Tuesday, April 2, 2024

1,000 posts! / AI tipping point (Video - 24mn)

 A blog which originally was supposed to focus on data and statistics has slowly morphed into a deeper trend-analysis, information site as events transformed our lives faster than I originally envisioned.

 From the beginning, it was clear that Social Credit in China was going to be a harbinger of things to come although I thought the West would be slow in importing and implementing the technology. 

 Then in 2020 the Covid crisis happened. A manufactured crisis for a manufactured virus. The economic and social dislocation was extreme and as for 9/11 was going to shape the following years.

 What is now looming over the horizon is a global conflict, the scale of which has seldom be seen in history. In this respect, the Ukraine war looks surprisingly similar to the Spanish Civil war just before the 2nd World War. A test bed of new technologies which will once again completely transform war as we know it: Glide bombs, autonomous drones, massive electronic jamming... But more ominously, total control of the narrative as well as good old propaganda techniques which remind us why the people in 1914 went to war singing. They couldn't even begin to imagine what was coming their way!

 And here we are 100 years later, confirming the Strauss and Howe theory that every four generations (of 25 years each) we repeat the same mistakes simply because the people with the experience, who tried to avoid it during their lives, die resetting the cycle for another wave. It would be easy to dismiss all this as just a theory until you see it unfolding with your own eyes. Truly amazing and frightening. 

 Is there any hope to escape the maelstrom? 

 Hard to tell. Would the mammals time in the sun have arrived without the asteroid? Probably not. In fact, the closer you look, the more obvious the fact that shocks are essential for the system (any system including human societies) to transform and evolve. The oxygenation of the atmosphere was one of the earliest shock we know about which almost killed early life 2.3 billion years ago. Then came the Snowball Earth just before the Cambrian explosion, the great extinction 210 million years ago which wiped out the synapsids, early reptiles, and gave way to the rise of the dinosaurs, themselves obliterated 150 million years later. 

 The story of mankind itself is no less tumultuous as our species was almost wiped out 70,000 years ago for reasons we still ignore. Agriculture, books, machines, nukes and finally AI. What comes next is unknowable. Even if we have a major war including the use of nuclear weapons, it is very unlikely that mankind will disappear. 

 But then, what about AI? This to my opinion is the unknown factor. The speed of growth is so fast that the future is unknowable. Even if we survive this transformation, we may not like the result as post-human, humans may not be very human from our perspective. A world dominated by a all-powerful AI is not much more appealing than a Borg world of connected brains. 

 Globalists truly believe that they are the chosen ones who will live forever provided they survive the next 10 years. But is a life with a brain controlled by a machine worth living? We are far from the Star Treks and Space Odysseys of the last century with good-old humans traveling far into space. Only the dystopian Terminator and Matrix of 20 years ago look prophetic in retrospect although there too humans were still going to be human, fighting against a inhuman evil but still human.

 But what if the truth is darker? What if "non-human" is stronger, better adapted to a changed world? What if this is the reason why the cosmos is so eerily silent? 

 2 billion years of cells. 200 million years of dinosaurs, 20,000 years of humans civilization... and then what? Will we be allowed to know? Can we even understand what comes next? 

 



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