Sunday, June 22, 2025

Exploring another scenario

 Tonight, lets think different and try to look at the world the Trump way.

Trump had 4 years to think hard and understand what he got wrong the first time around. He is not a very educated man but he is intelligent and most certainly figured out that he was outmaneuvered the first time around. That much was very clear and he himself said repeatedly that it wasnt going to happen again. So lets look at the world from the Oval office's perspective.

Trump has three powerful enemies which each can and will wreak his administration if he cannot find the right answer for each challenge.

The first enemy is the deep state. It is a faceless enemy. A coalition of bought politicians and entrenched bureaucracy. They have proved that they will let him and Dodge save the pennies but not the dollars. This is a trench warfare which must be dealt with on the long term, one battle at a time. That war will be a long one.

The second enemy are the globalists. Trump has been elected against these people so they were naturally his first target. Their face is Zelinski. A loud voice because he has a strong support but also a weak one because he doesnt have the money. Trump has now silenced them with his Put up (5% military budget) or shut up". Although the war is not won yet, faced with the rebellion of their populations, the second option looks more and more the most likely outcome. Whence the panic of Zelinski. Unfortunately, there is very little he can do at this stage.

The third enemy are the Zionists. They contributed to put him where he is. He cannot directly oppose them, nor even be seen as hesitant. Their face is Netanyahu, an extremist but also an American, with more power in Washington than Trump himself through the Mossad and AIPAC which control a majority of the legislature.

These three enemies are pushing for war. The deep state is fighting a financial war against Trump to feed the machine. The Globalists are fighting an hegemony war against Trump to expand their power, and finally the Zionists want to fight a real war to control the Middle East.

Putin is a known judoka but could it be that Trump too has learned some of the techniques, to use the opponent's strength to overpower him? And if that was the case, what would it look like in real life? Acquiescing to the most outrageous demands of the Zionists to bomb Iran, while in reality doing the strict minimum and letting them face the impossibility of their position?

This is possible but also a very dangerous game. Zelinski is naked but Netanyahu is not. He has said many times that if Israel was in danger, without being clear if he sees a difference between his administration and the country, he would not hesitate to use nuclear weapons. The Samson option.  Other voices including Medvedev have added that in such a case, nuclear weapons would be provided to Iran without being more specific about the source although it is widely supposed to be Pakistan.

This is brinkmanship at the highest level. Make a false move and it is World War III.

Is this understanding correct or just pies in the sky?

Trump is not a war monger and he clearly understands the risks involved. He is surrounded by Neo-cons and Zionists but also by JD Vance and Tulsi Gabbard who are more level headed.

So when will we be able to see the difference in strategy between going to war and dealing with the war-mongers? Could the complexity of the strategy require a level of obfuscation and treachery? 

We havent seen much over reactions yet from Russia and China. Could this be an indication that they see through the Trump shenanigans?

Again, all this are just speculations, exploring an interesting option which outcome is not necessarily World War III. Worth contemplating for this reason alone?

Saturday, June 21, 2025

Trump Confirms Strikes On Iran's Nuclear Sites: Fordow, Natanz, And Esfahan

  Well, we didn't have to wait very long!

  From the American perspective, this is a "minimal strike", focused on nuclear sites, instead of the relatively random strikes from the Israelis which main purpose was to get the Americans involved. Jobs well done. Congratulations!

  From the rest of the world perspective, what transpires is the treachery, lying and obfuscation deployed to achieve the goals of maintaining hegemony. Basically, from now on, all rules have been thrown out of the window. Anything goes.What counts is who is left, not who is right. The lesson was clear and loud.      

  This will augur two major consequences:

 1 - The end of any serious negotiations. There is simply nothing to negotiate with an adversary which will not follow the terms of any agreement. The Romans used to say: "pacta sunt servanda." (agreements must be followed) Probably one of the most important base of Roman Law. Once you destroy this foundation, the rest crumbles. 

 2 - The end of the US dollar. Most countries will now distance themselves from the dollar denominated financial system. Trump made the decision easier recently by again unilaterally imposing tariff on everybody, again in complete disregard of signed contracts. 

 So in the end, "that" was the Trump doctrine: Disregard all rules and agreements?

 Unfortunately, this has been tried before and inevitably the results have been catastrophic which is why people ended up negotiating, signing contracts, applying rules and following them. 

 We may or may not have entered World War 3 today, but we have undoubtedly entered a period of complete chaos from which the recovery will take decades (or more if we use nuclear weapons.) 

 This attack also marks the beginning of the end for the American Empire. It could have been smoother in a multi-polar world as proposed by the rest of the world. It's going to be chaotic as chosen by the Americans. A true forth turning is now upon us. There is no going back.

 Update: 2 hours after the attack, it looks more and more like nothing much happened. A fake attack to push Iran to retaliate and implement the real plan of regime change? Or a low key attack to placate the Israelis? Low chance of success in both cases. The Iranians will not be triggered and Netanyahu cannot give up at this stage. We are in the fog of war, but the analysis above remains the same: Whatever happens on the battle field, the real action will now be backstage and soon enough will transpire on the economic front.   

Trump Confirms Strikes On Iran's Nuclear Sites: Fordow, Natanz, And Esfahan "Successfully Targeted"

Update (2133ET): 

Fox News correspondent Jennifer Griffin revealed that the B-2 bombers spotted heading to Guam were part of a calculated deception to draw attention westward:

"It's notable how much deception was involved in this operation. All eyes were looking west towards Guam." 

"The 30,000-pound bunker buster bombs were dropped at Fordo. And as we have reported, there are two entrances to Fordo." 

"At least two bombs at each, two entrances, which suggests at least two B-2s were involved over Fordow. My suspicion is that there were more."

Sean Hannity revealed he spoke directly with President Trump, who confirmed the scope of the U.S. strike on Iran's Fordow nuclear facility:

  • Six "bunker buster" bombs were dropped by multiple B-2 stealth bombers.

  • Thirty Tomahawk cruise missiles were launched from U.S. submarines positioned approximately 400 miles away.

Hannity added, "Everyone is out of harm's way for now."

 

*   *   * 

Update (2005ET): 

Hours after U.S. Air Force B-2 Spirit stealth bombers departed Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri en route to the Indo-Pacific region, President Trump announced that U.S. forces had "successfully attacked" three nuclear sites in Iran—Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan.

The president wrote on his Truth Social:

We have completed our very successful attack on the three Nuclear sites in Iran, including Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. All planes are now outside of Iran air space.

A full payload of BOMBS was dropped on the primary site, Fordow. All planes are safely on their way home.

Congratulations to our great American Warriors. There is not another military in the World that could have done this. NOW IS THE TIME FOR PEACE! Thank you for your attention to this matter.

There has been no confirmation from President Trump regarding what type of USAF bombers conducted the strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. However, based on timing and strategic capability, it is plausible that B-2 Spirit stealth bombers—previously observed departing Whiteman Air Force Base—were involved in the operation.

Graphic via X user (((Tendar)):

Operational details remain scarce pending President Trump's scheduled address to the nation at 10 p.m. EST.

Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY), who recently introduced a bipartisan War Powers Resolution aimed at prohibiting “unauthorized U.S. military hostilities in the Islamic Republic of Iran,” voiced sharp criticism of the Trump administration following the strikes.

Posting on X, Massie wrote, “This is not Constitutional.”

Polymarket bets... No leaks this time. 

"US military now briefing troops that its strike on Iran "will likely result in counterstrikes on US bases and facilities" in the Middle East, and "likely activate Iran and other foreign terrorist organizations cells abroad including the US to conduct strikes against US persons and facilities," according to briefing I obtained," reporter Ken Klippenstein wrote on X. 

Threats to the US Homeland:

Ah, yes, the war programming in US movies... 

 

*   *   * 

 

As the Israel–Iran conflict enters Day 9, President Trump has publicly stated he will wait two weeks before deciding whether to authorize U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure. In parallel, U.S. Air Force B-2 Spirit stealth bombers are being repositioned to forward operating bases in the Indo-Pacific—possibly Andersen Air Force Base in Guam or Diego Garcia in the Chagos Archipelago—indicating a deliberate show of force and strategic signaling of U.S. readiness for multi-theater operations.

Fox News confirmed six B-2 stealth bombers have taken off from Whiteman AFB in Missouri and are likely to be staged at Andersen AFB in Guam.

Plus air tankers. 

There is no official confirmation regarding the current force posture or final destination of the stealth bombers. For months, the USAF has staged these nuclear-capable bombers at Diego Garcia (in range of Iran)—often referred to as America's "unsinkable aircraft carrier"—located between Africa and Indonesia, approximately 1,000 miles south of India.

"President Donald Trump, who has said he will make a decision on U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, is expected to return to the White House on Saturday afternoon. The president is expected to receive intelligence briefings with the National Security Council on Saturday and Sunday as he considers possible actions against Iran," Fox News noted. 

The island provides strategic access for stealth bombers to the Middle East, Central and South Asia, and across the Indian Ocean.

Via Fox News

Previous staging of B-2s at Diego Garcia:

Staging B-2s at Guam or Diego Garcia is a clear signal of deterrence to adversaries, whether that's Iran in the Middle East or China and North Korea in Asia. The mere presence of these stealth bombers can be both preemptive and psychological. 

More force posture: This week, the USAF has repositioned additional fighter aircraft and aerial refueling tankers across key regional bases in Europe, coinciding with Israel's Operation Rising Lion targeting Iranian assets. The moves come amid growing speculation that President Trump may authorize direct U.S. military involvement within the next two weeks unless Tehran makes a deal with the U.S.

Iran Now First Line Of Defense For BRICS & The Global South by Pepe Escobar

  Pepe Escobar in a staunch BRICS supporter so he is exploring another strategic aspect of the war in Iran. He may be right or not, but the analysis is intelligent and knowledgeable and most certainly a point of view seldom heard in the West.

Escobar: Iran Now First Line Of Defense For BRICS & The Global South

Authored by Pepe Escobar,

This is as serious as it gets. Let’s survey the chessboard – from micro to macro...

The crying shadow in the funeral dance,
The loud lament of the disconsolate chimera.

T. S. Eliot, Burnt Norton

Israel’s shock’n'awe on Iran – straight from the trademark US playbook – essentially failed, despite the initial combination of speed, meticulous military planning and the element of surprise, including hacking the Iranian electronic communications within the military grid; decapitation of the vertical IRGC nomenklatura; the spiderweb drone attack playbook; and bombing – ultimately ineffectual – of key nodes of the Iranian nuclear infrastructure.

It took hours for top Iranian technicians to get their grid back. And once that happened, the tide began to turn, to the point that after surgical missile volleys deep in the night on Sunday, the IRGC announced its capability to seriously disrupt Israel’s command and control systems using “enhanced intelligence”, thus breaching Iron – or Paper – Dome.

Absolutely key infrastructure nodes in Tel Aviv and Haifa have been destroyed – from the Rafael weapons complex (specialized in missiles, drones, cyber warfare and Iron Dome components) to the power plant and oil refinery in Haifa. This is historic in more ways than one.

Compound the cries of joy all across the lands of Islam to the massive psychological trauma inflicted on Israel. The myth of Israeli invincibility has been definitely shattered. Unleashing hell from above, killing women and children and spinning like there’s no tomorrow does not win a war against a real opponent.

The tweaked IRGC strategy – applied by an instantly revamped leadership – is being fine-tuned day by day in a calculated, surgical manner. It’s not that hard for the IRGC to totally paralyze Israel’s economy. Israel has only one oil refinery (already bombed); three ports, of which one is already bankrupt (Eilat) and another is on fire (Haifa); and one airport (already in dire straits).

The blowback on Tel Aviv’s desperate, indeed suicidal move – no chess involved – is in effect. Tehran is proving that every Zionist axis calculation that Iran could – and was – bled dry in a matter of hours was, predictably, false.

The POTUS, for his part, fell into a voracious trap. His MAGA base is already fractured – in depth. Non-Zionist MAGA is the overwhelming majority. He admitted in a stunning infantilist post that he knew everything about the Israeli shock’n awe all along.

Less than 10 days ago, in a meeting in New York packed with billionaire usual suspects, Steve Witkoff himself – Trump’s Talleyrand – explicitly noted that Iranian ballistic missiles are “a threat to America”. Considering their performance in the last 48 hours, everything points to Washington de facto entering the Hot War.

Diplomatic sources in Tehran point out that the leadership is working under this scenario. That’s why they are essentially still holding their capabilities – and carefully calibrating the next big steps in the escalatory ladder. Once again: Iranian strategic patience on display.

The question then is, in a scenario of the US de facto at war, what will it take for Russia and China, in concertation, to lose their own strategic patience.

Persian pride – and trust in their own capabilities, as I observed last month in Iran – rules that they consider to have all the necessary resources to outlast the Zionist axis, US included. After all they are only now starting to use their really advanced missiles – from the Kheybar-Shekan 2 and the Fattah-1 to the Haji Qassem.

The Real War: Against BRICS

So, in a nutshell, the Iranian response turned the chessboard completely upside down. The Circus Ringmaster – complete with hosting a pathetic military parade in Washington – is naked. And unmasked.

He now owns not one but two proxy wars: against Russia, and against Iran, with neo-nazis in Kiev and genocidals in Tel Aviv on the frontlines. All part of the Big Picture War: against BRICS.

By now it’s clear even for the deaf, dumb and blind that this was never about the Iranian nuclear program, or the “effort” to construct a Trump-owned JCPOA 2.0. It is about the lifelong Zionist axis obsession: regime change in Tehran.

That is the Holy Grail, dreamed of since the late 1990s, capable of opening the door for the deeply troubled Empire of Chaos of Iran’s immense wealth in natural resources – from energy to rare earth deposits, thus prolonging the life of the multi-trillion-dollar-indebted Empire.

The extra bonuses are even more seductive: cutting off China from a matter of national security – energy imports – and from crucial New Silk Road connectivity corridors, in tandem with opening a monster abscess in Russia’s underbelly. A definitive trifecta blow, in one swoop, to three top BRICS – Iran, Russia, China; to Eurasia integration; and to the drive towards a multi-nodal (italics mine), multipolar system of international relations.

Even as top civilization-states are doing somersaults to outlast the Empire of Chaos and its masters’ drive to unleash WWIII, there are no illusions in Moscow and Beijing that to confront this scenario it’s imperative to act asymmetrically – with supreme cunning, instead of merely responding to provocations (which has been the predominant Russian playbook in the proxy war in Ukraine).

Russian intel, meanwhile, has already done the math on the mirror effect of Israel’s own Operation Spiderweb, which employed exactly the same modus operandi of what Ukraine’s SBU – fronting for MI6 and Mossad – unleashed against Russian strategic bombers that are part of the nuclear triad.

Serious questions are being asked about Tel Aviv being directly involved in sabotaging Moscow. Just as serious questions are now popping up regarding the Ukrainian track. Intel information silos in Moscow consider that the Trump “ceasefire” process walks and talks like a crude camouflage to force Russia to back off for a while, as NATO chihuahuas on the beck and call of the deep state prepare a first strike (at least in their warped dreams).

So sooner rather than later, we may see Russia actually expanding on the current Iranian strategy: a massive infrastructural war, plunging Ukraine into complete blackout, metaphorical and otherwise – just like the bombing of a power plant in Haifa plunged the city into a complete blackout.

Why Iran Must Not be Allowed to Fail

Of course the current, insane escalatory ladder would be non-existent if Trump had been mature enough to accept the offer by Ali Shamkhani – later assassinated by Israel: Iran could get rid of its highly enriched uranium and sign a new nuclear deal if sanctions were lifted. Tehran would then only enrich uranium at low levels for its civilian program.

In parallel, Tehran had also even suggested a joint nuclear enrichment project with US investment plus Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi personally outlined it to US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff in Oman – before the talks broke down.

The Global South, meanwhile, watches the horrendously deadly ping-pong between Israel and Iran – with increasing awareness that the cornered West is an even more dangerous animal day after day, waging Total War under the mask of peace.

Tel Aviv burning is the beginning of a new era. In their rage, they now threaten the “Beirut” model on Tehran: wanton destruction of civilian neighborhoods. Once again, what they do best: terrorism.

And yet, there will be no impunity for a genocidal system anymore. Consequences will be inevitably discussed this week at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, all the way to Putin’s address at the plenary session on Friday, and all the way to the BRICS Summit in Rio de Janeiro in early July.

Taking the pulse of the Global South, the feeling is that Iran de facto is in the process of restoring ethics and geopolitical authority all across West Asia, as the Persian empire exercised it for centuries. That’s what civilization-states do: their role as privileged guardians of their sphere of influence is always essential.

It’s unlikely – under the Brazilian presidency; but BRICS sooner or later will have to make the strategic transition from a hyper-polite declaration machine to become the true, solid, unbreakable spine of the Global South and the Global Axis of Resistance.

Because the enraged, discombobulated West is not in hybrid war mode anymore; it has gone Totalen Krieg – as hot as it comes. Hence, the Global South’s got to switch on to a post-hybrid, Rebels with a Cause mode.

From Nigeria to Indonesia to Vietnam – BRICS members and BRICS partners – there’s a growing consensus that Iran must not be allowed to fall. It’s that serious. The spell of unrestricted Western diktat has finally been broken: all that will survive is “the loud lament of the disconsolate chimera”. It takes a – failed – shock’n awe to break the camel’s back.

The Coward's Bargain: How We Taught A Generation To Live In Fear

   An absolutely stunning article. How our world has changed since Covid and how people have learned to remain silent and the terrible consequences for children especially. Worth reading twice!

Authored by Josh Stylman via Substack,

Everyone's Afraid to Speak

Someone our family has known forever recently told my sister that they've been reading my Substack and that if they wrote the things I write, people would call them crazy. I got a kick out of that—not because it's untrue, but because it reveals something darker about where we've ended up as a society. Most people are terrified of being themselves in public.

My sister’s response made me laugh: "People do call him crazy. He simply doesn't care.” The funniest part is that I don't even write the craziest stuff I research—just the stuff I can back up with sources and/or my own personal observations. I always try to stay rooted in logic, reason and facts though—I'm clear when I'm speculating and when I'm not.

This same guy has sent me dozens of private messages over the last 4 or 5 years challenging me on stuff I share online. I'll respond with source material or common sense, and then—crickets. He disappears. If I say something he doesn’t want to hear, he vanishes like a child covering his ears. Over the last few years, I’ve been proven right about most of what we’ve argued about, and he’s been wrong. But it doesn’t matter—he’s got the memory of a gnat and the pattern never changes.

But he'd never make that challenge publicly, never risk being seen engaging with my arguments where others might witness the conversation. This kind of private curiosity paired with public silence is everywhere—people will engage with dangerous ideas in private but never risk being associated with them publicly. It's part of that reflexive "that can't be true" mindset that shuts down inquiry before it can even begin.

But he's not alone. We've created a culture where wrongthink is policed so aggressively that even successful, powerful people whisper their doubts like they're confessing crimes.

I was on a hike last year with a very prominent tech VC. He was telling me about his son's football team—how their practices kept getting disrupted because their usual field on Randall's Island was now being used to house migrants. He leaned in, almost whispering: "You know, I'm a liberal, but maybe the people complaining about immigration have a point." Here's a guy who invests mountains of money into companies that shape the world we live in, and he's afraid to voice a mild concern about policy in broad daylight. Afraid of his own thoughts.

After I spoke out against vaccine mandates, a coworker told me he totally agreed with my position—but he was angry that I'd said it. When the company didn't want to take a stand, I told them I would speak as an individual—on my own time, as a private citizen. He was pissed anyway. In fact, he was scolding me about the repercussions to the company. What's maddening is that this same person had enthusiastically supported the business taking public stands on other, more politically fashionable causes over the years. Apparently, using your corporate voice was noble when it was fashionable. Speaking as a private citizen became dangerous when it wasn’t.

Another person told me they agreed with me but wished they were "more successful like me" so they could afford to speak out. They had "too much to lose." The preposterousness of this is staggering. Everyone who spoke out during COVID sacrificed—financially, reputationally, socially. I sacrificed plenty myself.

But I'm no victim. Far from it. Since I was a young man, I've never measured achievement by finance or status—my benchmark for being a so-called successful person was owning my own time. Ironically, getting myself canceled was actually a springboard to that. For the first time in my life, I felt I'd achieved time ownership. Whatever I’ve achieved came from being raised by loving parents, working hard, and having the spine to follow convictions rationally. Those attributes, coupled with some great fortune, are the reason for whatever success I've had—they're not the reason I can speak now. Maybe this person should do some inward searching about why they're not more established. Maybe it's not about status at all. Maybe it's about integrity.

This is the adult world we've built—one where courage is so rare that people mistake it for privilege, where speaking your mind is seen as a luxury only the privileged can afford, rather than a fundamental requirement for actually becoming established.

And this is the world we're handing to our children.

We Built the Surveillance State for Them

I remember twenty years ago, my best friend's wife (who's also a dear friend) was about to hire someone when she decided to check the candidate's Facebook first. The woman had posted: “Meeting the whores at [company name]”—referring to my friend and her coworkers. My friend immediately withdrew the offer. I remember thinking this was absolutely terrible judgment on the candidate's part, however it was dangerous territory we were entering: the notion of living completely in public, where every casual comment becomes permanent evidence.

Now that danger has metastasized into something unrecognizable. We've created a world where every stupid thing a fifteen-year-old says gets archived forever. Not just on their own phones, but screenshot and saved by peers who don't understand they're building permanent files on each other—even on platforms like Snapchat that promise everything disappears. We've eliminated the possibility of a private adolescence—and adolescence is supposed to be private, messy, experimental. It's the laboratory where you figure out who you are by trying on terrible ideas and throwing them away.

But laboratories require the freedom to fail safely. What we've built instead is a system where every failed experiment becomes evidence in some future trial.

Think about the dumbest thing you believed at sixteen. The most embarrassing thing you said at thirteen. Now imagine that moment preserved in high definition, timestamped, and searchable. Imagine it surfacing when you're thirty-five and running for school board, or just trying to move past who you used to be.

If there was a record of everything I did when I was sixteen, I would have been unemployable. Come to think of it, I'm way older than that now and I'm unemployable anyway—but the truth still stands. My generation might have been the last to fully enjoy an analog existence as children. We got to be stupid privately, to experiment with ideas without permanent consequences, to grow up without every mistake being archived for future use against us.

I remember teachers threatening us with our "permanent record." We laughed—some mysterious file that would follow us forever? Turns out they were just early. Now we've built those records and handed the recording devices to children. Companies like Palantir have turned this surveillance into a sophisticated business model.

We're asking children to have adult judgment about consequences they can't possibly understand. A thirteen-year-old posting something stupid isn't thinking about college applications or future careers. They're thinking about right now, today, this moment—which is exactly how thirteen-year-olds are supposed to think. But we've built systems that treat childhood immaturity as a prosecutable offense.

The psychological toll is staggering. Imagine being fourteen and knowing that anything you say might be used against you by people you haven't met yet, for reasons you can't anticipate, at some unknown point in the future. That's not adolescence—that's a police state built out of smartphones and social media.

The result is a generation that's either paralyzed by self-consciousness or completely reckless because they figure they're already screwed. Some retreat into careful blandness, crafting personas so sanitized they might as well be corporate spokespeople for their own lives. Others go scorched earth—if everything's recorded anyway, why hold back? As my friend Mark likes to say, there's Andrew Tate and then there's a bunch of incels—meaning the young men either become performatively brash and ridiculous, or they retreat entirely. The young women seem to either drift toward fearful conformity or embrace monetized exposure on platforms like OnlyFans. We’ve managed to channel an entire generation’s rebellion into the very systems designed to exploit them.

The COVID Conformity Test

This is how totalitarian thinking takes root—not through jackbooted thugs, but through a million small acts of self-censorship. When a venture capitalist whispers his concerns about immigration policy like he's confessing to a thought crime. When successful professionals agree with dissenting views privately but would never defend them publicly. When speaking obvious truths becomes an act of courage rather than basic citizenship.

Orwell understood this perfectly. In 1984, the Party's greatest achievement wasn't forcing people to say things they didn't believe—it was making them afraid to believe things they weren't supposed to say. "The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake," O'Brien explains to Winston. "We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power." But the real genius was making citizens complicit in their own oppression, turning everyone into both prisoner and guard.

History shows us how this works in practice. The Stasi in East Germany didn't just rely on secret police—they turned ordinary citizens into informants. By some estimates, one in seven East Germans was reporting on their neighbors, friends, even family members. The state didn't need to watch everyone; they got people to watch each other. But the Stasi had limitations: they could recruit informants, but they couldn't monitor everyone simultaneously, and they couldn't instantly broadcast transgressions to entire communities for real-time judgment.

Social media solved both problems. Now we have total surveillance capability—every comment, photo, like, and share automatically recorded and searchable. We have instant mass distribution—one screenshot reaching thousands in minutes. We have volunteer enforcement—people eagerly participating in calling out "wrongthink" because it feels righteous. And we have permanent records—unlike Stasi files locked in archives, digital mistakes follow you forever.

The psychological impact is exponentially worse because Stasi informants at least had to make a conscious choice to report someone. Now the reporting happens automatically—the infrastructure is always listening, always recording, always ready to be weaponized by anyone with a grudge or a cause.

We saw this machinery in full operation during COVID. Remember how quickly "two weeks to flatten the curve" became orthodoxy? How questioning lockdowns, mask mandates, or vaccine efficacy wasn't just wrong—it was dangerous? How saying "maybe we should consider the trade-offs of closing schools" could get you labeled a grandma-killer? The speed at which dissent became heresy was breathtaking.

History has shown us governments can be terrible to citizens. The hardest pill to swallow was the horizontal policing. Your neighbors, coworkers, friends, and family members became the enforcement mechanism. People didn't just comply; they competed—virtue-signaling their way into a collective delusion where asking basic questions about cost-benefit analysis became evidence of moral deficiency. Neighbors called police on neighbors for having too many people over. People photographed "violations" and posted them online for mass judgment.

And the most insidious part? The people doing the policing genuinely believed they were the good guys. They thought they were protecting society from dangerous misinformation, not realizing they had become the misinformation—that they were actively suppressing the kind of open inquiry that's supposed to be the foundation of both science and democracy.

The Ministry of Truth didn't need to rewrite history in real time. Facebook and Twitter did it for them, memory-holing inconvenient posts and banning users who dared to share pre-approved scientific studies that happened to reach unapproved conclusions. The Party didn't need to control the past—they just needed to control what you were allowed to remember about it.

This wasn't an accident or an overreaction. This was a stress test of how quickly a free society could be transformed into something unrecognizable, and we failed spectacularly. Anyone who actually followed the science understood the only pandemic was one of cowardice. Worse, most people didn't even notice we were being tested. They thought they were just "following the science"—never mind that the data kept changing to match the politics, or that questioning anything had somehow become heretical.

The beautiful thing about this system is that it's self-sustaining. Once you've participated in the mob mentality, once you've policed your neighbors and canceled your friends and stayed silent when you should have spoken up, you become invested in maintaining the fiction that you were right all along. Admitting you were wrong isn't just embarrassing—it's an admission that you participated in something monstrous. So instead, you double down. You disappear when confronted with inconvenient facts.

Raising Prisoners

And this brings us back to the children. They're watching all of this. But more than that—they're growing up inside this surveillance infrastructure from birth. The Stasi's victims at least had some years of normal psychological development before the surveillance state kicked in. These kids never get that. They're born into a world where every thought might be public, every mistake permanent, every unpopular opinion potentially life-destroying.

The psychological impact is devastating. Research shows that children who grow up under constant surveillance—even well-meaning parental surveillance—show higher rates of anxiety, depression, and what psychologists call "learned helplessness." They never develop internal locus of control because they never get to make real choices with real consequences. But this goes far deeper than helicopter parenting.

The ability to hold unpopular opinions, to think through problems independently, to risk being wrong—these aren't just nice-to-haves. They're core to psychological maturity. When you eliminate those possibilities, you don't just get more compliant people; you get people who literally can't think for themselves anymore. They outsource their judgment to the crowd because they never developed their own.

We're creating a generation of psychological cripples—people who are practiced at reading social cues and adjusting their thoughts accordingly, but who have never learned to form independent judgments. People who mistake consensus for truth and popularity for virtue. People who have been so thoroughly trained to avoid wrong-think that they've either lost—or never developed—the capacity for original thought entirely.

But here's what's most disturbing: the kids are learning this behavior from us. They're watching adults who whisper their real thoughts, who agree privately but stay silent publicly, who confuse strategic silence with wisdom. They're learning that authenticity is dangerous, that having real convictions is a luxury they can't afford. They're learning that truth is negotiable, that principles are disposable, and that the most important skill in life is reading the room and adjusting your thoughts accordingly.

The feedback loop is complete: adults model cowardice, children learn that genuine expression is risky, and everyone becomes practiced at self-censorship rather than self-examination. We've created a society where the Overton window isn't just narrow—it's actively policed by people who are terrified of stepping outside it, even when they privately disagree with its boundaries.

This is the architecture of soft totalitarianism. Just the constant, gnawing fear that saying the wrong thing—or even thinking it too loudly—will result in social death. The beauty of this system is that it makes everyone complicit. Everyone has something to lose, so everyone stays quiet. Everyone remembers what happened to the last person who spoke up, so nobody wants to be next.

The technology doesn't just enable this tyranny; it makes it psychologically inevitable. When the infrastructure punishes independent thinking before it can fully form, you get psychological arrested development on a mass scale.

It’s already baked into education and employment through DEI and ESG. Wait till it's baked into the monetary system. Maybe they're just connecting us to the Borg anyway?

We're passing this pathology down to our children like a genetic disorder. Except this disorder isn't inherited—it's enforced. And unlike genetic disorders, this one serves a purpose: it creates a population that's easy to control, easy to manipulate, easy to lead around by the nose as long as you control the social rewards and punishments.

The Price of Truth

I don't share my opinions because I "get away with it"—I don't get away with anything. I've paid socially, professionally, and even financially. But I do it anyway because the alternative is spiritual death. The alternative is becoming someone who messages critics privately but never takes a public stand, someone who's perpetually annoyed by others' courage but never exercises their own.

The difference isn't ability or privilege. It's willingness. I'm open-minded and open-hearted. I can be convinced of anything—but show me, don't tell me. I'm willing to be wrong, willing to change my mind when new information comes to light or I gain a different perspective on an idea, willing to defend ideas I believe in even when it's uncomfortable.

There are a lot of us right now realizing something isn't right—that we've been lied to about everything. We're trying to make sense of what we're seeing, asking uncomfortable questions, connecting dots that don't want to be connected. When we call that out, the last thing we need is people who haven't done the work standing in our way, carrying water for the establishment forces that are manipulating them.

Most people could do the same thing if they chose to—they just don't choose to because they've been trained to see conviction as dangerous and conformity as safe.

A 2020 Cato Institute survey found that 62% of Americans say the political climate prevents them from sharing their political beliefs because others might find them offensive. Majorities of Democrats (52%), independents (59%), and Republicans (77%) all agree they have political opinions they are afraid to share.

When adults who lived through COVID saw what happens when groupthink becomes gospel—how quickly independent thought gets labeled dangerous, how thoroughly dissent gets suppressed—many responded not by becoming more committed to free expression, but by becoming more careful about what they express. They learned the wrong lesson.

What we're creating is a society where authenticity has become a radical act, where courage is so rare it looks like privilege. We're raising children who learn that being yourself is dangerous, that having real opinions carries unlimited downside risk. They're not just careful about what they say—they're careful about what they think.

This doesn't create better people. It creates more fearful people. People who mistake surveillance for safety, conformity for virtue, and silence for wisdom. People who've forgotten that the point of having thoughts is sometimes to share them, that the point of having convictions is sometimes to defend them.

The solution isn't to abandon technology or retreat into digital monasteries. But we need to create spaces—legal, social, psychological—where both kids and adults can fail safely. Where mistakes don't become permanent tattoos. Where changing your mind is seen as growth rather than hypocrisy. Where having convictions is valued over having clean records.

Most importantly, we need adults who are willing to model courage instead of strategic silence—who understand that the price of speaking up is usually less than the price of staying quiet. In a world where everyone's afraid to say what they think, the honest voice doesn't just stand out—it stands up.

Because right now, we're not just living in fear—we're teaching our children that fear is the price of participation in society. And a society built on fear isn't a society at all. It's just a more comfortable prison, one where the guards are ourselves and the keys are our own convictions, which we've learned to keep safely locked away.

Whether it's experimental medicine or the masters of war lying again to drag us into what might become World War III—it's PSYOP season—it's never been more important that people find their conviction, use their voice, and become a force for good. If you're still scared to push back against war propaganda, still getting swept up in manufactured outrage cycles, still choosing your principles based on which team is in power—then you may have learned absolutely nothing from the last few years.

These days, friends are starting to confide in me that maybe I was right about the mRNA vaccines not working. I don't gloat—in fact, I appreciate the openness. But my standard reply is that they're four years late to the story. They'll know they've caught up when they realize the world is run by a bunch of satanic pedophiles. And yeah, I used to think that sounded crazy too.

Thursday, June 19, 2025

Kremlin Hawks Frustrated That Putin Still Has Not Declared Formal State Of War

  War hawks are thinking with their emotions, Putin is thinking with his brain! 

  The logic is understandable, SpiderWeb was a blow. Why not end the slow torture sooner than later? But then what? 

  Putin understands that he is not fighting Ukraine but the whole West and that haste in this respect would be counterproductive. In a Israel kind of way, he would risk provoking the exact response he wants to avoid. 

  If you understand that war is coming because it is unavoidable, because the West will never abandon voluntarily its hegemonic stance, then why rush into war instead of preparing? 

  This said, the war with Iran may precipitate a decision. Ukraine however you look at it is a local conflict on the border between East and West. Iran is at the very core of the Eurasian mass. Between, East, West, South and Asia. Everybody will be impacted and everybody will have to take side. This is unavoidable. 

  Trump should think twice before giving the green light but is he still capable of doing so? My guess is no, but I may hopefully be wrong!

Kremlin Hawks Frustrated That Putin Still Has Not Declared Formal State Of War

Russian hardliners are urging President Vladimir Putin to officially declare war on Ukraine, arguing that the current "special military operation" is insufficient, especially in the wake Ukraine’s recent surprise strike on air bases near Moscow. President Zelensky had touted last month's 'Operation Spider's Web' as a huge success, and an unknown number of long-range strategic bombers, valuable assets in Russia's air force, were reportedly destroyed.

Although the conflict has entered its fourth year since Russia’s invasion, it still has never been formally recognized as a war, despite estimates of casualties in the hundreds of thousands on both sides. Kremlin officials have at times used language denoting all-out 'war', but the Kremlin still classified it as a 'special military operation' - which is a very limited designation in Russian law.

Members of Russia’s nationalist elite are calling for more drastic measures, evident also on popular Russian military blog and social media channels.

Via AFP

Kremlin insiders, speaking anonymously to The Telegraph, expressed concern that failing to escalate could lead to even greater risks for Russia - as NATO has very obviously grown more deeply involved. There's an assumption that Western intelligence assisted in Ukraine' Spider's Web operation.

A full war declaration by Putin would mobilize all of society and the economy on a much bigger level, and would lead to a likely draft and mass military recruitment campaign. While Russian forces have lately expanded ground ops to the west of Donesk oblast, which they have almost full control over, it has been clear that the Russian army doesn't seek to occupy Kiev or places deep into central or Western Ukraine.

Instead Putin has of late declared that his forces will establish a large buffer zone, to protect from the regular drone and artillery attacks on southern Russian, and into Crimea.

The Telegraph on Wednesday cited a Russian official as saying, "Like every thinking patriot, I took it as a personal tragedy." 

And another high-ranking official characterized the mood in the Kremlin as "shock and outrage".

"Explosions, drones, sabotage, and possibly even terrorist attacks are what the future may hold for us if the Zelenskyy regime is not completely destroyed," the high-ranking official said. "If Ukraine ceases to exist in its current form, the criminal underground will be demoralized."

Throughout the war Russian aerial attacks have not fully targeted Ukrainian HQ centers - only in some specific major retaliatory instances. Air strikes on Kiev have stepped up this month, however.

But each side is still focusing on degrading the other's military and industrial sectors and infrastructure, with the White House trying to keep an 'energy' ceasefire in place - that is, the US wants attacks on energy infrastructure halted.

The timing of these reports of hawks pressing Putin are interesting, given much of the globe's attention is currently focused on the growing Iran-Israel war, and as Pentagon intervention remains a big open question.

The Paradox of life, truth and learning to cope the ML Way! (Joke)

 Monty Python said it best in The Life of Brian:

“You’ve got to think for yourselves! You’re all individuals!”

“Yes, we’re all individuals!”

“You’re all different!”

“Yes, we’re all different!”

“You’ve all got to work it out for yourselves!”

“Yes, we’ve got to work it out for ourselves!”

 

 Here's a solution:

PS: Almost everything you hear on the news nowadays is either lies or propaganda. You truly need to figure out the truth by yourself whatever the means. Why not ML :-)



Musk Wants Grok AI To "Rewrite The Entire Corpus Of Human Knowledge"

   Like it or not, this is exactly what AI is about to do: Rewrite the entirety of Human Knowledge. Most people will of course oppose this. ...