Trump Just Lost the Midterms... What Comes Next (Video - 19mn)

   Trump received a massive rebuke from the American people as expected. Now what's next?  

   On the domestic front, we can have a fair idea based on previous Presidents. The legislative will vote laws that he will veto. A typical lame-duck presidency. 

   But on the foreign front, he will have a freer hand and may try his luck as many people expect whence the risk that the war with Iran will be reignited as we discussed earlier.

   Then there are the "committees" that the Democrats will set-up to put pressure on Trump. Two explosive files stand out:

- How Trump is making money by profiting from his own policies. But how far can they go in this respect considering that almost everybody in congress profit from their position to some extent? Can they really kill the Golden Goose? 

- The Epstein closet of horrors. But Biden did nothing about it earlier and considering that many Democrats may likely be implicated too, it is a dangerous weapon almost impossible to use without harming your own side. 

   In reality, the fight will focus on funding the government and the debt ceiling as in the past where compromises will have to be made.

   So, we're left with "war" which in the end is the only field where Trump will keep a free hand. So much for the "peace" president! 

   Now, where exactly should he strike first? Cuba? Mexico's cartels? Iran? The obvious choice is of course Iran with the huge risk of making things go very wrong, very quickly. 

   And then, there is the AI bubble ready to blow at any time...  

   The coming months could be quite... interesting.      

Trump Just Lost the Midterms... What Comes Next

The Government Is Preparing For Something by Andrei Jikh (Video - 26mn)

   Is something brewing up? Are we being manipulated by the algos? Or are governments trying to concentrate power further with fearmongering? 

   Probably the three options are true at the same time.

   The more ominous explanation is that we are indeed heading into unforeseen events. We have been discussing this possibility for weeks now. 

   Tucker Carlson warned us recently that the US government was discussing seriously the possibility of using a tactical nuclear bomb on Pickaxe Mountain in Iran. It is important to note that "discussing" doesn't mean planning to. The leak is nevertheless alarming.  

   Hiroshima and Nagasaki could be presented as flukes as we didn't really know the effects of nuclear weapons then. But now we do. A third explosion could not easily be dismissed and would open a Pandora box almost impossible to close later on.   

   What is the chance? It remains relatively low for now, but not as low as it was a few months ago. The reality is that we are already in an early stage of a kind of third world war. This is certainly the case behind the curtain and in cyberspace.  

   Add a out of control AI and a stock bubble about to burst and many governments will probably prefer to go to war than lose control as we are seeing the early signs in Europe. 

   So should we prepare? Yes, of course. Here in Japan, it has always been a good idea to do so. Soon I will post the story of what happened in 2011 after the Great Tohoku Earthquake. We already had a 90 days food pantry then and have maintained it since. This may sound unnecessary but the experience shows that circumstances can flip on a dime. When the crowds panic, it is already too late, the shops are empty and what you didn't buy earlier is simply not available anymore for weeks.  

The Government Is Preparing For Something

US Military DIGGING Graves! Iran War Plan EXPOSED! w/Scott Ritter (Video - 51mn)

   Almost forgot Scott Ritter and his energetic commenting. But some of his points are, well, to the point. 

   We are barreling into an energy crisis of epic proportion. Out of a daily oil consumption of a little more than 100 million barrels per day, the Hormuz Strait represented about 20% or 20 million barrels. Other producers around the world have increased production, compensating 10 million barrels. We have therefore been short 10 million barrels for over 6 months now. Depleting reserves has reduced the shortfall by a little less than half, so 5 million barrels and finally, the higher price of oil has reduced demand by the remaining 5 million barrels so that we now have an unstable equilibrium at a much lower level than last year. 

   This cannot go on much longer. Eventually demand and supply will have to find a new balance. Either the war ends and production rises again although this won't be instantaneous and may take one to two years or prices will rise to cancel the 5 million barrels current shortfall and we enter a deep recession. 

   Trump has said clearly that he won't back down and the Iranians as we discussed at length in earlier posts can lose all the battles, they won't lose the war as it is technically impossible for the US to assert military superiority in the Gulf in the long term. What the US army could not do in Vietnam with 500,000 soldiers 50 years ago, they won't do either against a much more sophisticated enemy in a much larger country.   

   This alone guaranties that we're heading into very choppy waters. Add to this the AI bubble which is about to burst in the US, the Chinese real estate debacle which is depressing demand in the country and the absurd European energy policies which are akin to slow suicide and it is not a stretch to predict that the coming months will be extremely tumultuous. What we are witnessing in Europe right now is little more than a foretaste of things to come.  

   Here's a scenario: Trump will lose the mid-term elections (80% probability). He will attack Iran. The price of oil will skyrocket to over 130 and maybe 150 dollars per barrel. Iran will strike back reducing production further. The political climate in Europe first, then in the rest of the world will get extremely nasty. Either oil demand will crash or rationing will be implemented. Eventually conflicts both internal and external will explode around the world as desperate governments try their luck in foreign adventures. 2027 is only 2 months away but the outlook is not rosy to say the least, and it still can easily get worse...    

US Military DIGGING Graves! Iran War Plan EXPOSED! w/Scott Ritter

This Is Our Final Video. Here's What We Couldn't Say Before About Epstein & Israel. (Video - 29mn)

   Here's a very good resume of what is known at this stage about the Epstein saga and its relations with Israel. Obviously what is missing is a smoking gun like a letter of intent or a contract but this is exactly the kind of proof that competent secret services will not leave behind.  

   The relationship between Epstein and Israel were very close, persistent and multi-level. What could have been his role except what he was doing in plain sight: Running a sophisticated entrapment apparatus? His so-called "perversion" was little more than a perk of the job which was to provide discreetly young girls mostly, to famous personalities. Mostly politicians, but not only. The underage aspect was a key part of the entrapment system as few of the clients (none?) would ask for identification in such a trusted environment. 

   What is most amazing is that he was discovered and punished, at least as much as his powerful contacts would allow. Later, when the time came, he was officially "suicided" and practically exfiltrated* either to Israel or another location where he is now living a peaceful life under a different identity. And of course, none of his clients were incarcerated, but this goes without saying as any move in that direction would unravel the whole operation and probably splash thousands of people, endangering the whole political system in the US. No wonder Trump is doing nothing. He truly can't. Not only because it would imply Israel but also because of the risk this represents for the establishment in Washington.      

   In the end, the real question is: What else? Epstein cannot be alone, there must be other such networks run by different countries, but in this world of shadows, we'll probably never know anything about these organizations including the US and the successor(s) of Epstein. Epstein was not the odd one out, he represented a glimpse behind the curtain. "Now, move on, there is nothing else to see!" as Trump keeps answering to the few pesky journalists who keep asking. In a way, we were lucky to learn that much. It should never have happened. It makes the targets more cautious and even obliges everybody to change their code words. "No, sorry, no more pizza today!"    

This Is Our Final Video. Here's What We Couldn't Say Before About Epstein & Israel.

 * If you are interested by the subject, here is how he died "officially". 

Everything Wrong With The Night Epstein “Died”