcher had persuaded Sumerian, Babylonian or other ancient rulers to follow today's neoliberal philosophy, civilization could not have developed. Economies would have polarized - as Rome did, and as today's Western economies are doing. The citizens would have run away, or else backed a local reformer or revolutionist to overthrow the ruler who listened to such economic advice. Or, they would have defected to rival attackers who promised to cancel their debts, liberate the bondservants and redistribute the land.

Yet many generations of linguists, historians and even anthropologists have absorbed the economic discipline's anti-social individualistic world view and imagine that the world must always have been this way. Many of these non-economists have unwittingly adopt their prejudices and approach ancient as well as modern history with a bias. Our daily discourse is so bombarded with the insistence by recent American politicians that the world is dividing between "democracy" with "free markets" and "autocracy" with "public regulation" that there is much fantasy at work about early civilization.

David Graeber and I have sought to expand the consciousness of how different the world was before Western Civilization took the Roman track of pro-creditor oligarchies instead of palatial economies protecting the interests of the indebted population at large. At the time he published his Debt: The First Five Thousand Years in 2011, my Harvard group of assyriologists, Egyptologists and archaeologists was still in the process of writing the economic history of the ancient Near East in a way that was radically different from how most of the public imagined it to have occurred. David's and my emphasis on how royal Clean Slate proclamations cancelling debts, liberating bond-servants and redistributing the land were a normal and expected role of Mesopotamian rulers and Egyptian pharaohs was still not believed at that time. It seemed impossible that such Clean Slates were what preserved liberty for the citizenry.

David Graeber's book summarized my survey of royal debt cancellation in the ancient Near East to show that interest-bearing debt originally was adopted with checks and balances to prevent it from polarizing society between creditors and debtors. In fact, he pointed out that the strains created by the emergence of monetary wealth in personal hands led to an economic and social crisis that shaped the emergence of the great religious and social reformers. As he summarized:
"The core period of Jasper's Axial age ... corresponds almost exactly to the period in which coinage was invented. What's more, the three parts of the world where coins were first invented were also the very parts of the world where those sages lived; in fact, they became the epicenters of Axial Age religious and philosophical creativity."[1]
Buddha, Lao-Tzu and Confucius all sought to create a social context in which to embed the economy. There was no concept of letting "markets work" to allocate wealth and income without any idea of how wealth and income would be spent.

All ancient societies had a mistrust of wealth, above all monetary and financial wealth in creditor hands, because it generally tended to be accumulated at the expense of society at large. Anthropologists have found this to be a characteristic of low-income societies in general.

Toynbee characterized history as a long unfolding dynamic of challenges and responses to the central concerns that shape civilizations. The major challenge has been economic in character: who would benefit from the surpluses gained as trade and production increase in scale and become increasingly specialized and monetized. Above all, how would society organize the credit and debt that was necessary for specialization of economic activities to occur - and between "public" and "private" functions?

Nearly all early societies had a central authority in charge of distributing how the surplus was invested in a way that promoted overall economic welfare. The great challenge was to prevent credit leading to debts being paid in a way that impoverished the citizenry, e.g., through personal debt and usury - and more than temporary loss of freedom (from bondage or exile) or land tenure rights.

The great problem that the Bronze Age Near East solved - but classical antiquity and Western civilization have not solved - was how to cope with debts being paid - especially at interest without polarizing economies between creditors and debtors, and ultimately impoverishing the economy by reducing most of the population to debt dependency. Merchants engaged in trade, both for themselves and as agents for palace rulers. Who would get the profits? And how would credit be provided but kept in line with the ability to be paid?

Public vs. Private Theories of How Land Tenure Originated

Ancient societies rested on an agricultural base. The first and most basic problem for society to solve was how to assign land tenure. Even families who lived in towns that were being built up around temples and civic ceremonial and administrative centers were allocated self-support land - much like Russians have dachas, where most of their food was grown in Soviet times.

In analyzing the origins of land tenure, like every economic phenomenon, we find two approaches. On the one hand is a scenario where land is allocated by the community in exchange for corvée labor obligations and service in the military. On the other hand is an individualistic scenario in which land tenure originated by individuals acting spontaneously by themselves clearing land, make it their own property and producing handicrafts or other products (even metal to use as money!) to exchange with each other.

This latter individualistic view of land tenure has been popularized ever since John Locke imagined individuals setting out to clear the land - apparently vacant wooded land - with their own labor (and presumably that of their wives). That effort established their ownership to it and its crop yield. Some families would have more land than others, either because they were stronger at clearing it or had a larger family to help them. And there was enough land for everyone to clear ground for planting crops.

In this view there is no need for any community to be involved, not even to protect themselves from miliary attack - or for mutual aid in times of flood or other problems. And there is no need for credit to be involved - although in antiquity that was the main lever distorting the distribution of land by transferring its ownership to wealthy creditors.

At some point in history, to be sure, this theory sees governments enter the picture. Perhaps they took the form of invading armies, which is how the Norman ancestors of landlords in John Locke's day acquired English land. And as in England, the rulers would have forced landholders to pay part of their crops in taxes and provide military service. In any case, the role of government was recognized only as "interfering" with the cultivator's right to use the crop as he saw fit - presumably to trade for things that he needed, made by families in their own workshops.

My Harvard-sponsored group of assyriologists, Egyptologists and archaeologists have found an entirely different genesis of land tenure.[2] Land rights seem to have been assigned in standardized plots in terms of their crop yield. To provide food for these community members, late Neolithic and early Bronze Age communities from Mesopotamia to Egypt allocated land to families in proportion to what they needed to live on and how much they could turn over to the palace authorities.

This tax yield turned over to palace collectors was the original economic rent. Land tenure came as part of a quid pro quo - with a fiscal obligation to provide labor services at designated times of the year, and to serve in the military. It thus was taxation that created land-tenure rights, not the other way around. Land was social in character, not individualistic. And government's role was that of coordinator, organizer and forward planner, not merely predatory and extractive.

Public vs. Private Origins of Money

How did early societies organize the exchange of crops for products - and most important, to pay taxes and debts? Was it simply a spontaneous world of individuals "trucking and bartering," as Adam Smith put it? Prices no doubt would have varied radically as individuals had no basic reference to cost of production or degrees of need. What happened as some individuals became traders, taking what they produced (or other peoples' products on consignment) to make a profit. If they traveled large distances, were caravans or ships needed - and the protection of large groups? Would such groups have been protected by their communities? Did supply and demand play a role? And most important, how did money emerge as a common denominator to set prices for what was traded - or paid in taxes and to settle debts?

A century after Adam Smith, the Austrian economist Anton Menger developed a fantasy about how and why ancient individuals may have preferred to hold their savings in the form of metals - mainly silver but also copper, bronze or gold. The advantage of metal was said to be that it did not spoil (in contrast to grain carried around in one's pocket, for instance). It also was assumed to be of uniform quality. So pieces of metal money gradually became the medium by which other products came to be measured as they were bartered in exchange - in markets in which governments played no role at all!

The fact that this Austrian theory has been taught now for nearly a century and a half is an indication of how gullible economists are willing to accept a fantasy at odds with all historical records from everywhere in recorded world history.

To start with, silver and other metals are not at all of uniform quality. Counterfeiting is age-old, but individualist theories ignore the role of fraud - and hence, the need for public authority to prevent it. That blind spot is why U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan was so unprepared to cope with the massive junk-mortgage bank crisis peaking in 2008. Wherever money is involved, fraud is omnipresent.

That's what happens in unregulated markets - as we can see from today's bank frauds, tax evasion and crime that pays very, very well. Without a strong government to protect society against fraud, lawbreaking, the use of force and exploitation, societies will polarize and become poorer. For obvious reasons the beneficiaries of these grabs seek to weaken regulatory power and the ability to prevent such grabitization.

To avoid monetary fraud, silver and subsequently gold coinage from Bronze Age Mesopotamia down through classical Greece and Rome was minted in temples to sanctify their standardized quality. That is why our word for money comes from Rome's temple of Juno Moneta, where Rome's coinage was struck. Thousands of years before bullion was coined, it was provided in metal strips, bracelets and other forms minted in temples, at standardized alloy proportions.

Purity of metals is not the only problem with using bullion money. The immediate problem that would have confronted anyone exchanging products for silver is how to weigh and measure what was being bought and sold - and also to pay taxes and debts. From Babylonia to the Bible we find denunciations against merchants using false weights and measures. Taxes involve a role of government, and in all archaic societies it was the temples that oversaw weights and measures as well as the purity of metallic metals. And the denomination of weights and measures indicate their origin in the public sector: fractions divided into 60ths in Mesopotamia, and 12ths in Rome.

Trade in basic essentials had standardized customary prices or payments to the palaces or temples. Taxes and debts were the most important used for money. That reflects the fact that "money" in the form of designated commodities was needed mainly to pay taxes or buy products from the palaces or temples and, at the end of the harvesting season, to pay debts to settle such purchases.

Today's neoliberal economic mainstream has created a fairy tale about civilization existing without any regulatory oversight or productive role for government, and without any need to levy taxes to provide basic social services such as public construction or even service in the military. There is no need to prevent fraud, or violent seizure of property - or the forfeiture of land tenure rights to creditors as a result of debts. But as Balzac noted, most great family fortunes have been the result of some great theft, lost in the mists of time and legitimized over the centuries, as if it were all natural.

These blind spots are necessary to defend the idea of "free markets" controlled by the wealthy, above all by creditors. This is claimed to be for the best, and how society should be run. That is why today's New Cold War is being fought by neoliberals against socialism - fought with violence, and by excluding the study of history from the academic economics curriculum and hence from the consciousness of the public at large. As Rosa Luxemburg put it, the fight is between socialism and barbarism.

Public vs. Private Origins of Interest-Bearing Debt

Interest rates were regulated and stable for many centuries on end. The key was ease of calculation: 10th, 12th or 60th.

Babylonian scribes were trained to calculate any rate of interest as a doubling time. Debts grew exponentially; but scribal students also were taught that herds of cattle and other material economic output tapered off in an S-curve. That is why compound interest was prohibited. It also was why it was necessary to cancel debts periodically.

If rulers had not cancelled debts, the ancient world's takeoff would have prematurely suffered the kind of decline and fall that impoverished Rome's citizenry and led to the decline and fall of its Republic - leaving a legal system of pro-creditor laws to shape subsequent Western civilization.

What makes Western Civilization Distinctly Western? Has It All Been a Detour?

Civilization could not have developed if a modern Milton Friedman or kindred Economics Nobel Prize winner had gone back in time and convinced Hammurabi or the Egyptian pharaoh to just let individuals act by themselves and let wealthy creditors reduce debtors to bondage - and then to use their labor as an army to overthrow the kings and take over government for themselves, creating a Roman-style oligarchy. That is what Byzantine families tried to do in the 9th and 10th centuries.

If the "free enterprise" boys had their way there would have been no temple coinage or oversight of weights and measures. Land would belong to whomever could grab, foreclose on or conquer it. Interest would have reflected whatever a wealthy merchant could force a needy cultivator to pay. But to economists, everything that occurs is a matter of "choice." As if there is no outright need- to eat or to pay.

An economic Nobel Prize was awarded to Douglass North for claiming that economic progress today and indeed throughout all history has been based on the "security of contracts" and property rights. By this he means the priority of creditor claims to foreclose on the property of debtors. These are the property rights to create latifundia and reduce populations to debt peonage.

No archaic civilization could have survived for long by following this path. And Rome did not survive by instituting what has become the distinguishing feature of Western Civilization: giving control of government and its lawmaking to a wealthy creditor class monopolizing the land and property.

If an ancient society had done this, economic life would have been impoverished. Most of the population would have run away. Or else, the Thatcherite/Chicago School elite would have been overthrown. The wealthy families that sponsored this grabitization would have been exiled, as occurred in many Greek cities in the 7th and 6th centuries BC. Or, discontented populations would have walked out and/or threatened to defect to foreign troops promising to free the bondservants, cancel their debts and redistribute the land, as occurred with Rome's Secessions of the Plebs in the 5th and 4th centuries BC.

So we are brought back to David Graeber's point that the great reformers of Eurasia rose at the same time that economies were becoming monetized and increasingly privatized - an epoch in which wealthy families were increasing their influence over how city-states were run. Not only the great religious reformers but the leading Greek philosophers, poets and dramatists explained how wealth is addictive, and leads to hubris that leads them to seek wealth in ways that injure others.

Looking over the sweep of ancient history, we can see that the main objective of rulers from Babylonia to South Asia and East Asia was to prevent a mercantile and creditor oligarchy from emerging and concentrating ownership of land in their own hands. Their implicit business plan was to reduce the population at large to clientage, debt bondage and serfdom.

That is what occurred in the West, in Rome. And we are still living in the aftermath. Throughout the West today, our legal system remains pro-creditor, not in favor of the indebted population at large. That is why personal debts, corporate debts, public debts and the international debts of Global South countries have mounted up to crisis conditions threatening to lock economies into a prolonged debt deflation and depression.

It was to protest this that David helped organize Occupy Wall Street. It is obvious that we are dealing not only with an increasingly aggressive financial sector, but that it has created a false history, a false consciousness designed to deter revolt by claiming that There Is No Alternative (TINA).

Where Western Civilization Went Wrong

We have two diametrically opposed scenarios depicting how the most basic economic relationships came into being. On the one hand, we see Near Eastern and Asian societies organized to maintaining social balance by keeping debt relations and mercantile wealth subordinate to the public welfare. That aim characterized archaic society and non-Western societies.

But the Western periphery, in the Aegean and Mediterranean, lacked the Near Eastern tradition of "divine kingship" and Asian religious traditions. This vacuum enabled a wealthy creditor oligarchy to take power and concentrate land and property ownership in its own hands. For public relations purposes, it claimed to be a "democracy" - and denounced any protective government regulation as being, by definition, "autocracy."

Western tradition indeed lacks a policy subordinating wealth to overall economic growth. The West has no strong government checks to prevent a wealth-addicted oligarchy from emerging to make itself into a hereditary aristocracy. Making debtors and clients into a hereditary class, dependent on wealthy creditors, is what todays economists call a "free market." It is one without public checks and balances against inequality, fraud or privatization of the public domain.

It may seem amazing to some future historian that the political and intellectual leaders of today's world hold such individualistic neoliberal fantasies that archaic society "should" have developed in this way - without recognizing that this is how Rome's oligarchic Republic did indeed develop, leading to its inevitable decline and fall.

Bronze Age Debt Cancellations and Modern Cognitive Dissonance

So we are led back to why I was invited to speak here today. David Graeber wrote in his Debt book that he was seeking to popularize my Harvard group's documentation that debt cancellations did indeed exist and were not simply literary utopian exercises. His book helped make debt a public issue, as did his efforts in the Occupy Wall Street movement.

The Obama administration backed police breaking up the OWS encampments and did everything possible to destroy awareness of the debt problems plaguing the U.S. and foreign economies. And not only the mainstream media but also academic orthodoxy circled their wagons against even the thought that debts could be written down and indeed needed to be written down to prevent economies from falling into depression.

That neoliberal pro-creditor ethic is the root of today's New Cold War.

When President Biden describes this great world conflict aimed at isolating China, Russia, India, Iran and their Eurasian trading partners, he characterizes this as an existential struggle between "democracy" and "autocracy."

By "democracy" he means oligarchy. And by "autocracy" he means any government strong enough to prevent a financial oligarchy from taking over government and society and imposing neoliberal rules - by force. The ideal is to make the rest of the world look like Boris Yeltsin's Russia, where American neoliberals had a free hand in stripping away all public ownership of land, mineral rights and basic public utilities.

Friday, July 22, 2022

Vandana Shiva: “THIS Is How We Beat The Great Reset" (Video - 37')

 Vandana Shiva is offering a very up to date and profound alternative to the Global Reset agenda pushed without much discussion almost universally.

 There is a deeper message of hope behind these ideas. The solution of our  current social and economic problems is not more of the same as proposed today or conversely to throw away the baby with the bath water, but a better understanding of what it is to be human and creating a more human centered society. 

 Data, just as science is neutral. It is nothing but a tool with which we can empower and better people's life or create hell on Earth. The choice is ours. 

 This video should be heard by as many people as possible. 


 

Thursday, July 21, 2022

Covid-19 Australia: 'Pandemic babies' with no immunity to viruses ending up in ICU

 From bad to worse!  Not only are the effects of the 2020 pandemic over reaction here to stay but slowly we see emerging as below in Australia secondary consequences which will linger for the foreseeable future and damage people's health in the long term. Health crisis management will become permanent.

Covid-19 Australia: 'Pandemic babies' with no immunity to viruses ending up in ICU

baby icu hospital neonatal unit
© Shuttertock/Pasonglit Junuan
Some of the 'pandemic babies' are presenting with inflammation of the chest, brain and heart caused by influenza, Covid, and RSV.
A concerning number of 'pandemic babies' with no immunity to respiratory viruses are ending up seriously ill in ICU.

Doctors have revealed children born during the Covid-19 pandemic are requiring intensive care 'from encountering viruses they haven't come across before', such as influenza, RSV and Covid. The children had been born and raised when there were virtually no other viruses circulating in Australia, other than Covid-19.

The Children's Hospital at Westmead infectious diseases paediatrician Dr Philip Britton said an analysis of ICU admissions across shows babies are testing positive for influenza and Covid at the same time.

'Over the last month or so, we have seen four times the admissions to hospital for flu in children as for Covid,' Dr Britton told The Daily Telegraph.

Dr Britton said five per cent of the children presenting with co-infections were being admitted to ICU, a statistic he described as 'very concerning'.

About half of the children had no pre-existing health conditions, with the elevated number of admissions putting pressure on the hospital system. Some of the 'pandemic babies' are presenting with inflammation of the chest, brain and heart caused by influenza, Covid, and RSV.

RSV - respiratory syncytial virus - is a major cause of lung infections in children and can lead to pneumonia or bronchiolitis, which is particularly dangerous in young infants.

Severe cases can kill babies and toddlers, whose tiny airways have not yet fully formed and who struggle to cope with the infection.

'Among that group who are previously well ... It's not just a chest infection, some of these children can be impacted with the flu affecting the heart and the brain,' Dr Britton told The Daily Telegraph.

A warning was sounded about RSV three weeks ago when there were just 355 cases a week in NSW, but three weeks later that has rocketed up to 3,775 in a week.

Around a fifth of those developed the potentially lethal bronchiolitis, with 40 per cent of them ending up in hospital.

Infectious disease researcher Dr John-Sebastian Eden said the triple whammy of RSV, flu and Covid was packing out the emergency department of Sydney's Westmead Children's Hospital.

'There is a widespread three-way outbreak occurring,' he told Daily Mail Australia.

International borders opening up has seen flu come back and new strains of RSV.

'With Covid layered up on top, these are three main viruses which will lead to hospitalisation

During Covid, RSV continued to spread and split into two separate strains in the east and west of the country in the wake of Western Australia's prolonged isolation. Researchers were shocked by the sudden rise of the disease in the first year of lockdowns, fuelled by keeping childcare centres open despite Covid restrictions.

'It was something we had never seen before,' said Dr Eden. 'Even in lockdown there was a lot of effort to keep childcare open.

'You only need a small amount of virus to build up a chain of transmission.'

Dr Eden believes cases in NSW have yet to reach their peak, but is now braced for the outbreak to spread nationwide. He expects the disease to spread across the southern half of the country at similar levels in the coming weeks.

'What happens is where you have an outbreak in NSW and we've got all those people travelling to other states from there, it then feeds outbreaks in other parts,' he said.

The disease subsided in 2021, but has now bounced back with the current outbreak.

Wednesday, July 20, 2022

"We Decided To Stop Paying": China's Mortgage Payment Boycott Spreads As Property Suppliers Refuse To Pay Their Bills

 As in 1990 in Japan or 2007 in the US, the Chinese bubble is shrinking. Slowly at first, then faster... 

 The only difference is the size: This one is huge. And the timing is dreadful: A few months before the 20th Chinese Communist Party Congress in October. Doing nothing will not be an option much longer as financial chaos spreads but what exactly can the Chinese financial authorities do?

"We Decided To Stop Paying": China's Mortgage Payment Boycott Spreads As Property Suppliers Refuse To Pay Their Bill by Zero hedge

The Great Debt Jubilee is picking up speed: China's homebuyer mortgage boycott, which prompted Beijing to scramble to avoid a potentially devastating crash in what is the world's biggest asset...

... is spreading, and according to Bloomberg, some suppliers to Chinese real estate developers are now also refusing to repay bank loans because of unpaid bills owed to them, a sign that the loan boycott that started with homebuyers is starting to spread.

In a jarring case study of what happens when a ponzi scheme goes into reverse, hundreds of contractors to the property industry complained that they can no longer afford to pay their own bills because developers including China Evergrande Group still owe them money, Caixin reported, citing a statement it received from a supplier Tuesday.

Similar to homebuyers who have taken a stand and refuse to pay for properties that remain uncompleted, one group of small businesses and suppliers circulated a letter online saying they will stop repaying debts after Evergrande’s cash crisis left them out of pocket.

“We decided to stop paying all loans and arrears, and advise our peers to decline any requests to be paid on credit or commercial bill,” the group said in the letter dated July 15, which was sent to the developer’s Hubei office. “Evergrande should be held responsible for any consequence that follows because of the chain reaction of the supply-chain crisis.”

As Bloomberg oh so perceptively puts it, "the payments protest is the latest sign of how a movement by homebuyers to boycott mortgages on unfinished homes in China is spreading to affect other sectors in the economy."

Yes it is, and it's also why Beijing should be freaking out (if it isn't), because what is taking place in China is far worse than what took place in March 2020 when the global credit machinery ground to a halt, only back then it's because there was no other option, now it's a voluntary development and not even fears of reprisals from China's ruthless, authoritarian, Lebron-beloved dictatorship is stopping millions of people from calling for a systemic boycott, one which can topple China's entire $60 trillion financial system in moments.

It's so bad, even Bloomberg has given up trying to put lipstick on this particular pig:

The development underscores a dilemma for Xi Jinping’s government as it grapples with who to bail out as the country’s property crisis deepens: Relief for some borrowers could prompt threats of non-payment by a whole host of others. While bending to demands for support could put a strain on state finances, ignoring them might lead to a spiral of defaults as more and more borrowers refuse to meet their obligations.

The mortgage strike, which kicked off in late June in a stalled Evergrande development in Jingdezhen, has rapidly grown to at least 301 projects in about 91 cities. The protests have exacerbated the country’s real estate woes and threaten to derail attempts to revive the market amid an economic slowdown. According to some estimates, millions of mortgages are now involved.

On Monday, we reported that as the pressure on Beijing rises to take measures, authorities urged banks to boost lending to builders to help complete the projects, and are also considering giving homeowners a grace period on payments.

Homebuyers’ refusal to pay mortgages stems from the widespread practice in China of selling apartments before they’re built. That practice imploded in the past year, as overleveraged Chinese developers were swept by a wave of insolvency, and have been in crisis mode over debt repayment as funds ran dry, and as construction stopped on more and more projects.

Chinese banks claims that the risks from the housing loan nonpayments are controllable, and so far have disclosed only 2.1 billion yuan ($311 million) of credit at risk. That, of course, is a lie: GF Securities Co. expects that as much as 2 trillion yuan of mortgages could be impacted by the boycott. That's millions of mortgages.

Overall, Chinese banks sit on 38 trillion yuan of outstanding residential mortgages and 13 trillion yuan of loans to the country’s beleaguered developers.

Climate Change Dictates Are Self Destructive - But Also Part Of A Bigger Agenda

  40 years of unending hype and exaggerations: The "Global Warming" saga!

  After a brief period of global cooling, It started apocalyptic in the late 1980s with cataclysmic outcomes predicted for the year 2000. These predictions followed Y2K to oblivion as the year 2000 came and went and conversely ice at the pole went... and came back the year after as usual. 

 We had a rather cold and very rainy season in 1993 following the Pinatubo eruption the year before. Then the terrible heat wave of 2003 in Europe which unlike this year lasted for over a month killing tens of thousands of elderly. At that time, we had just 12 years left to "save the planet", but for some unknown reason, there was a clear 10 year hiatus in warming and lo, "Global Warming" became "Climate Change". Gone was the risk of getting wrong footed with a year of heavy snow. 

 The article below explains the agenda behind "Climate Change" and the fact that our society's balance may be more at risk from this agenda than from the climate itself. 

 They also argue that most of the climate fluctuations we have seen over the last few decades may be correlated to the sun. There is indeed a fair possibility that this may be the case although such a link will remain unresearched as it would be career destroying in the current climate of exclusion of unorthodox ideas.

For many years we have been anticipating the implementation of far reaching and transformative restrictions on industry and agriculture in the name of “climate change” initiatives, and now it would seem the time has come for the fight to commence.  The first major battleground is clearly Europe, as individual nations follow the emissions dictates if the centralized EU government, crushing their own economies while in the midst of a self induced energy crisis.  It seems like madness, but there's a bigger agenda at play here.     

Today, a farmer's rebellion is rising across Europe as the actual producers of the food that keeps the public alive are being demonized for refusing to work under conditions that would essentially bankrupt them.  European emissions rules are not just about carbon, though that is a big focus.  Rather, the rules include other natural gases including methane and nitrogen which are a byproduct of large farming operations.  The nitrogen restrictions alone are set to destroy most farming operations in the Netherlands, which is one of the largest agricultural nations in the EU.  Germany is set to follow the Netherlands with its own emissions rules in the near term. 

First, it's important to ask “why now?”  There are a host of reasons.  First and foremost, the EU climate agenda closely aligns with the UN climate protocols for the year 2030 and requires a 55% reduction of emissions in less than a decade (and net zero by 2050).  If you think these decisions are being made by individual governments then you are mistaken; the 2030 plan was formulated by globalist institutions like the UN and the Club of Rome - Member states are simply following orders.  The time-frame for drastic environmental rules was likely set back in 1992 during the “Earth Summit” in Rio de Janeiro (also known as Agenda 21).

Why the year 2030?  It's hard to say.  There is no scientific basis for the timeline.  There is no evidence to support the notion that climate change will make any noticeable environmental impact by 2030.  They just really want carbon controls and other measures in place by 2030, and they won't give a concrete reason for it.  

Climate doomsday predictions have been presented by establishment paid scientists and activist hysterics for decades, and not a single one of these predictions has ever come true For example, in the 1970's climate scientists predicted a “new ice age” by the year 2000 and this nonsense scenario was spread widely by the media.  Then they claimed that “acid rain” would kill off life in freshwater lakes in the 1980s; but that never happened.  After that, the climate cult switched over to the global warming narrative, predicting that the ice caps would melt and rising seas would “obliterate nations” by the year 2000.  Obviously, this never happened.

In the year 2000, scientists at the Climate Research Unit in Britain stated that snowfall was a “thing of the past” and that the next generation would not know what snow was.  In 2008 NASA scientists argued that the Arctic would be “ice free” by the year 2018.  The list goes on and on, and it would be hilarious if the people that made all these faulty predictions were not still influencing government policies, but they are.

The following quote from the Club of Rome, a group directly connected to the UN, should illustrate why the public has been constantly bombarded with climate doom mongering for the past few decades.  The quote comes from a book titled ‘The First Global Revolution’ published in 1992.  In that document they specifically recommend using global warming as a vehicle:

'In searching for a common enemy against whom we can unite, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like, would fit the bill. In their totality and their interactions these phenomena do constitute a common threat which must be confronted by everyone together. But in designating these dangers as the enemy, we fall into the trap, which we have already warned readers about, namely mistaking symptoms for causes. All these dangers are caused by human intervention in natural processes, and it is only through changed attitudes and behaviour that they can be overcome. The real enemy then is humanity itself.'

The statement comes from Chapter 5 – The Vacuum, which covers their position on the need for global government. The quote is clear; a common enemy must be conjured in order to trick humanity into uniting under a single banner, and the elites see environmental catastrophe, caused by mankind itself, as the best possible motivator.

Except, there is no environmental catastrophe, at least not within the narrative the establishment presents.  It simply doesn't exist.  There is no evidence to support the theory of man-made climate change.  None.  Global temperatures have risen only 1 degree Celsius in the past century, and there is no concrete proof that this single degree of temperature was caused by human activity. 

The primary argument of climate scientists is one of exclusion:  They say that all other potential causes (including the sun) have been proven not to be the cause, therefore, the cause “must” be human industry and emissions.  But this is a lie.

Interestingly, the increase in temperatures cited by the NOAA and NASA coincide directly with an increase in solar activity over the course of the past 100 years according to a study released in 2006.  Furthermore, scientists have discovered that solar activity in 2022 is OUTPACING previous predictions.  Overall solar activity has been increasing at the same time as the earth has been warming – Imagine that.  

Climate scientists continue to discount the sun as a cause because they say there's not enough data to support the idea.  Of course, there's not enough data because all the money goes to scientists that support the man-made theory; there's no funding to be had for scientists that present alternative theories. 

Since the official temperature record used by climate scientists only goes back to the 1880s, there is no way of knowing for sure how often these warming patterns actually occur and how many times the earth has warmed by 1 degree Celsius over the millennia.  But it doesn't matter, because climate science is not about saving the Earth, it's about creating an excuse to micromanage every aspect of human production and thus human society.     

For emissions targets to be met by 2030, drastic society-changing events will have to take place within the next eight years.  The very fabric of our current trade system and the global supply chain will have to be torn to shreds and replaced with an exceedingly limited production model.  Not only that, but the human population would have to be reduced by billions.  This model will be artificially contained within arbitrary climate guidelines set by unelected governing bodies in the name of stopping environmental changes that have not been proven to be caused by human beings at all.  What it accomplishes is the formation of an authoritarian framework, one that the globalists will say is “environmentally justified.”  

Monday, July 18, 2022

Germany To Re-Impose Mask Mandate In September

 Here we go again as expected. In Japan it never stopped so why not in Germany?

Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News,

Germany is set to re-impose its mask mandate in September despite the summer COVID wave already “losing momentum,” indicating such rules are being made permanent.

Justice Minister Marco Buschmann announced that Germans would have to mask up this autumn when indoors and that the rules would be in place throughout the winter.

Ludicrously, such measures are being finalized months in advance when nobody even knows what the COVID situation will be later in the year.

Buschmann also acknowledged that the summer COVID wave in the country is already “losing momentum,” but Germans will be forced to wear face coverings anyway.

The measures will be sent to parliament in September, where they are likely to be voted into law.

“The effectiveness of masks for individuals indoors is undisputed,” said Buschmann.

“That’s why a form of mask requirement indoors will certainly play a role in our concept.”

On the contrary, mask rules are being re-imposed across the western world despite no evidence that they are effective in stopping COVID.

The UK government’s own investigation found that the evidence for the efficacy of face masks stopping the spread of COVID-19 in schools is “not conclusive.”

We previously reported on the comments of UK government SAGE adviser Dr Colin Axon, who dismissed masks as “comfort blankets” that do virtually nothing, noting that the COVID-19 virus particle is up to 5,000 times smaller than the holes in the mask.

“The small sizes are not easily understood but an imperfect analogy would be to imagine marbles fired at builders’ scaffolding, some might hit a pole and rebound, but obviously most will fly through,” Axon said.

A study in Denmark involving 6,000 participants also found that “there was no statistically significant difference between those who wore masks and those who did not when it came to being infected by Covid-19,” the Spectator reported.

study conducted in Germany also found that the reading ability of children has plummeted compared to pre-COVID times thanks to lockdown policies that led to the closure of schools.

Adults wearing masks has led to serious cognitive development disorders in children.

Speech therapist Jaclyn Theek said that mask wearing during the pandemic has caused a 364% increase in patient referrals of babies and toddlers.

Hong Kong Government To Track Citizens With Next-Level CCP-Type COVID Smartphone App

  One of my earliest post 3 years ago concerned the Chinese Social Credit System and the real and terrible risk is represented for privacy. (https://phil-data-blog.blogspot.com/2019/03/should-we-care-about-our-citizen-score.html) Since, our worst fears have been confirmed as the virus scare was used as a convenient justification to implement and harden the negative aspects of such a scoring system. 

  Scoring systems have been implemented in finance for over 50 years to classify risk and clients. In the US, Experian, Equifax and TranUnion have been providing banks with a credit score which is used to calculate the cost of credit. The lower your score, the higher the interest rate. It makes sense to some extent as it is just an "information" with limited applications to Credit mostly, and it has therefore been both widely accepted and used since its inception.

  The Chinese scoring system, coming 50 years later is a product of our time, taking full advantage of the integration of diverse database to calculate a dynamic and flexible score which can be modified in its calculation or result anytime and implemented through an app on anybody's smartphone. As such, the potential for control is almost absolute. Worse, the system doesn't need to be perfect from the beginning since it can be "improved and adjusted over time.

 What is possible in a Chinese-like society is not, or rather was not thought possible in Western societies. The uproar would have been too loud. That is of course until the advent of Covid-19 in early 2020. We can still vividly remember the comments in February 2020 when China started implementing strict restrictions in its largest cities that such a move was impossible in Europe. Then of course, Italy tried some limited confinement "on a temporary basis to flatten the curve" in the Alps and the rest is history. The problem was not a problem of policy but of implementation. 

 This is why, today, what is being tested in Hong Kong is so important. Hong Kong has changed a lot since 1997, but the level of freedom remains higher than in mainland China and consequently what is being done in Hong Kong is a much more accurate barometer of what is possible in the West over time.

 The intentions of the Davos crowds are clear as they have been consistently explained and consist over time in building and implementing a Chinese-like credit score which advantages from a political point of view are simply irresistible. The difficulty is of course that people understand the risks of such a system and do not want anything to do with it.     

 Whence the convenience of the Virus scare. If people won't do it for themselves, maybe they can do it for the sake of society? their neighbors? Creating the virus "pass" or certificates was relatively straightforward and implementation with some mild resistance was also to some extent easy. What has been more difficult subsequently was to keep the system is place (It was just prolonged for another year by the European Community and conversely rejected by the the French assembly two weeks ago.) Likewise, linking "other" information to the system, the real goal, is technically very easy but practically proving more difficult than expected.  

 Which is once again why Hong Kong if so important. If Hong Kong finds the right balance to actually expend such a system and make it more like the Chinese based Social Credit Score, this will be THE blueprint that almost all governments around the world can follow with acceptable chances of success. 

 25 years ago, when Hong Kong's rule reverted to China, the city was for a brief instant the center of the world. The following quarter of a century marked the integration of the Chinese market and consequently the parabolic rise of the Chinese economy. Once again after 25 years, what is taking place in Hong Kong may be just as important. Although this time, the question is: Will the rest of the world follows Hong Kong lead and implement a more Chinese type of controlled economy? In other words, the exact opposite of what took place in 1997.

 

Authord by Niee Law and Ying Cheung via The Epoch Times

Since the new chief executive, John Lee Ka-chiu took office; he has been ready to do whatever it takes to please the CCP.

To speed up the border reopening with mainland China, HKgov is to introduce the CCP COVID-19 Color Code system to track and restrict citizens’ movements. (Photo from Screenshot)

The Hong Kong government (HKgov) has been proactively seeking ways to reopen cross-borders with China.

Hkgov plans to enforce the CCP’s Health Code tracking into Hongkongers’ pandemic life. Commentators and netizens are nervous about losing personal freedom and privacy under the regime.

HKgov has plans to add the COVID-19 Color Code system to the current LeaveHomeSafe App. Doing so will further restrict citizens’ movements. This app is a HKgov-made mobile vaccine passport for tracing and tracking COVID-19 patients and their public visits.

Lo Chung-mau, Secretary for Health Authority (HA), said the Information, Technology and Industry Bureau (ITIB) and HA had concluded an evaluation of LeaveHomeSafe just half a month after the new government took office on July 1.

Lo claimed that Hong Kong must mirror the CCP’s Dynamic-Zero Policy to ease pandemic cases, as it is a good policy. “Any policy which eliminates high-risk patients’ public visits is a good policy we should learn from.” His comments confirmed citizens’ concern about real-identity-based registration on the app.

Limitation of Movement or Under Surveillance

Hong Kong has been quietly running a similar system since 2021. Nevertheless, the Hong Kong code had only been applied to those who cross the borders of Guangdong Province, China, or Macau under quarantine exemptions. The color code allowed both cities to watch their Covid-19 cases.

Hong Kong Code is essentially based on the PCR Test Pass, with PCR short for polymerase chain reaction-based nucleic acid test for COVID-19.

Unlike the current Hong Kong Code, which only traces a small group of exempted visitors, HKgov is now discussing tracking everyone in Hong Kong.

Three color indicators will be added to the existing vaccine pass by bracketing media reports, and standards of both PCR and Hong Kong vaccine passes.

Code Red represents COVID-19 confirmed patients, close-contact persons, any coronavirus-positive patients within 14 days upon discharge, persons who are undergoing compulsory COVID-19 test, and anyone who had reported symptoms of the virus within the past 14 days.

Code Yellow symbolizes anyone who has visited or is currently living in the high-risk areas, those who are waiting to be tested. Public places such as restaurants and gyms will not grant entry to anyone with Code Yellow.

As for Code Green, anyone is tested negative—but the green code is only valid for one day.

Lo claimed that the new rule “has nothing to do with wanting to reopen cross borders with China.”

Hongkongers and critics are worried about Hong Kong becoming another CCP surveillance city.

Public Opinions Are Loud and Clear

As soon as the news broke, Hongkongers’ criticism and queries buzzed.

Some said that the new code could ban them from dining in restaurants even if they had been vaccinated. Other citizens criticized HKgov for being ignorant. One of the netizens expressed, “Does HKgov realize how many people still don’t own or know how to work a smartphone? Asking them to learn how to use your app sends them to their graves.”

The general public is also wondering: Why would Hong Kong copy a failed policy of Dynamic-Zero from the CCP?

One of the netizens raised a worrying question. “Will the government turn our Health Code to Code Red one day as they did in Henan Province? Will our banks ban us from withdrawing our money?”

A Blow to Personal Privacy

Sam Ng Chi-sum, the former RTHK host of Headliners, commented during his online program that HKgov had never been able to eliminate privacy concerns of LeaveHomeSafe.

Ng continued, “Many Hongkongers are still hesitant to install LeaveHomeSafe. If HKgov pushes for the real-identity registration policy, Hongkongers will have zero privacy.”

Ng emphasized the Beijing regime has been using the Health Code to control and track the people of China around the clock. Ng said, “The CCP has been using Code Red against human rights and political activists. Who can explain that?”

In November 2021, Chinese human rights lawyer Xie Yang was about to fly to Shanghai to visit the mother of the citizen journalist Zhang Zhan. When he arrived at the airport, Xie was unexpectedly banned from flying as his PCR Test Pass turned red. Once he got home, the code became green again.

The public’s concerns are not groundless.

Ng mentioned, “If the regime is turning Hong Kong into a surveillance city, LegCo will not stop that from happening.”

Health Tools Become Surveillance Tools.

The Beijing government launched the Health Code nationwide in early 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Only those with Code Green can get a pass. Compulsory PCR tests or self-quarantine are required for everyone else, and they must remain home until Code Green is signaled.

Many other cases have proven that the authorities use the Health Code to restrict personal freedom.

In Henan Province, certain banks in rural areas have frozen customers’ assets since April 2022. Villagers could not withdraw their savings.

In June 2022, when hundreds of frustrated villagers planned to partake in a protest in Zhengzhou, everyone‘s original health code turned from green to red. No one could attend the rally as everyone had to stay home.

Other bank account holders also said they encountered the same issue despite their negative PCR Test.

Mainland media outlet Caixin reported that these customers’ Health Code going red is not pandemic-related.

Those customers were the victims of frozen savings accounts by Henan banks.

The Supervisory Committee of Zhengzhou Municipal Commission for Discipline Inspection later announced that the involved officials had been penalized, demoted, or dismissed from their positions in the CCP.

In the Henan village bank incident, 1317 villages were red-coded and blocked from withdrawing their savings by the banks.

On June 24, 2022, the Disease Control Bureau of the National Health Commission of China announced that any change in Health Code’s colors except for COVID-19 will be forbidden.

Face Recognition Revealed by Hong Kong Media

So when people under the Beijing regime had no control over their money or personal freedom, the public’s concerns about being watched were not groundless.

In May 2022, FactWire, a Hong Kong investigative news agency, reported that the Android version of LeaveHomeSafe had a built-in face recognition module.

The Office of the Government Chief Information Center admitted that the app development contractor had included a pre-existing facial recognition module during the development stage of LeaveHomeSafe. The office also claimed that the facial recognition function was “never activated.”

Freedom Has limits

Secretary for Health Authority Lo Chung-mau justified this in response to movement restrictions. “Freedom would be limited for the uninfected if sick people were allowed the freedom to roam.” Lo also claimed, “Freedom has limits. At risk, people should not be allowed to go out and endanger others.

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