Thursday, January 16, 2025

Will blackouts come to Britain? (Video - 46mn)

   Last week on January 8th, 2025, the electric grid in the UK was very close to collapse. This has been a problem 20 years in the making which will get worse in the coming years.

  The reasons why for this problem are complex but mostly related to the  unreliability of renewables. Eventually the whole of Europe will face similar problems. (A technical but very interesting video!)

  PS: The most interesting part of the video is after the 30mn mark when the analyst explains that net zero is not possible technically, (we can't build the batteries) and not possible financially (we can't double all the infrastructure as needed) in such a short time frame. This means that impoverishment and de-industrialization are baked into the cake! There is no way around it. Energy needs a 20 years strategy and most certainly cannot turn on a dime.


 

Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Azerbaijan Signaled That It Might Be Preparing Its Own Special Operation Against Armenia

  In 2025, Russia will acquire 1/3 of Ukraine. Maybe more.

  The US will take over Greenland, probably, the Panama Canal, possibly and Canada? (Most probably not! :-) 

  Will China go for Taiwan? A full blockade is actually likely.

  Azerbaijan will may link it's two separate parts as discussed below. 

  Syria is almost history already and will further be divided between Israel and it's former colonial power: Turkiye. 

  And all this is only the beginning as clearly when the winds of change start blowing, the accumulated deadwood of international relations will burn like a Los Angeles fire on a bad day. 

  Prepare to see changes on a scale we haven't seen in a long time. "Interesting" times indeed!

by Andrew Korybko via substack,

Azerbaijan demands that Armenia demilitarize, denazify, no longer contain it on behalf of foreign (Western) powers, stop obstructing regional trade routes, and allow ethnically cleansed Azeris to return...

Azerbaijani President Ilhan Aliyev gave a nearly three-hour-long interview to several local TV channels last week, during which time he signaled that his country might be preparing its own special operation against Armenia along the lines of Russia’s ongoing one in Ukraine. He of course didn’t use that term, but describing Armenia as a fascist state whose foreign-backed military buildup poses a threat to regional security very closely resembles Putin’s words about Ukraine ahead of large-scale hostilities.

Aliyev began that part of his interview by defending Azerbaijan’s increased military budget as a response to the arms race that Armenia initiated. This is being partially fueled by the “European Peace Facility”, whose military loans are written off after a certain period, he said. Armenia is therefore basically receiving arms from the bloc for free. To make matters even more alarming, an Armenian-EU-US cooperation platform was launched last April, which Aliyev claimed has a de facto military component.

He then declared that “The independent Armenian state is actually a fascist state because this country has been led by proponents of fascist ideology for nearly 30 years.” As evidence of this, he cited its ethnic cleansing of Azeris from Armenia and Karabakh, which the first Armenian President bragged about in a newly unearthed video that was dubbed into Russian here while an excerpt was dubbed into English here. He added that Armenia is also “Islamophobic, Azerbaijanophobic, racist, (and) xenophobic”.

Aliyev upped the ante right after by thundering that “We are neighbors with such a fascist state, and the threat of fascism is not going away. Therefore, fascism must be destroyed. Either the Armenian leadership will destroy it or we will. We have no other choice.” The Azerbaijani leader suggested that “France and other countries that provide it with weapons must terminate and cancel these contracts. The weapons that have already been sent to Armenia must be returned. This is our condition.”

He hopes that his words will be heeded now that “The Soros era has ended in America” with Trump’s return. Aliyev said that “The Biden administration was, in fact, governed by the Soros method of governance. It is no coincidence that one of Biden's last decisions was to present Soros with America's highest award.” He also claimed later on in the interview that “the Soros government” was in power “during the eight years before Trump” in a clear allusion to Obama.

Other Armenian allies who’ve been “shamefully removed from the political scene” as Aliyev phrased it are Assad and Trudeau, while Macron is still hanging on by a thread, and this overall trend might lead to an Azerbaijani-Armenian peace treaty. For that to happen, the Minsk Group would have to be abolished, and Armenia has to amend its constitution due to a clause therein implying territorial claims to Azerbaijan. Aliyev said that Azerbaijan doesn’t need a peace treaty if these conditions aren’t met.

He also demanded that Armenia stops acting as a “geographical barrier between Turkiye and Azerbaijan”, to which end “The Zangezur corridor must and will be opened. The sooner they understand this, the better it is. Why should we have to go to Nakhchivan, an integral part of Azerbaijan, through different ways? We should have a direct connection, and this connection does not question Armenia's sovereignty.” Aliyev implied that Armenia’s obstructionism is part of an imperialist divide-and-rule policy.

The West, specifically France whose “full control over Armenia is also a reality”, is behind this. His earlier words about how “we believe that the Organization of Turkic States can become a serious power center on a global scale” in the “new world order” that’s emerging suggests that Armenia is being exploited as their geopolitical tool for preventing that group from reaching its full strategic potential. This is similar to what Putin claimed three years ago about how the West was exploiting Ukraine to contain Russia.

Aliyev reminded his interviewers that “I once said that they should not upset us and understand that we are the ones who have the say here and that Azerbaijan is the leading economy, the leading military power and the leading state in the South Caucasus. In today's world, the power factor is at the forefront and no one should forget this.” This too resembles Russian rhetoric in the sense of conveying what could soon come to pass if Azerbaijan’s national security and strategic interests aren’t respected.

The final demand that he made was for Armenia to accept the return of the 300,000 Azeris who were ethnically cleansed from Armenia, which he referred to as Western Azerbaijan since “All the toponyms there are of Azerbaijani origin” in Imperial-era maps. The total is “several times greater” when their descendants are included, but “Returning to those areas would not pose a significant problem” since “the majority of the villages where Azerbaijanis lived are now completely empty”, especially in Zangezur.

Although different in substance, Aliyev’s interest in the rights of ethnic Azeris in Armenia make observers recall Putin’s interest in the rights of ethnic Russians in Ukraine, thus representing another commonality between them which hints at Azerbaijan possibly preparing its own special operation. To summarize, Azerbaijan demands that Armenia demilitarize, denazify, no longer contain it on behalf of foreign (Western) powers, stop obstructing regional trade routes, and allow ethnically cleansed Azeris to return.

With Trump about to return in less than two weeks’ time, who Aliyev praised in his latest interview and made sure that his audience didn’t forget that he also did so over the summer before the debate with Biden when it wasn’t popular, it’s possible that America might finally restore its balanced regional policy. Aliyev mentioned that Biden sacrificed relations with Azerbaijan for relations with Armenia and implemented double standards against it vis-à-vis Ukraine as regards the principle of territorial integrity.

If the returning American leader corrects his predecessor’s mistakes, which were made due to Soros’ influence over the Biden Administration as can be intuited by what Aliyev shared in his latest interview, then Armenia might be pressured into complying with Azerbaijan’s demands. That would avert another regional war that Armenia is doomed to lose no matter how much some of its policymakers and citizens have convinced themselves otherwise due to Western political backing in recent years.

The West will not go to war against Azerbaijan, which could turn into a war with its Turkish ally that could tear NATO apart in an instant if it happens, over Armenia. If Trump signals a policy reversal towards the region, then the rest of the West will follow suit, possibly even France too with time. Even if it doesn’t, French arms won’t lead to Armenia defeating Azerbaijan and Turkiye, so the writing is on the wall and it’s therefore better for Armenia to do what Aliyev demands or risk total destruction.

Sunday, January 12, 2025

The Political Crisis In France Is About to Get Much Worse

   I used to be a "moderate" on Europe's problems trying to see the world through their eyes. It was a mistake!

  These people are not only dangerous technocrats, they are not even democrats at all as they just told us recently: "Would the AfD win in Germany we will have no alternative but to cancel the elections as in Romania!"

  I am consequently 100% behind Trump and especially Elon Musk nowadays in spite of all their weakness and problematic stances. We must kick the pedophiles out of the UK Government and the undemocratic green "sh!t" out of each and every European country. These people are not better than their Californian counterparts with the apology of "right-think" out of a 1984 nightmare and the promotion of incompetence at every level. 

  It will be an economic bloodbath but the Europeans brought it on themselves with absurd "green" policies which are everything but green and just destroyed their industries and energy systems. Europe will probably crash and the European Union will dissolve. It doesn't really matter for the rest of the world. They are bankrupt and have no army anyway. 

  They will have to give Greenland to the US, half of Ukraine to Russia, apologize to China or be left out of their main market, finally pay the right price to Africa to get minerals, etc, etc... Almost as painful as the downfall of Spain in the 18th Century when in a few short decades the country went from the richest in the world to an also ran backwater. 

  Well, they will still have a few jobs in the cafes of Venice and the hotels of Paris welcoming rich Asian tourists. The European centuries from the enlightenment to the industrial revolution were "interesting". Now, we're entering the AI, post industrial world from which Europe has decided voluntarily to withdrawn altogether!

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,

The entire eurozone is in shambles, and Trump’s demands will accelerate the crisis. One seriously must wonder if that is his real goal.+

The technocrat French Prime Minister proposes the same budget that collapsed the prior French government.

How is that supposed to work?

France24 provides this background on Snap Election Turmoil that led to this crisis.

French President Emmanuel Macron dissolved parliament and called a snap legislative vote in a surprise move after the far right trounced his centrist alliance in the European elections. After two rounds of voting on June 30 and July 7, neither of the country’s three main political blocs managed to secure an outright majority. A coalition of the French left, the New Popular Front, surprised everyone by taking the lead with 182 seats, Macron’s Ensemble presidential camp won 168 seats while the far right National Rally, who polls had tipped to win, languished in third place with 143 seats.

Following the election, Gabriel Attal, Macron’s Prime Minister resigned. Macron named Michel Barnier as Attal’s technocrat replacement.

In France, the Prime Minister heads up domestic policy while the president heads up foreign policy and appoints Prime Ministers, typically from members of parliament.

Michel Barnier proposed a budget that failed to pass parliament and on December 4, French lawmakers vote to oust Barnier in the first successful no-confidence vote since 1962.

On December 23, French President Emmanuel Macron named François Bayrou as his new technocrat Prime Minister.

Uncharted Territory

Stepping back one more time, on July 7, 2024, I commented France Is in Uncharted Territory, Expect a Big Political Catfight

No Agreement Questions and Answers

Q: Is there anyone acceptable to the far Left except someone on the far Left?
A: According to [far left leader] Melenchon, no

Q: Is there anyone acceptable to the far Right except someone on the far Right?
A: Certainly not.

Q: Is there a center Majority?
A: No

There Is No Magic Solution

There is no magic solution and that was evident immediately from the preliminary results, at least to anyone who can do simple math.

Despite the obvious math problem, perhaps some coalition government compromise forms out of this mess. Just don’t expect it to be stable.

On some issues, notably retirement age, the Far Left and Far Right are aligned. How’s that supposed to ever work?

The ultimate winner in this election will be the party that can stay as far away from the Center/Left catfight as possible.

I believe it’s safe to say that I called this correctly.

PM Bayrou Under Fire

Bayrou is now under fire. He proposed the exact same budget that led to the collapse of Barnier.

Politico reports French Government to Copy-Paste Budget that led to Predecessor’s Downfall.

How can a new government get a budget ready under the tightest of time pressure?

By picking up where their predecessors left off, even if it got them kicked out of office.

That is at least what French Prime Minister François Bayrou plans on doing — using Michel Barnier’s blueprint as a starting point for his own budget, despite the fact that opposition lawmakers ousted him over proposals to cut spending and increase taxes.

After Barnier and his government fell to a no-confidence vote last month over his plans to reduce France’s “colossal debt” through €40 billion in spending cuts and €20 billion in tax hikes, the country entered the new year without a proper budget for the first time in its modern history.

“They can tweak [the budget], but they can’t change it in depth … I don’t really see how they’re going to put forward [legislation] less likely to lead to a vote of no confidence,” the left-wing head of the parliament’s finance committee Eric Coquerel told POLITICO.

There are also concerns that the government may not be able to enact Barnier’s planned one-off windfall tax on big companies and wealthy individuals, as it would mean enacting a law in 2025 to tax revenue generated in 2024. The former premier had touted the move as a way to help reduce the budget deficit without placing too big a burden on majority of French taxpayers.

France is Now Ungovernable

Also on July 7, I commented France is Now Ungovernable Following a Pyrrhic Victory for the Left-Green Alliance

Macron’s Ensemble coalition currently has 249 members of the National Assembly.

After this “win” Ensemble will have 150-170 seats.

Macron will come to regret the elections.

Snap Election Mistake

On January 2, 2025, CNBC reported Macron Admits Snap Elections Destabilized France

  • As France enters the new year, there’s little hope that the political and economic uncertainty that’s been plaguing Paris for months will disappear in 2025.
  • A new minority government is in place but it faces the same challenges as before — how to get political rivals in France’s National Assembly to agree to spending and taxation plans for 2025.
  • France’s budget deficit is seen standing at 6.1% in 2024 and its debt pile at 112% of gross domestic product.
  • Credit ratings agency Moody’s downgraded France’s credit rating last month, warning that political fragmentation was “more likely to impede meaningful fiscal consolidation”

Expect a Financial Crisis in Europe With France at the Epicenter

Behind all this bickering is a huge debt crisis.

Who called for that?

Oh, I found it: March 27, 2024: Expect a Financial Crisis in Europe With France at the Epicenter

The EU never enforced its Growth and Stability Pact or Maastricht Treaty rules. The crisis is coming to a head with France and Italy in the spotlight.

EU’s Golden Rules

According to the reformed rules, an EU member state’s debt may not exceed 60% of gross domestic product (GDP).

Highly indebted EU countries with debt levels over 90% of GDP have to reduce their debt ratio by one percentage point annually, countries

Additionally, the general government deficit — the shortfall between government revenue and spending — must be kept below 3%.

According to the commission’s economic forecast, France is at -5.5%, Italy is at -4.4% and Belgium is at -4.4% and will breach this deficit limit in 2024.

Austria, Finland, Estonia, Hungary, Malta, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia also have deficits that are too high according to the rules. Spain is at exactly -3.0%.

2025 Budget Deficit

On January 6, 2025, Reuters reported French finance minister says eyes 2025 budget deficit in 5-5.5% range

French finance minister Eric Lombard said France’s budget situation was “serious” , adding he targeted a 2025 deficit in a range of 5% to 5.5% of gross domestic product (GDP).

Lombard also told France Inter radio that the budget deficit would “probably” be around 6.1% in 2024.

On June 21, 2024, I commented Debt Brakes and Treaty Requirements About to Smash the EU

The EU has launched an Excessive Debt Proceeding against France. It won’t stop there.

The Bayrou government is struggling to get agreement on a 5.5 percent deficit when it needs to get to 3.0 percent while shrinking debt from 112 percent of GDP to 60 percent of GDP.

And to get to 5.5 percent, it needs to pass a retroactive tax hike for 2024.

In this setup, I fail to see why any political party would want to win an election.

On December 17, 2024 I asked So, What Country Wants to Be Like Germany Now?

The collapse of Germany shocks many. But I have been discussing why this was inevitable for over a decade.

Trump Demands Defense Spending 5 Percent of Europe GDP, No Chance of That

On January 9, I noted Trump Demands Defense Spending 5 Percent of Europe GDP, No Chance of That

Much of the EU is struggling to get defense spending up to 2 percent of GDP. 5 percent of GDP has zero chance. Let’s discuss the math.

The entire eurozone is in shambles, and Trump’s demands will accelerate the crisis. One seriously must wonder if that is his real goal.

Friday, January 10, 2025

Los Angeles Fires - You "really" want to know what happened? Then read on!

  The Los Angeles Fire Department (LAPD) used to be a bastion of white male supremacists. Fortunately this has been drastically changed! 

  Well now you know: "Climate Change" of course! 

  But the very least that can be said is that Los Angeles truly brought it on itself!

Via: Michael Shellenberger:

It’s true that California, in general, and Los Angeles, in particular, are fiery places. It’s true that the Santa Ana winds made the fires worse.

But Newsom and Bass have known about those hazards for all of their careers and failed to deal with them. Their rank incompetence and lack of leadership are shocking and scandalous.

It’s hard to overstate how badly they screwed up water management. LA firefighters haven’t had the water they needed. Newsom hasn’t built the new water reservoirs that Los Angeles needed. And Newsom even cut the budget for water infrastructure projects last year.

Why is that? Part of the reason is that they were focused on other things. Making the fire department more racially diverse. Climate change. Homelessness.

And the reason they were focused on those things is because those are what the radical Left that controls the Democratic party wanted them to focus on.

Year after year, they do nothing while focusing on things like trans and Trump and climate and ignoring the things that really matter to the people of California.



Wednesday, January 8, 2025

They Really Do Want To Reduce The Population...

   Are there really too many people on Earth? Well, as usual the answer is not clear cut. Yes and no.

   Considering the fact that we all live predominantly in a Western dominated economic system and that this so-called capitalist consumer society is fundamentally predatory, then, yes, in that paradigm, there are indeed too many people on earth and this has been the case since the early 1970s when we exceeded the 4 billion mark. Now we are well over double past that number. Many natural resources are close to their maximum availability (at an affordable price of course.)
 
   But if you travel the world, you will discover that immense areas are completely empty. Canada and Russia come to mind for obvious reasons but countries like Indonesia, Brazil and until recently most of Africa are for one reason or another devoid of people. Sometimes too cold or too hot but most often, it is the lack of water which limits human population. When you look at countries like India or the Eastern part of China where you find an especially high density of people, you also discover old civilizations which have discovered the secret of water management.
  Can we improve our way and learn to respect nature more? I doubt it deeply. What we couldn't do during the previous period of abundance will not be done now that the resources are becoming scarcer. Can we improve water management? Most certainly yes but short of other arrangements to use resources better, the only immediate result will be a further increase of population. 
 
  Historically, EVERY single human society has solved this problem the same way: War, famine, pestilence and death! The famous horsemen of the apocalypse! Can we escape such a fate? This would be the triumph of hope over experience!

  As we enter this period of 4th turning, we're about to see how we deal with the problem and if we handle it better than our predecessors but the early signs are not exactly favorable.

Authored by Michael Snyder via The End Of The American Dream blog,

There is a clear consensus among the global elite that overpopulation is the primary cause of the most important problems that our world is facing today.

Many of them are completely convinced that humans are literally a “plague” upon the Earth and that extreme measures are required to prevent us from destroying the entire planet.  

To the elite, everything from global warming to our growing economic problems can be directly traced back to a lack of population control.  They warn that if nothing is done about our exploding population, humanity will be facing a future full of poverty, war and suffering on a filthy, desolate planet.  They complain that it “costs too much” to keep elderly patients that are terminally ill alive, and they eagerly promote “family planning” in developing nations as a way to combat population growth.  Of course just about anything that reduces the human population in any way is a positive thing for those that believe in this philosophy.  This very twisted philosophy is being promoted in our movies, in our television shows, in our music, in countless books, on many of our most prominent websites, and it is being taught at top colleges and universities all over the world.  The people that are promoting this philosophy have very, very deep pockets, and they are actually convinced that they are helping to “save the world” by controlling the growth of the human population. 

In fact, many of them truly believe that they are engaged in a “life or death” struggle for the fate of the planet.

The population of the world is currently sitting just above 8 billion, and the UN expects it to peak at 10.3 billion later this century…

The world’s population is expected to grow by more than 2 billion people in the next decades and peak in the 2080s at around 10.3 billion, a major shift from a decade ago, a new report by the United Nations said Thursday.

From the time of Charles Darwin all the way to today, we have been relentlessly warned about what would happen if something was not done to reduce population growth.

Of course the dire consequences that we were warned about have never actually come to fruition.

But that hasn’t stopped the elite from continuing to issue even more warnings.

The following are 47 shocking population control quotes from the global elite that will make you want to lose your lunch…

1. Charles Darwin: “At some future period, not very distant as measured by centuries, the civilised races of man will almost certainly exterminate and replace throughout the world the savage races. At the same time the anthropomorphous apes, as Professor Schaaffhausen has remarked, will no doubt be exterminated. The break will then be rendered wider, for it will intervene between man in a more civilised state as we may hope, than the Caucasian and some ape as low as a baboon, instead of as at present between the negro or Australian and the gorilla.”

2. Bill Gates: “The problem is that the population is growing the fastest where people are less able to deal with it. So it’s in the very poorest places that you’re going to have a tripling in population by 2050. (…) And we’ve got to make sure that we help out with the tools now so that they don’t have an impossible situation later.”

3. John D. Rockefeller: “The population problem must be recognized by government as a principal element in long-range planning.”

4. David Rockefeller: “The negative impact of population growth on all of our planetary ecosystems is becoming appallingly evident.”

5. Planned Parenthood Founder Margaret Sanger: “All of our problems are the result of overbreeding among the working class”

6. CNN Founder Ted Turner: “A total population of 250-300 million people, a 95% decline from present levels, would be ideal.”

7. HBO personality Bill Maher: “I’m pro-choice, I’m for assisted suicide, I’m for regular suicide, I’m for whatever gets the freeway moving—that’s what I’m for. . . . It’s too crowded, the planet is too crowded and we need to promote death.”

8. UK Television Presenter Sir David Attenborough: “We are a plague on the Earth. It’s coming home to roost over the next 50 years or so. It’s not just climate change; it’s sheer space, places to grow food for this enormous horde. Either we limit our population growth or the natural world will do it for us, and the natural world is doing it for us right now”

9. Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson: “The primary challenge facing our species is the reproduction of our species itself…It is time we had a grown-up discussion about the optimum quantity of human beings in this country and on this planet…All the evidence shows that we can help reduce population growth, and world poverty, by promoting literacy and female emancipation and access to birth control.”

10. Dave Foreman, Earth First Co-Founder: “My three main goals would be to reduce human population to about 100 million worldwide, destroy the industrial infrastructure and see wilderness, with it’s full complement of species, returning throughout the world.”

11. Paul Ehrlich, a former  science adviser to president George W. Bush and the author of “The Population Bomb”: “Solving the population problem is not going to solve the problems of racism… of sexism… of religious intolerance… of war… of gross economic inequality. But if you don’t solve the population problem, you’re not going to solve any of those problems. Whatever problem you’re interested in, you’re not going to solve it unless you also solve the population problem.”

12. Richard Branson: “The truth is this: the Earth cannot provide enough food and fresh water for 10 billion people, never mind homes, never mind roads, hospitals and schools.”

13. Environmental activist Roger Martin: “On a finite planet, the optimum population providing the best quality of life for all, is clearly much smaller than the maximum, permitting bare survival. The more we are, the less for each; fewer people mean better lives.”

14. Al Gore: “One of the things we could do about it is to change the technologies, to put out less of this pollution, to stabilize the population, and one of the principal ways of doing that is to empower and educate girls and women. You have to have ubiquitous availability of fertility management so women can choose how many children to have, the spacing of the children… You have to educate girls and empower women. And that’s the most powerful leveraging factor, and when that happens, then the population begins to stabilize and societies begin to make better choices and more balanced choices.”

15. MIT professor Penny Chisholm: “The real trick is, in terms of trying to level off at someplace lower than that 9 billion, is to get the birthrates in the developing countries to drop as fast as we can. And that will determine the level at which humans will level off on earth.”

16. Julia Whitty, a columnist for Mother Jones: “The only known solution to ecological overshoot is to decelerate our population growth faster than it’s decelerating now and eventually reverse it—at the same time we slow and eventually reverse the rate at which we consume the planet’s resources. Success in these twin endeavors will crack our most pressing global issues: climate change, food scarcity, water supplies, immigration, health care, biodiversity loss, even war. On one front, we’ve already made unprecedented strides, reducing global fertility from an average 4.92 children per woman in 1950 to 2.56 today—an accomplishment of trial and sometimes brutally coercive error, but also a result of one woman at a time making her individual choices. The speed of this childbearing revolution, swimming hard against biological programming, rates as perhaps our greatest collective feat to date.”

17. Colorado State University Professor Philip Cafaro in a paper entitled “Climate Ethics and Population Policy”: “Ending human population growth is almost certainly a necessary (but not sufficient) condition for preventing catastrophic global climate change. Indeed, significantly reducing current human numbers may be necessary in order to do so.”

18. Professor of Biology at the University of Texas at Austin Eric R. Pianka: “I have two grandchildren and I want them to inherit a stable Earth. But I fear for them. Humans have overpopulated the Earth and in the process have created an ideal nutritional substrate on which bacteria and viruses (microbes) will grow and prosper. We are behaving like bacteria growing on an agar plate, flourishing until natural limits are reached or until another microbe colonizes and takes over, using them as their resource. In addition to our extremely high population density, we are social and mobile, exactly the conditions that favor growth and spread of pathogenic (disease-causing) microbes. I believe it is only a matter of time until microbes once again assert control over our population, since we are unwilling to control it ourselves. This idea has been espoused by ecologists for at least four decades and is nothing new. People just don’t want to hear it.”

19. Kofi Annan, UN Secretary-General from 1997-2006: “The idea that population growth guarantees a better life — financially or otherwise — is a myth that only those who sell nappies, prams and the like have any right to believe.”

20. Thoraya Ahmed Obaid, UN Under-Secretary-General from 2000-2010: “We cannot confront the massive challenges of poverty, hunger, disease and environmental destruction unless we address issues of population and reproductive health.”

21. Bill Nye: “In 1750, there were about a billion humans in the world. Now, there are well over seven billion people in the world. It more than doubled in my lifetime. So all these people trying to live the way we live in the developed world is filling the atmosphere with a great deal more carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases than existed a couple of centuries ago. It’s the speed at which it is changing that is going to be troublesome for so many large populations of humans around the world.”

22. Actress Cameron Diaz: “I think women are afraid to say that they don’t want children because they’re going to get shunned. But I think that’s changing too now. I have more girlfriends who don’t have kids than those that do. And, honestly? We don’t need any more kids. We have plenty of people on this planet.”

23. Democrat strategist Steven Rattner: “WE need death panels. Well, maybe not death panels, exactly, but unless we start allocating health care resources more prudently — rationing, by its proper name — the exploding cost of Medicare will swamp the federal budget.”

24. Matthew Yglesias, a business and economics correspondent for Slate, in an article entitled “The Case for Death Panels, in One Chart”: “But not only is this health care spending on the elderly the key issue in the federal budget, our disproportionate allocation of health care dollars to old people surely accounts for the remarkable lack of apparent cost effectiveness of the American health care system. When the patient is already over 80, the simple fact of the matter is that no amount of treatment is going to work miracles in terms of life expectancy or quality of life.”

25. Stephen Hawking: “In the last 200 years the population of our planet has grown exponentially, at a rate of 1.9 per cent per year. If it continued at this rate, with the population doubling every 40 years, by 2600 we would all be standing literally shoulder to shoulder.”

26. Gloria Steinem: “Everybody with a womb doesn’t have to have a child any more than everybody with vocal chords has to be an opera singer.”

27. Jane Goodall: “It’s our population growth that underlies just about every single one of the problems that we’ve inflicted on the planet. If there were just a few of us, then the nasty things we do wouldn’t really matter and Mother Nature would take care of it — but there are so many of us.”

28. U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg: “Frankly I had thought that at the time Roe was decided, there was concern about population growth and particularly growth in populations that we don’t want to have too many of.”

29. Planned Parenthood Founder Margaret Sanger: “The most merciful thing that the large family does to one of its infant members is to kill it.”

30. Salon columnist Mary Elizabeth Williams in an article entitled “So What If Abortion Ends Life?”: “All life is not equal. That’s a difficult thing for liberals like me to talk about, lest we wind up looking like death-panel-loving, kill-your-grandma-and-your-precious-baby storm troopers. Yet a fetus can be a human life without having the same rights as the woman in whose body it resides.”

31. Paul Ehrlich: “Basically, then, there are only two kinds of solutions to the population problem. One is a ‘birth rate solution,’ in which we find ways to lower the birth rate. The other is a ‘death rate solution,’ in which ways to raise the death rate — war, famine, pestilence — find us.”

32. Alberto Giubilini of Monash University in Melbourne, Australia and Francesca Minerva of the University of Melbourne in a paper published in the Journal of Medical Ethics: “[W]hen circumstances occur after birth such that they would have justified abortion, what we call after-birth abortion should be permissible. … [W]e propose to call this practice ‘after-birth abortion’, rather than ‘infanticide,’ to emphasize that the moral status of the individual killed is comparable with that of a fetus … rather than to that of a child. Therefore, we claim that killing a newborn could be ethically permissible in all the circumstances where abortion would be. Such circumstances include cases where the newborn has the potential to have an (at least) acceptable life, but the well-being of the family is at risk.”

33. Nina Fedoroff, a key adviser to Hillary Clinton: “We need to continue to decrease the growth rate of the global population; the planet can’t support many more people.”

34. Barack Obama’s primary  science adviser, John Holdren: “A program of sterilizing women after their second or third child, despite the relatively greater difficulty of the operation than vasectomy, might be easier to implement than trying to sterilize men.”

35. Another quote from John Holdren: “If population control measures are not initiated immediately and effectively, all the technology man can bring to bear will not fend off the misery to come.”

36. David Brower, the first Executive Director of the Sierra Club: “Childbearing [should be] a punishable crime against society, unless the parents hold a government license … All potential parents [should be] required to use contraceptive chemicals, the government issuing antidotes to citizens chosen for childbearing.”

37. Maurice Strong: “Either we reduce the world’s population voluntarily or nature will do this for us, but brutally.”

38. Thomas Ferguson, former official in the U.S. State Department Office of Population Affairs: “There is a single theme behind all our work–we must reduce population levels. Either governments do it our way, through nice clean methods, or they will get the kinds of mess that we have in El Salvador, or in Iran or in Beirut. Population is a political problem. Once population is out of control, it requires authoritarian government, even fascism, to reduce it…”

39. Mikhail Gorbachev: “We must speak more clearly about sexuality, contraception, about abortion, about values that control population, because the ecological crisis, in short, is the population crisis. Cut the population by 90% and there aren’t enough people left to do a great deal of ecological damage.”

40. Jacques Costeau: “In order to stabilize world population, we must eliminate 350,000 people per day. It is a horrible thing to say, but it is just as bad not to say it.”

41. Finnish environmentalist Pentti Linkola: “If there were a button I could press, I would sacrifice myself without hesitating if it meant millions of people would die”

42. Author Dan Brown: “Overpopulation is an issue so profound that all of us need to ask what should be done.”

43. Prince Phillip, husband of Queen Elizabeth II and co-founder of the World Wildlife Fund: “In the event that I am reincarnated, I would like to return as a deadly virus, in order to contribute something to solve overpopulation.”

44. Ashley Judd: “It’s unconscionable to breed, with the number of children who are starving to death in impoverished countries.”

45. John Guillebaud, professor of family planning at University College London: “The effect on the planet of having one child less is an order of magnitude greater than all these other things we might do, such as switching off lights. An extra child is the equivalent of a lot of flights across the planet.”

46. Bill Gates: “The world today has 6.8 billion people. That’s headed up to about nine billion. Now, if we do a really great job on new vaccines, health care, reproductive health services, we could lower that by, perhaps, 10 or 15 percent.”

47. Charles Darwin: “With savages, the weak in body or mind are soon eliminated; and those that survive commonly exhibit a vigorous state of health. We civilised men, on the other hand, do our utmost to check the process of elimination; we build asylums for the imbecile, the maimed, and the sick; we institute poor-laws; and our medical men exert their utmost skill to save the life of every one to the last moment. There is reason to believe that vaccination has preserved thousands, who from a weak constitution would formerly have succumbed to small-pox. Thus the weak members of civilised societies propagate their kind. No one who has attended to the breeding of domestic animals will doubt that this must be highly injurious to the race of man. It is surprising how soon a want of care, or care wrongly directed, leads to the degeneration of a domestic race; but excepting in the case of man himself, hardly any one is so ignorant as to allow his worst animals to breed.”

"Unprecedented Fires" Scorch 3,000 Acres In Los Angeles Area, Forcing 49,000 To Evacuate

 

   All you need to know about the fires in California. Entirely man made and the result of incompetence. (Or should we say "woman" made? - Read the more recent article above to find out!)

"Unprecedented Fires" Scorch 3,000 Acres In Los Angeles Area, Forcing 49,000 To Evacuate

LA Fire Summary:

  • Fast-moving, wind-driven fires are sweeping through the Los Angeles area, forcing mandatory evacuations for over 49,000 residents. The fires remain 0% contained.

  • The Palisades Fire (caused unknown) has burned nearly 15,000 acres, while the Eaton Fire has scorched 10,600 acres. 

  • AccuWeather Estimates $52 billion to $57 billion in preliminary damage and economic losses

  • Gov. Gavin Newsom deployed 1,400 firefighters & declared a state of emergency.

  • Nearly 300,000 residential and/or commercial customers are without power in the LA region.

  • NWS: Worst fire conditions (high winds) will peak Wednesday morning. 

  • Malibu residents warned about potential evacuation.

  • Fires ZERO PERCENT CONTAINED 

Evacuation Map (via NYT):

Fire Map (NASA VIIRS image overlaid LA via X user loosenedspirit): 

*  *  * 

Update (1915ET):

"The Palisades Fire, which has quintupled in size since this morning, has now prompted evacuations in the City of Santa Monica," meteorologist Matthew Cappucci wrote on X.

Evacuations are expanding.

Fire is zero contained. 

*  *  * 

Update (1830ET):

Just awful. 

*  *  * 

Update (1545ET):

Via Bloomberg Top Live Desk: 

"In California, nearly 500,000 people have turned to the state's insurer of last resort, the FAIR Plan, which has doubled in size over the past five years. The state is now exposed to nearly $458 billion in potential damage, Mark Gongloff writes for Bloomberg Opinion. The neighborhoods in the path of the Palisades and other fires burning this week have been among some of the hardest-hit by insurer defections in recent years."

Via Bloomberg's Brian Sullivan: 

"The Los Angeles region has a high risk of exposure to wildfires: More than 460,000 homes with a reconstruction value of $300 billion in LA and the Riverside region have a moderate to very high risk of exposure, according to CoreLogic, a property analytics firm.

"CoreLogic noted that not all the homes deemed at risk are directly exposed to the current fires."

Via AccuWeather:

Estimates $52 billion to $57 billion in preliminary damage and economic loss has occurred from the raging Los Angeles area wildfires.

*  *  * 

Update (1534ET):

President-elect Donald Trump on Truth Social: 

"The fires in Los Angeles may go down, in dollar amount, as the worst in the History of our Country. In many circles, they’re doubting whether insurance companies will even have enough money to pay for this catastrophe. Let this serve, and be emblematic, of the gross incompetence and mismanagement of the Biden/Newscum Duo. January 20th cannot come fast enough!"

Meanwhile... 

Clown. 

It is time for Californians to usher in an era of accountability after radical leftist politicians and officials have left the state in chaos.

*  *  * 

Update (1115ET):

LA County Fire Chief Anthony Marrone told reporters, "We have well over 5,000 acres that have burned and the fire is growing. We have no percentage of containment. We have an estimated 1,000 structures destroyed."

Trump was right...

There's nothing like waking up to a fire apocalypse that morning...

*  *  * 

Update (0700ET):

The Palisades, Eaton, and Hurst wildfires raging in Southern California show no signs of abating.

The Los Angeles County Fire Department reported on X that nearly 3,000 acres—roughly 4.5 square miles—are ablaze, and the fire is 0% contained as of early Wednesday morning.

According to PowerOutage.US, nearly 300,000 customers across the area are without power.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom wrote on X that 1,400 firefighters have been delayed in the area to "combat these unprecedented fires."

Tuesday, January 7, 2025

Sam Altman's STUNNING Statement, "We're Working on Superintelligence" (Video - 15mn)

  Alignment is utterly meaningless. Not my opinion, o1's opinion! AI will soon understand problems in a way we can't envision them. It is not yet quite the case but we are extremely near this point. Then what? We truly have no clue. Thinking about this problem might have been a good idea a few years ago, now we can only sit and watch! Whatever happens, soon enough it's going to be spectacular!


 

Monday, January 6, 2025

Japan Betrayed? US Cancels $15B Lifeline Deal, Raises Questions For G7 Economies & Allies (Video - 11mn)

  What an accent! :-) But the analysis is sound and to the point. Japan and Europe should worry! Changes are coming!


 

Countdown To The European Collapse by Lucas Leiroz

   This article confirm what I have been saying for the last 3 years that the US has done its very best and succeeded in separating Europe from Russian gas. Great achievement but then what? With a crumbling Europe, the US will now be rather "alone" in its fight against Russia and China. We are now on the verge of a major recession which may quickly turn into a depression thanks to accumulated debt all over the world. This alone, to my opinion, indicates that the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East will not be winding down as they should but could easily escalate out of control. Let see what Trump does. I believe he truly wants to wind down these conflicts but what is the chance that he can? I won't be holding my breath!

 by Lucas Leiroz,

With the ban on the flow of Russian gas to Europe through Ukrainian territory, little remains before the absolute economic and social collapse of the European continent...

Finally, energy cooperation between Russia and Europe is (almost) completely over. After nearly three years of sanctions and sabotage, the bilateral Moscow-EU energy partnership suffered its greatest historical blow. Kiev fulfilled its promise not to extend its contract with Gazprom, which was allowing the arrival of Russian gas to Europe, then creating an extremely uncomfortable energy insecurity situation for its own “partners” in the European Union.

On the morning of the first day of 2025, the Russian Federation stopped supplying gas to European buyers via Ukraine. Even amidst the conflict, the Russian Gazprom and Ukrainian Naftogaz had kept in operation an energy transit agreement signed in 2020, which expired on the last day of 2024. Previously, Kiev had already announced it was unwilling to renew the contract with Gazprom, although some European countries repeatedly asked Ukraine to do so.

Despite the sanctions imposed on Russia since 2022, some European countries continued benefiting from the import of Russian gas, particularly Slovakia and Hungary – nations that refused to participate in the Western-sponsored anti-Russian boycott – as well as Austria, a country historically neutral in Europe’s geopolitical and military disputes. Other nations, even adhering to the sanctions, continued hypocritically receiving Russian gas, such as Italy, Poland, Romania, and Moldova. There were also cases of gas resale, with receiving nations re-exporting the commodity to countries seeking to bypass the sanctions.

With the end of the Ukrainian route, all these states lost any guarantee of a safe energy source – precisely during winter, the time of year when gas consumption in Europe is at its highest. Obviously, there are currently energy reserves that may be enough to cope with the challenges of the current season, but the situation will progressively become more critical over time. European nations will have to find new sources of gas or expand the use of the only two remaining routes for Russian gas (via Turkey and the Black Sea). Recent indicators show a substantial rise in gas prices among Asian exporters. Ankara is also expected to take the opportunity to gain more profits from its pipeline.

There is currently hope among Europeans for a cheap gas supply through the long-awaited Qatari-Turkish pipeline project via Syria. With the fall of Bashar al Assad’s legitimate government, energy giants from Turkey and the Gulf have revived the proposal, although they are waiting for domestic pacification in Syria by the Al-Qaeda junta to begin the construction. Some optimistic analysts in Europe believe this would be the antidote to Europe’s dependency on Russian gas – or Asian and American, as in the current circumstances.

The main problem with this hope is believing in the goodwill of the Western hawks to “pacify Syria.” Without Assad, Damascus became a “failed state,” with territory divided between different factions in constant hostilities. It is unlikely this will change – simply because, despite the tactical operators of the Syrian crisis (Turkey and Qatar) wanting pacification, the strategic mentors (Israel and the USA) are not interested. Tel Aviv prefers a polarized and war-torn Syria, unable to do anything to prevent territorial progress in the Golan and beyond. Washington, which is subservient to Israeli interests through the international Zionist lobby, is interested in the same – along with, of course, fostering Kurdish terrorists to worsen the internal Syrian situation even further.

In other words, Western analysts still do not understand that the decision-makers of the unipolar axis simply do not want to solve Europe’s problems. It is not in the US’ interest that its “partners” in Europe regain cheap energy and a strong industrial base. For Washington, the collapse of Europe is not a tragedy but a strategic goal, whose roots lie in the science of geopolitics itself. According to the fundamentals of Western geopolitics, Russian-European integration would be disastrous for the US-UK Atlantic axis. Therefore, in the face of Russia’s imminent military victory and Moscow’s rehabilitation as a Eurasian geopolitical power, the Americans and the British have adopted a “scorched earth” strategy in Europe.


Sunday, January 5, 2025

Germany's New Morgenthau Plan by Victor Davis Hanson,

   Great article by Victor Davis Hanson. What is happening currently in Germany is in fact very sad. A slow version of hara-kiri the German way. It could be stopped anytime but for ideological reasons it won't, probably not until it's too late and Germany plunges the rest of Europe into decline. This has happened in the past: Spain in 1900 was little more than the shadow of its former self of the XVI century. In the Middle Ages, a few tens of thousands of people were living in the ruins of Rome which earlier counted more than a million inhabitants. An let's not mention Greece!    

  What is special about Germany, is that no barbarians have conquered the country, no calamity has devastated the countryside and the cities are still prosperous. To no avail, the Germans, trudging in the snow, are adamant that the planet must be saved from a warming which is late at its rendez-vous with apocalypse. Like the Maya fighting a secular drought with more human sacrifices, the Germans will fight "climate change" with even less carbon, while the rest of the world scratch its head, contemplates the silent tragedy of collective suicide...and goes back to business as usual.

Authored by Victor Davis Hanson,

Less than a year before the end of World War II, then-U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Henry Morgenthau drew up a nightmarish plan to punish postwar Germany.

After the serial 1870-1871 Franco-Prussian War, World War I, and World War II — along with the failed Versailles peace treaty of 1919 — the Allies in World War II wanted to ensure there would never again be an aggressive Germany powerful enough to invade its neighbors.

When the so-called Morgenthau Plan was leaked to the press in September 1944, at first it was widely praised.

After all, it would supposedly render Germany incapable of ever starting another world war in Europe.

Morgenthau certainly envisioned a Carthaginian peace, designed to ensure a permanently deindustrialized, unarmed, and pastoral Germany.

Postwar Germany would have resembled something akin to the ancient, pre-civilized frontier that the first-century AD historian Tacitus wrote about in his Germania.

The plan would have ensured that within six months of Germany’s surrender, all of its industrial plants and equipment were to be dismantled.

The Ruhr, the renowned center of European industrial strength, was to be permanently neutered, starved of its energy, raw materials, and infrastructure.

After the war, the plan demanded virtual complete disarmament of Germany. Its once-feared armed forces were to be rendered nonexistent.

There were also promised massive reductions in Germany’s borders. Various countries, such as the Soviet Union, Poland, and France, were to be given large slices of the old Third Reich.

Future German security would hinge only on the power and goodwill of the victorious United States and its allies.

When the dying Nazi Party got wind of the plan, Hitler’s propaganda minister, Joseph Goebbels, had a field day. He screamed to Germans that they were all doomed to oblivion if they lost the war, even growing opponents of the Nazi Party.

Even many Americans were aghast at the plan.

Gen. George Marshall, the Army chief of staff, warned that its mere mention had galvanized German troops to fight to the end, increasing American casualties as they closed in on the German homeland.

Ex-President Herbert Hoover blasted the plan as inhumane. He feared mass starvation of the German people if they were reduced to a premodern, rural peasantry.

But once the victorious allies occupied a devastated Germany, witnessed its moonscape ruined by massive bombing and house-to-house fighting, and discovered that their “ally,” Russia’s Joseph Stalin, was ruthless and hellbent on turning all of Europe communist, the Truman administration backed off the plan.

There is a tragic footnote to the aborted horrors of the Morgenthau Plan. Currently, Germany is doing to itself almost everything Morgenthau once dreamed of.

Its green delusions have shut down far too many of its nuclear, coal, and gas electrical generation plants.

Erratic solar and wind “sustainable energy” means that power costs are four times higher than on average in the United States.

Once-dominant European giants Volkswagen, BMW, and Mercedes are now bleeding customers and profits. Their own government’s green and electric vehicle mandates ensure they will become globally uncompetitive.

The German economy actually shrank in 2023. And the diminished Ruhr can no longer save the German economy from its own utopian politicians.

The German military is all but disarmed and short thousands of recruits.

German industries do not produce enough ammunition, tanks, ships, and aircraft to equip even its diminished army, navy, and air force.

Just a few hundred miles from Germany in Ukraine, more than a million Ukrainians and Russians are dead, wounded, or missing — in the costliest European battle since the horrors of Stalingrad.

Yet the once postwar German dynamo nation now lacks the manpower, munitions, and money to aid Ukraine in any meaningful way against an ascendant Russian invader.

More than 1 million immigrants have entered the country illegally, the vast majority of them from the Middle East. Many of them are hostile to European values and culture, as recent terrorist killings have shown. One-fifth of the population was not born in Germany.

The shrinking German people are growing angry, divided, and depressed. Their 1.4 percent fertility rate is one of the lowest in the Western world.

A tragic irony now abounds.

After World War II, the Truman administration rejected the notion of a pastoral, deindustrialized, and insecure Germany as a cruel prescription for poverty, hunger, and depopulation.

But now the German people themselves voted for their own updated version of Morgenthau’s plan — as they willingly reduced factory hours, curtailed power and fuel supplies, and struggled with millions of illegal aliens and porous borders.

Germans accept that they have no military to speak of that could protect their insecure borders — without a United States-led NATO.

Eighty years ago, Germany’s former conquerors rejected wrecking the defeated nation as too harsh. But now Germany is willfully pastoralizing, disarming, deindustrializing — and destroying — itself.

UK/EU VETO on Trump-Putin talks (Video - 27mn)

   It may be just my understanding, but listen carefully between the lines and what you realize is that "if" there is a meeting be...